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Fri, 26 Nov 2021 14:49:57 +0100Fri, 26 Nov 2021 14:49:57 +0100Modellierung, Visualisierung und Ausführung wissensintensiver Prozesse unter Verwendung Semantischer Technologien
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1758
In vielen Branchen und vor allem in großen Unternehmen gehört eine Unterstützung von Geschäftsprozessen durch Workﬂow-Management-Systeme zum gelebten Alltag. Im Zentrum steht dabei die Steuerung kontrollﬂussorientierter Abläufe, während Prozesse mit einem Schwerpunkt auf Daten, Informationen und Wissen meist außen vor bleiben. Solche wissensintensive Prozesse (engl.: knowledge intensive processes) (KiPs) sind Untersuchungsgegenstand in vielen aktuellen Studien, welche ein derzeit aktives Forschungsgebiet formen.
Im Vordergrund solcher KiPs steht dabei das durch die mitwirkenden Personen eingebrachte Wissen, welches in einem wesentlichen Maß die Prozessausführung beeinﬂusst, hierdurch jedoch die Bearbeitung komplexer und meist hoch volatiler Prozesse ermöglicht. Hierbei handelt es sich zumeist um entscheidungsintensive Prozesse, Prozesse zur Wissensakquisition oder Prozesse, die zu einer Vielzahl unterschiedlicher Prozessabläufe führen können.
Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wird ein Ansatz entwickelt und vorgestellt, der sich der Modellierung, Visualisierung und Ausführung wissensintensiver Prozesse unter Verwendung Semantischer Technologien widmet. Hierzu werden als die zentralen Anforderungen zur Ausführung von KiPs Flexibilität, Adaptivität und Zielorientierung deﬁniert. Daran anknüpfend werden drei zentrale Grundprinzipien der Prozessmodellierung identiﬁziert, welche in der ersten Forschungsfrage aufgegriﬀen werden: „Können die drei Grundprinzipien in einem einheitlichen datenzentrierten, deklarativen, semantischen Ansatz (welcher mit ODD-BP bezeichnet wird) kombiniert werden und können damit die zentralen Anforderungen von KiPs erfüllt werden?”
Die Grundlage für ODD-BP bildet ein Metamodell, welches als Sprachkonstrukt fungiert und die Deﬁnition der angestrebten Prozessmodelle erlaubt. Darauf aufbauend wird mit Hilfe von Inferenzierungsregeln ein Verfahren entwickelt, welches das Schlussfolgern von Prozesszuständen ermöglicht und somit eine klassische Workﬂow-Engine überﬂüssig macht. Zudem wird eine Methodik eingeführt, die für jede in einem Prozess mitwirkende Person eine maßgeschneiderte, adaptive Prozessvisualisierung ermöglicht, um neben dem Freiheitsgrad der Flexibilität auch eine fundierte Prozessunterstützung bei der Ausführung von KiPs leisten zu können. All dies erfolgt innerhalb einer einheitlichen Wissensbasis, die zum einen die Grundlage für eine vollständige semantische Prozessmodellierung bildet und zum anderen die Möglichkeit zur Integration von Expertenwissen eröﬀnet. Dieses Expertenwissen kann einen expliziten Beitrag bei der Ausführung wissensintensiver Prozesse leisten und somit die Kollaboration von Mensch und Maschine durch Technologien der symbolischen KI ermöglichen. Die zweite Forschungsfrage greift diesen Aspekt auf: „Kann in dem ODD-BP Ansatz ontologisches Wissen so integriert werden, dass dieses in einer Prozessausführung einen Beitrag leistet?”
Das Metamodell sowie die entwickelten Methoden und Verfahren werden in einem prototypischen, generischen System realisiert, welches grundsätzlich für alle Anwendungsgebiete mit KiPs geeignet ist. Zur Validierung des ODD-BP Ansatzes erfolgt eine Ausrichtung auf den Anwendungsfall einer Notrufabfrage aus dem Leitstellenumfeld. Im Zuge der Evaluation wird gezeigt, wie dieser wissensintensive Ablauf von einer ﬂexiblen, adaptiven und zielorientierten Prozessausführung proﬁtiert. Darüber hinaus wird medizinisches Expertenwissen in den Prozessablauf integriert und es wird nachgewiesen, wie dieses zu verbesserten Prozessergebnissen beiträgt.
Wissensintensive Prozesse stellen Unternehmen und Organisationen in allen Branchen und Anwendungsfällen derzeit vor große Herausforderungen und die Wissenschaft und Forschung widmet sich der Suche nach praxistauglichen Lösungen. Diese Arbeit präsentiert mit ODD-BP einen vielversprechenden Ansatz, indem die Möglichkeiten Semantischer Technologien dazu genutzt werden, eine eng verzahnte Zusammenarbeit zwischen Mensch und Maschine bei der Ausführung von KiPs zu ermöglichen. Die zur Evaluation fokussierte Notrufabfrage innerhalb von Leitstellen stellt zudem einen höchst relevanten Anwendungsfall dar, da in einem akuten Notfall in kürzester Zeit Entscheidungen getroﬀen werden müssen, um weitreichenden Schaden abwenden und Leben retten zu können. Durch die Berücksichtigung umfassender Datenmengen und das Ausnutzen verfügbaren Expertenwissens kann so eine schnelle Lagebewertung mit Hilfe der maschinellen Unterstützung erreicht und der Mensch beim Treﬀen von richtigen Entscheidungen unterstützt werden.Eric Rietzkedoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1758Fri, 26 Nov 2021 14:49:57 +0100De Rham and Cech-de Rham Cohomologies of Smooth Foliated Manifolds
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1635
In order to classify smooth foliated manifolds, which are smooth maifolds equipped with a smooth foliation, we introduce the de Rham cohomologies of smooth foliated manifolds. These cohomologies are build in a similar way as the de Rham cohomologies of smooth manifolds. We develop some tools to compute these cohomologies. For example we proof a Mayer Vietoris theorem for foliated de Rham cohomology and show that these cohomologys are invariant under integrable homotopy. A generalization of a known Künneth formula, which relates the cohomologies of a product foliation with its factors, is discussed. In particular, this envolves a splitting theory of sequences between Frechet spaces and a theory of projective spectrums. We also prove, that the foliated de Rham cohomology is isomorphic to the Cech-de Rham cohomology and the Cech cohomology of leafwise constant functions of an underlying so called good cover.Thorben Schlierkampdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1635Tue, 03 Aug 2021 09:45:11 +0200Design and Estimation in Business Surveys - Selected Topics
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1603
Estimation and therefore prediction -- both in traditional statistics and machine learning -- encounters often problems when done on survey data, i.e. on data gathered from a random subset of a finite population. Additional to the stochastic generation of the data in the finite population (based on a superpopulation model), the subsetting represents a second randomization process, and adds further noise to the estimation. The character and impact of the additional noise on the estimation procedure depends on the specific probability law for subsetting, i.e. the survey design. Especially when the design is complex or the population data is not generated by a Gaussian distribution, established methods must be re-thought. Both phenomena can be found in business surveys, and their combined occurrence poses challenges to the estimation.
This work introduces selected topics linked to relevant use cases of business surveys and discusses the role of survey design therein: First, consider micro-econometrics using business surveys. Regression analysis under the peculiarities of non-normal data and complex survey design is discussed. The focus lies on mixed models, which are able to capture unobserved heterogeneity e.g. between economic sectors, when the dependent variable is not conditionally normally distributed. An algorithm for survey-weighted model estimation in this setting is provided and applied to business data.
Second, in official statistics, the classical sampling randomization and estimators for finite population totals are relevant. The variance estimation of estimators for (finite) population totals plays a major role in this framework in order to decide on the reliability of survey data. When the survey design is complex, and the number of variables is large for which an estimated total is required, generalized variance functions are popular for variance estimation. They allow to circumvent cumbersome theoretical design-based variance formulae or computer-intensive resampling. A synthesis of the superpopulation-based motivation and the survey framework is elaborated. To the author's knowledge, such a synthesis is studied for the first time both theoretically and empirically.
Third, the self-organizing map -- an unsupervised machine learning algorithm for data visualization, clustering and even probability estimation -- is introduced. A link to Markov random fields is outlined, which to the author's knowledge has not yet been established, and a density estimator is derived. The latter is evaluated in terms of a Monte-Carlo simulation and then applied to real world business data.Patricia Dörrdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1603Wed, 19 May 2021 13:38:38 +0200Approximation of energy forms on finitely ramified fractals by discrete graphs and related metric measure spaces
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1565
Our goal is to approximate energy forms on suitable fractals by discrete graph energies and certain metric measure spaces, using the notion of quasi-unitary equivalence. Quasi-unitary equivalence generalises the two concepts of unitary equivalence and norm resolvent convergence to the case of operators and energy forms defined in varying Hilbert spaces.
More precisely, we prove that the canonical sequence of discrete graph energies (associated with the fractal energy form) converges to the energy form (induced by a resistance form) on a finitely ramified fractal in the sense of quasi-unitary equivalence. Moreover, we allow a perturbation by magnetic potentials and we specify the corresponding errors.
This aforementioned approach is an approximation of the fractal from within (by an increasing sequence of finitely many points). The natural step that follows this realisation is the question whether one can also approximate fractals from outside, i.e., by a suitable sequence of shrinking supersets. We partly answer this question by restricting ourselves to a very specific structure of the approximating sets, namely so-called graph-like manifolds that respect the structure of the fractals resp. the underlying discrete graphs. Again, we show that the canonical (properly rescaled) energy forms on such a sequence of graph-like manifolds converge to the fractal energy form (in the sense of quasi-unitary equivalence).
From the quasi-unitary equivalence of energy forms, we conclude the convergence of the associated linear operators, convergence of the spectra and convergence of functions of the operators – thus essentially the same as in the case of the usual norm resolvent convergence.Jan Simmerdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1565Wed, 17 Mar 2021 09:52:06 +0100On particles, fibers and suspension flows
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1506
This work studies typical mathematical challenges occurring in the modeling and simulation of manufacturing processes of paper or industrial textiles. In particular, we consider three topics: approximate models for the motion of small inertial particles in an incompressible Newtonian fluid, effective macroscopic approximations for a dilute particle suspension contained in a bounded domain accounting for a non-uniform particle distribution and particle inertia, and possibilities for a reduction of computational cost in the simulations of slender elastic fibers moving in a turbulent fluid flow.
We consider the full particle-fluid interface problem given in terms of the Navier-Stokes equations coupled to momentum equations of a small rigid body. By choosing an appropriate asymptotic scaling for the particle-fluid density ratio and using an asymptotic expansion for the solution components, we derive approximations of the original interface problem. The approximate systems differ according to the chosen scaling of the density ratio in their physical behavior allowing the characterization of different inertial regimes.
We extend the asymptotic approach to the case of many particles suspended in a Newtonian fluid. Under specific assumptions for the combination of particle size and particle number, we derive asymptotic approximations of this system. The approximate systems describe the particle motion which allows to use a mean field approach in order to formulate the continuity equation for the particle probability density function. The coupling of the latter with the approximation for the fluid momentum equation then reveals a macroscopic suspension description which accounts for non-uniform particle distributions in space and for small particle inertia.
A slender fiber in a turbulent air flow can be modeled as a stochastic inextensible one-dimensionally parametrized Kirchhoff beam, i.e., by a stochastic partial differential algebraic equation. Its simulations involve the solution of large non-linear systems of equations by Newton's method. In order to decrease the computational time, we explore different methods for the estimation of the solution. Additionally, we apply smoothing techniques to the Wiener Process in order to regularize the stochastic force driving the fiber, exploring their respective impact on the solution and performance. We also explore the applicability of the Wiener chaos expansion as a solution technique for the simulation of the fiber dynamics.Alexander Vibedoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1506Tue, 12 Jan 2021 16:53:39 +0100Stochastic Particle Systems and Optimization - Branching Processes, Mean Field Games and Impulse Control
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1491
This thesis addresses three different topics from the fields of mathematical finance, applied probability and stochastic optimal control. Correspondingly, it is subdivided into three independent main chapters each of which approaches a mathematical problem with a suitable notion of a stochastic particle system.
In Chapter 1, we extend the branching diffusion Monte Carlo method of Henry-Labordère et. al. (2019) to the case of parabolic PDEs with mixed local-nonlocal analytic nonlinearities. We investigate branching diffusion representations of classical solutions, and we provide sufficient conditions under which the branching diffusion representation solves the PDE in the viscosity sense. Our theoretical setup directly leads to a Monte Carlo algorithm, whose applicability is showcased in two stylized high-dimensional examples. As our main application, we demonstrate how our methodology can be used to value financial positions with defaultable, systemically important counterparties.
In Chapter 2, we formulate and analyze a mathematical framework for continuous-time mean field games with finitely many states and common noise, including a rigorous probabilistic construction of the state process. The key insight is that we can circumvent the master equation and reduce the mean field equilibrium to a system of forward-backward systems of (random) ordinary differential equations by conditioning on common noise events. We state and prove a corresponding existence theorem, and we illustrate our results in three stylized application examples. In the absence of common noise, our setup reduces to that of Gomes, Mohr and Souza (2013) and Cecchin and Fischer (2020).
In Chapter 3, we present a heuristic approach to tackle stochastic impulse control problems in discrete time. Based on the work of Bensoussan (2008) we reformulate the classical Bellman equation of stochastic optimal control in terms of a discrete-time QVI, and we prove a corresponding verification theorem. Taking the resulting optimal impulse control as a starting point, we devise a self-learning algorithm that estimates the continuation and intervention region of such a problem. Its key features are that it explores the state space of the underlying problem by itself and successively learns the behavior of the optimally controlled state process. For illustration, we apply our algorithm to a classical example problem, and we give an outlook on open questions to be addressed in future research.Daniel Hoffmanndoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1491Tue, 17 Nov 2020 13:25:51 +0100On robust small area estimation
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1480
Tobias Schochdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1480Tue, 17 Nov 2020 13:24:55 +0100Risk Management in the Airline Industry
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1277
This thesis sheds light on the heterogeneous hedging behavior of airlines. The focus lies on ﬁnancial hedging, operational hedging and selective hedging. The unbalanced panel data set includes 74 airlines from 39 countries. The period of analysis is 2005 until 2014, resulting in 621 ﬁrm years. The random effects probit and ﬁxed effects OLS models provide strong evidence of a convex relation between derivative usage and a ﬁrm’s leverage, opposing the existing ﬁnancial distress theory. Airlines with lower leverage had higher hedge ratios. In addition, the results show that airlines with interest rate and currency derivatives were more likely to engage in fuel price hedging. Moreover, the study results support the argument that operational hedging is a complement to ﬁnancial hedging. Airlines with more heterogeneous ﬂeet structures exhibited higher hedge ratios.
Also, airlines which were members of a strategic alliance were more likely to be hedging airlines. As alliance airlines are rather ﬁnancially sound airlines, the positive relation between alliance membership and hedging reﬂects the negative results on the leverage
ratio. Lastly, the study presents determinants of an airlines’ selective hedging behavior. Airlines with prior-period derivative losses, recognized in income, changed their hedge portfolios more frequently. Moreover, the sample airlines acted in accordance with herd behavior theory. Changes in the regional hedge portfolios inﬂuenced the hedge portfolio of the individual airline in the same direction.Britta Pfefferledoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1277Tue, 13 Oct 2020 10:42:34 +0200Das Entscheidungsverhalten von
Social Entrepreneurship unterstützenden
Organisationen bei der Auswahl von Social Ventures:
Eine Untersuchung der Unterstützungslandschaft für
Social Entrepreneurship im DACH-Raum
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1466
Lilli Leirichdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1466Tue, 13 Oct 2020 10:41:32 +0200Socialism and Entrepreneurship
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1476
The formerly communist countries in Central and Eastern Europe (transitional economies in Europe and the Soviet Union – for example, East Germany, Czech Republic, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Russia) and transitional economies in Asia – for example, China, Vietnam had centrally planned economies, which did not allow entrepreneurship activities. Despite the political-socioeconomic transformations in transitional economies around 1989, they still had an institutional heritage that affects individuals’ values and attitudes, which, in turn, influence intentions, behaviors, and actions, including entrepreneurship.
While prior studies on the long-lasting effects of socialist legacy on entrepreneurship have focused on limited geographical regions (e.g., East-West Germany, and East-West Europe), this dissertation focuses on the Vietnamese context, which offers a unique quasi-experimental setting. In 1954, Vietnam was divided into the socialist North and the non-socialist South, and it was then reunified under socialist rule in 1975. Thus, the intensity of differences in socialist treatment in North-South Vietnam (about 21 years) is much shorter than that in East-West Germany (about 40 years) and East-West Europe (about 70 years when considering former Soviet Union countries).
To assess the relationship between socialist history and entrepreneurship in this unique setting, we survey more than 3,000 Vietnamese individuals. This thesis finds that individuals from North Vietnam have lower entrepreneurship intentions, are less likely to enroll in entrepreneurship education programs, and display lower likelihood to take over an existing business, compared to those from the South of Vietnam. The long-lasting effect of formerly socialist institutions on entrepreneurship is apparently deeper than previously discovered in the prominent case of East-West Germany and East-West Europe as well.
In the second empirical investigation, this dissertation focuses on how succession intentions differ from others (e.g., founding, and employee intentions) regarding career choice motivation, and the effect of three main elements of the theory of planned behavior (e.g., entrepreneurial attitude, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control) in transition economy – Vietnam context. The findings of this thesis suggest that an intentional founder is labeled with innovation, an intentional successor is labeled with roles motivation, and an intentional employee is labeled with social mission. Additionally, this thesis reveals that entrepreneurial attitude and perceived behavioral control are positively associated with the founding intention, whereas there is no difference in this effect between succession and employee intentions.Lanh Nguyendoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1476Tue, 13 Oct 2020 10:41:02 +0200New Concise Extended Formulations for Circular Structures in Optimization Problems
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1478
Many NP-hard optimization problems that originate from classical graph theory, such as the maximum stable set problem and the maximum clique problem, have been extensively studied over the past decades and involve the choice of a subset of edges or vertices. There usually exist combinatorial methods that can be applied to solve them directly in the graph.
The most simple method is to enumerate feasible solutions and select the best. It is not surprising that this method is very slow oftentimes, so the task is to cleverly discard fruitless search space during the search. An alternative method to solve graph problems is to formulate integer linear programs, such that their solution yields an optimal solution to the original optimization problem in the graph. In order to solve integer linear programs, one can start with relaxing the integer constraints and then try to find inequalities for cutting off fractional extreme points. In the best case, it would be possible to describe the convex hull of the feasible region of the integer linear program with a set of inequalities. In general, giving a complete description of this convex hull is out of reach, even if it has a polynomial number of facets. Thus, one tries to strengthen the (weak) relaxation of the integer linear program best possible via strong inequalities that are valid for the convex hull of feasible integer points.
Many classes of valid inequalities are of exponential size. For instance, a graph can have exponentially many odd cycles in general and therefore the number of odd cycle inequalities for the maximum stable set problem is exponential. It is sometimes possible to check in polynomial time if some given point violates any of the exponentially many inequalities. This is indeed the case for the odd cycle inequalities for the maximum stable set problem. If a polynomial time separation algorithm is known, there exists a formulation of polynomial size that contains a given point if and only if it does not violate one of the (potentially exponentially many) inequalities. This thesis can be divided into two parts. The first part is the main part and it contains various new results. We present new extended formulations for several optimization problems, i.e. the maximum stable set problem, the nonconvex quadratic program with box
constraints and the p-median problem. In the second part we modify a very fast algorithm for finding a maximum clique in very large sparse graphs. We suggest and compare three alternative versions of this algorithm to the original version and compare their strengths and weaknesses.Bernd Perscheiddoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1478Tue, 13 Oct 2020 10:38:38 +0200Self-Fulfilling Theory. Eine mechanismenbasierte Perspektive auf die Performativität ökonomischer Theorien am Beispiel des Shareholder-Value-Ansatzes
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1437
Die vorliegende Arbeit liefert eine Kritik der Performativity-of-Economics-Debatte, welcher theoretische Probleme unterstellt werden. Dies betrifft insbesondere Defizite hinsichtlich einer handlungstheoretischen Erschließung und Erklärung ihres Gegenstandes.
Zur Überwindung dieses Problems wird eine Verknüpfung mit dem Mechanism Approach der analytischen Soziologie vorgeschlagen, welcher erstens einen explizit handlungstheoretischen Zugang bietet, zweitens über die Identifikation der zugrundeliegenden sozialen Mechanismen die Entschlüsselung sozialer Dynamiken und Prozesse erlaubt und, drittens, verschiedene Ausprägungen des zu untersuchenden Phänomens (die Performativität ökonomischer Theorien) in Theorien mittlerer Reichweite übersetzen kann. Eine Verbindung wird durch den Mechanismus der Self-fulfilling Theory als spezifische Form der Self-Fulfilling prophecy hergestellt, welche im weiteren Verlauf der Argumentation als Erklärungsinstrument des Mechanism Approach verwendet und dabei kritisch reflektiert wird.
Die handlungsbasierte Erklärung eines spezifischen Typs der Performativität ökonomischer Theorien wird schließlich anhand eines Fallbeispiels – dem Aufstieg und der Verbreitung des Shareholder-Value-Ansatzes und der zugrundeliegenden Agency Theory – empirisch demonstriert. Es kann gezeigt werden, dass mechanismenbasierte Erklärungen zur allgemeinen theoretischen Aufwertung der besagten Debatte beitragen können. Der Mechanismus der Self-fulfilling Theory im Speziellen bietet zur Erklärung des untersuchten Phänomens verschiedene Vor- und Nachteile, kann allerdings als eine theoretische Brücke ebenfalls einen fruchtbaren Beitrag leisten, nicht zuletzt indem er eine differenzierte Betrachtung des Zusammenhangs zwischen starken Formen von Performativität und selbsterfüllenden Prophezeiungen erlaubt.Michael Angerdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1437Mon, 17 Aug 2020 10:14:58 +0200Robust Training of Artificial Neural Networks via p-Quasinorms
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1435
Data used for the purpose of machine learning are often erroneous. In this thesis, p-quasinorms (p<1) are employed as loss functions in order to increase the robustness of training algorithms for artificial neural networks. Numerical issues arising from these loss functions are addressed via enhanced optimization algorithms (proximal point methods; Frank-Wolfe methods) based on the (non-monotonic) Armijo-rule. Numerical experiments comprising 1100 test problems confirm the effectiveness of the approach. Depending on the parametrization, an average reduction of the absolute residuals of up to 64.6% is achieved (aggregated over 100 test problems).Stefan Geisendoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1435Thu, 06 Aug 2020 08:45:16 +0200Structured Eurobonds - Optimal Construction, Impact on the Euro and the Influence of Interest Rates
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1429
Structured Eurobonds are a prominent topic in the discussions how to complete the monetary and fiscal union. This work sheds light on several issues going hand in hand with the introduction of common bonds. At first a crucial question is on the optimal construction, e.g. what is the optimal common liability. Other questions that arise belong to the time after the introduction. The impact on several exchnage rates is examined in this work. Finally an approximation bias in forward-looking DSGE models is quantified which would lead to an adjustment of central bank interest rates and therefore has an impact on the other two topics.Marc-Patrick Adolphdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1429Wed, 29 Jul 2020 10:50:53 +0200Essays on new and established types of entrepreneurial finance: venture capital, business angels, and the emergence of initial coin offerings (ICOs)
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1425
Entrepreneurial ventures are associated with economic growth, job creation, and innovation. Most entrepreneurial ventures need external funding to succeed. However, they often find it difficult to access traditional forms of financing, such as bank loans. To overcome this hurdle and to provide entrepreneurial ventures with badly-needed external capital, many types of entrepreneurial finance have emerged over the past decades and continue to emerge today. Inspired by these dynamics, this postdoctoral thesis contains five empirical studies that address novel questions regarding established (e.g., venture capital, business angels) and new types of entrepreneurial finance (i.e., initial coin offerings).Christian Fischhabilitationhttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1425Fri, 24 Jul 2020 14:50:32 +0200Financial Performance and Capital Structure of Family Firms: Meta-Analytical Investigations
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1415
With two-thirds to three-quarters of all companies, family firms are the most common firm type worldwide and employ around 60 percent of all employees, making them of considerable importance for almost all economies. Despite this high practical relevance, academic research took notice of family firms as intriguing research subjects comparatively late. However, the field of family business research has grown eminently over the past two decades and has established itself as a mature research field with a broad thematic scope. In addition to questions relating to corporate governance, family firm succession and the consideration of entrepreneurial families themselves, researchers mainly focused on the impact of family involvement in firms on their financial performance and firm strategy. This dissertation examines the financial performance and capital structure of family firms in various meta-analytical studies. Meta-analysis is a suitable method for summarizing existing empirical findings of a research field as well as identifying relevant moderators of a relationship of interest.
First, the dissertation examines the question whether family firms show better financial performance than non-family firms. A replication and extension of the study by O’Boyle et al. (2012) based on 1,095 primary studies reveals a slightly better performance of family firms compared to non-family firms. Investigating the moderating impact of methodological choices in primary studies, the results show that outperformance holds mainly for large and publicly listed firms and with regard to accounting-based performance measures. Concerning country culture, family firms show better performance in individualistic countries and countries with a low power distance.
Furthermore, this dissertation investigates the sensitivity of family firm performance with regard to business cycle fluctuations. Family firms show a pro-cyclical performance pattern, i.e. their relative financial performance compared to non-family firms is better in economically good times. This effect is particularly pronounced in Anglo-American countries and emerging markets.
In the next step, a meta-analytic structural equation model (MASEM) is used to examine the market valuation of public family firms. In this model, profitability and firm strategic choices are used as mediators. On the one hand, family firm status itself does not have an impact on firms‘ market value. On the other hand, this study finds a positive indirect effect via higher profitability levels and a negative indirect effect via lower R&D intensity. A split consideration of family ownership and management shows that these two effects are mainly driven by family ownership, while family management results in less diversification and internationalization.
Finally, the dissertation examines the capital structure of public family firms. Univariate meta-analyses indicate on average lower leverage ratios in family firms compared to non-family firms. However, there is significant heterogeneity in mean effect sizes across the 45 countries included in the study. The results of a meta-regression reveal that family firms use leverage strategically to secure their controlling position in the firm. While strong creditor protection leads to lower leverage ratios in family firms, strong shareholder protection has the opposite effect.Christopher Hansendoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1415Mon, 25 May 2020 10:58:54 +0200Regularization Methods for Statistical Modelling in Small Area Estimation
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1407
Joscha Krausedoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1407Thu, 30 Apr 2020 06:57:50 +0200Islamic Religion and Entrepreneurship
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1389
Entrepreneurship has become an essential phenomenon all over the world because it is a major driving force behind the economic growth and development of a country. It is widely accepted that entrepreneurship development in a country creates new jobs, pro-motes healthy competition through innovation, and benefits the social well being of individuals and societies. The policymakers in both developed and developing countries focus on entrepreneurship because it helps to alleviate impediments to economic development and social welfare. Therefore, policymakers and academic researchers consider the promotion of entrepreneurship as essential for the economy and research-based support is needed for further development of entrepreneurship activities.
The impact of entrepreneurial activities on economic and social development also varies from country to country. The effect of entrepreneurial activities on economic and social development also varies from country to country because the level of entrepreneur-ship activities also varies from one region to another or one country to another. To under-stand these variations, policymakers have investigated the determinants of entrepreneur-ship at different levels, such as the individual, industry, and country levels. Moreover, entrepreneurship behavior is influenced by various personal and environmental level factors. However, these personal-level factors cannot be separated from the surrounding environment.
The link between religion and entrepreneurship is well established and can be traced back to Weber (1930). Researchers have analyzed the relationship between religion and entrepreneurship from various perspectives, and the research related to religion and entrepreneurship is diversified and scattered across disciplines. This dissertation tries to explain the link between religion and entrepreneurship, specifically Islamic religion and entrepreneurship. Technically this dissertation comprises three parts. The first part of this dissertation consists of two chapters that discuss the definition and theories of entrepreneurship (Chapter 2) and the theoretical relationship between religion and entrepreneur-ship (Chapter 3).
The second part of this dissertation (Chapter 4) provides an overview of the field with a purpose to gain a better understanding of the field’s current state of knowledge to bridge the different views and perspectives. In order to provide an overview of the field, a systematic literature search leading to a descriptive overview of the field based on 270 articles published in 163 journals Subsequently, bibliometric methods are used to identify thematic clusters, the most influential authors and articles, and how they are connected.
The third part of this dissertation (Chapter 5) empirically evaluates the influence of Islamic values and Islamic religious practices on entrepreneurship intentions within the Islamic community. Using the theory of planned behavior as a theoretical lens, we also take into account that the relationship between religion and entrepreneurial intentions can be mediated by individual’s attitude towards entrepreneurship. A self-administrative questionnaire was used to collect the responses from a sample of 1895 Pakistani university students. A structured equation modeling was adopted to perform a nuanced assessment of the relationship between Islamic values and practices and entrepreneurship intentions and to account for mediating effect of attitude towards entrepreneurship.
The research on religion and entrepreneurship has increased sharply during the last years and is scattered across various academic disciplines and fields. The analysis identifies and characterize the most important publications, journals, and authors in the area and map the analyzed religions and regions. The comprehensive overview of previous studies allows us to identify research gaps and derive avenues for future research in a substantiated way. Moreover, this dissertation helps the research scholars to understand the field in its entirety, identify relevant articles, and to uncover parallels and differences across religions and regions. Besides, the study reveals a lack of empirical research related to specific religions and specific regions. Therefore, scholars can take these regions and religions into consideration when conducting empirical research.
Furthermore, the empirical analysis about the influence of Islamic religious values and Islamic religious practices show that Islamic values served as a guiding principle in shaping people’s attitudes towards entrepreneurship in an Islamic community; they had an indirect influence on entrepreneurship intention through attitude. Similarly, the relationship between Islamic religious practices and the entrepreneurship intentions of students was fully mediated by the attitude towards entrepreneurship. Furthermore, this dissertation contributes to prior research on entrepreneurship in Islamic communities by applying a more fine-grained approach to capture the link between religion and entrepreneurship. Moreover, it contributes to the literature on entrepreneurship intentions by showing that the influence of religion on entrepreneurship intentions is mainly due to religious values and practices, which shape the attitude towards entrepreneurship and thereby influence entrepreneurship intentions in religious communities. The entrepreneur-ship research has put a higher emphasis on assessing the influence of a diverse set of con-textual factors. This dissertation introduces Islamic values and Islamic religious practices as critical contextual factors that shape entrepreneurship in countries that are characterized by the Islamic religion.Muhammad Farooq Rehandoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1389Tue, 10 Mar 2020 14:22:48 +0100Decision Criteria in Acquisition Target Screening: Decision Weights, Acquirer Types and Differences between Family and Non-Family Firms and within the Group of Family Firms
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1378
This dissertation investigates corporate acquisition decisions that represent important corporate development activities for family and non-family firms. The main research objective of this dissertation is to generate insights into the subjective decision-making behavior of corporate decision-makers from family and non-family firms and their weighting of M&A decision-criteria during the early pre-acquisition target screening and selection process. The main methodology chosen for the investigation of M&A decision-making preferences and the weighting of M&A decision criteria is a choice-based conjoint analysis. The overall sample of this dissertation consists of 304 decision-makers from 264 private and public family and non-family firms from mainly Germany and the DACH-region. In the first empirical part of the dissertation, the relative importance of strategic, organizational and financial M&A decision-criteria for corporate acquirers in acquisition target screening is investigated. In addition, the author uses a cluster analysis to explore whether distinct decision-making patterns exist in acquisition target screening. In the second empirical part, the dissertation explores whether there are differences in investment preferences in acquisition target screening between family and non-family firms and within the group of family firms. With regards to the heterogeneity of family firms, the dissertation generated insights into how family-firm specific characteristics like family management, the generational stage of the firm and non-economic goals such as transgenerational control intention influences the weighting of different M&A decision criteria in acquisition target screening. The dissertation contributes to strategic management research, in specific to M&A literature, and to family business research. The results of this dissertation generate insights into the weighting of M&A decision-making criteria and facilitate a better understanding of corporate M&A decisions in family and non-family firms. The findings show that decision-making preferences (hence the weighting of M&A decision criteria) are influenced by characteristics of the individual decision-maker, the firm and the environment in which the firm operates.Silvia Moyses-Scheingruberdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1378Thu, 13 Feb 2020 07:29:14 +0100Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Models
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1349
In the modeling context, non-linearities and uncertainty go hand in hand. In fact, the utility function's curvature determines the degree of risk-aversion. This concept is exploited in the first article of this thesis, which incorporates uncertainty into a small-scale DSGE model. More specifically, this is done by a second-order approximation, while carrying out the derivation in great detail and carefully discussing the more formal aspects. Moreover, the consequences of this method are discussed when calibrating the equilibrium condition. The second article of the thesis considers the essential model part of the first paper and focuses on the (forward-looking) data needed to meet the model's requirements. A large number of uncertainty measures are utilized to explain a possible approximation bias. The last article keeps to the same topic but uses statistical distributions instead of actual data. In addition, theoretical (model) and calibrated (data) parameters are used to produce more general statements. In this way, several relationships are revealed with regard to a biased interpretation of this class of models. In this dissertation, the respective approaches are explained in full detail and also how they build on each other.
In summary, the question remains whether the exact interpretation of model equations should play a role in macroeconomics. If we answer this positively, this work shows to what extent the practical use can lead to biased results.Tobias Kranzdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1349Tue, 11 Feb 2020 15:21:05 +0100Consistent Estimation in Household Surveys
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1235
This dissertation deals with consistent estimates in household surveys. Household surveys are often drawn via cluster sampling, with households sampled at the first stage and persons selected at the second stage. The collected data provide information for estimation at both the person and the household level. However, consistent estimates are desirable in the sense that the estimated household-level totals should coincide with the estimated totals obtained at the person-level. Current practice in statistical offices is to use integrated weighting. In this approach consistent estimates are guaranteed by equal weights for all persons within a household and the household itself. However, due to the forced equality of weights, the individual patterns of persons are lost and the heterogeneity within households is not taken into account. In order to avoid the negative consequences of integrated weighting, we propose alternative weighting methods in the first part of this dissertation that ensure both consistent estimates and individual person weights within a household. The underlying idea is to limit the consistency conditions to variables that emerge in both the personal and household data sets. These common variables are included in the person- and household-level estimator as additional auxiliary variables. This achieves consistency more directly and only for the relevant variables, rather than indirectly by forcing equal weights on all persons within a household. Further decisive advantages of the proposed alternative weighting methods are that original individual rather than the constructed aggregated auxiliaries are utilized and that the variable selection process is more flexible because different auxiliary variables can be incorporated in the person-level estimator than in the household-level estimator.
In the second part of this dissertation, the variances of a person-level GREG estimator and an integrated estimator are compared in order to quantify the effects of the consistency requirements in the integrated weighting approach. One of the challenges is that the estimators to be compared are of different dimensions. The proposed solution is to decompose the variance of the integrated estimator into the variance of a reduced GREG estimator, whose underlying model is of the same dimensions as the person-level GREG estimator, and add a constructed term that captures the effects disregarded by the reduced model. Subsequently, further fields of application for the derived decomposition are proposed such as the variable selection process in the field of econometrics or survey statistics.Anne Konraddoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1235Thu, 05 Dec 2019 11:18:57 +0100Nonlocal models with truncated interaction kernels - analysis, finite element methods and shape optimization
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1225
Nonlocal operators are used in a wide variety of models and applications due to many natural phenomena being driven by nonlocal dynamics. Nonlocal operators are integral operators allowing for interactions between two distinct points in space. The nonlocal models investigated in this thesis involve kernels that are assumed to have a finite range of nonlocal interactions. Kernels of this type are used in nonlocal elasticity and convection-diffusion models as well as finance and image analysis. Also within the mathematical theory they arouse great interest, as they are asymptotically related to fractional and classical differential equations.
The results in this thesis can be grouped according to the following three aspects: modeling and analysis, discretization and optimization.
Mathematical models demonstrate their true usefulness when put into numerical practice. For computational purposes, it is important that the support of the kernel is clearly determined. Therefore nonlocal interactions are typically assumed to occur within an Euclidean ball of finite radius. In this thesis we consider more general interaction sets including norm induced balls as special cases and extend established results about well-posedness and asymptotic limits.
The discretization of integral equations is a challenging endeavor. Especially kernels which are truncated by Euclidean balls require carefully designed quadrature rules for the implementation of efficient finite element codes. In this thesis we investigate the computational benefits of polyhedral interaction sets as well as geometrically approximated interaction sets. In addition to that we outline the computational advantages of sufficiently structured problem settings.
Shape optimization methods have been proven useful for identifying interfaces in models governed by partial differential equations. Here we consider a class of shape optimization problems constrained by nonlocal equations which involve interface-dependent kernels. We derive the shape derivative associated to the nonlocal system model and solve the problem by established numerical techniques.Christian Vollmanndoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1225Tue, 27 Aug 2019 14:06:24 +0200Cardinality-Constrained Discrete Optimization for Regression
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1209
We consider a linear regression model for which we assume that some of the observed variables are irrelevant for the prediction. Including the wrong variables in the statistical model can either lead to the problem of having too little information to properly estimate the statistic of interest, or having too much information and consequently describing fictitious connections. This thesis considers discrete optimization to conduct a variable selection. In light of this, the subset selection regression method is analyzed. The approach gained a lot of interest in recent years due to its promising predictive performance. A major challenge associated with the subset selection regression is the computational difficulty. In this thesis, we propose several improvements for the efficiency of the method. Novel bounds on the coefficients of the subset selection regression are developed, which help to tighten the relaxation of the associated mixed-integer program, which relies on a Big-M formulation. Moreover, a novel mixed-integer linear formulation for the subset selection regression based on a bilevel optimization reformulation is proposed. Finally, it is shown that the perspective formulation of the subset selection regression is equivalent to a state-of-the-art binary formulation. We use this insight to develop novel bounds for the subset selection regression problem, which show to be highly effective in combination with the proposed linear formulation.
In the second part of this thesis, we examine the statistical conception of the subset selection regression and conclude that it is misaligned with its intention. The subset selection regression uses the training error to decide on which variables to select. The approach conducts the validation on the training data, which oftentimes is not a good estimate of the prediction error. Hence, it requires a predetermined cardinality bound. Instead, we propose to select variables with respect to the cross-validation value. The process is formulated as a mixed-integer program with the sparsity becoming subject of the optimization. Usually, a cross-validation is used to select the best model out of a few options. With the proposed program the best model out of all possible models is selected. Since the cross-validation is a much better estimate of the prediction error, the model can select the best sparsity itself.
The thesis is concluded with an extensive simulation study which provides evidence that discrete optimization can be used to produce highly valuable predictive models with the cross-validation subset selection regression almost always producing the best results.Dennis Kreberdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1209Tue, 20 Aug 2019 09:02:53 +0200Optimization in Tensor Spaces for Data Science and Scientific Computing
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1107
In this thesis, we consider the solution of high-dimensional optimization problems with an underlying low-rank tensor structure. Due to the exponentially increasing computational complexity in the number of dimensions—the so-called curse of dimensionality—they present a considerable computational challenge and become infeasible even for moderate problem sizes.
Multilinear algebra and tensor numerical methods have a wide range of applications in the fields of data science and scientific computing. Due to the typically large problem sizes in practical settings, efficient methods, which exploit low-rank structures, are essential. In this thesis, we consider an application each in both of these fields.
Tensor completion, or imputation of unknown values in partially known multiway data is an important problem, which appears in statistics, mathematical imaging science and data science. Under the assumption of redundancy in the underlying data, this is a well-defined problem and methods of mathematical optimization can be applied to it.
Due to the fact that tensors of fixed rank form a Riemannian submanifold of the ambient high-dimensional tensor space, Riemannian optimization is a natural framework for these problems, which is both mathematically rigorous and computationally efficient.
We present a novel Riemannian trust-region scheme, which compares favourably with the state of the art on selected application cases and outperforms known methods on some test problems.
Optimization problems governed by partial differential equations form an area of scientific computing which has applications in a variety of areas, ranging from physics to financial mathematics. Due to the inherent high dimensionality of optimization problems arising from discretized differential equations, these problems present computational challenges, especially in the case of three or more dimensions. An even more challenging class of optimization problems has operators of integral instead of differential type in the constraint. These operators are nonlocal, and therefore lead to large, dense discrete systems of equations. We present a novel solution method, based on separation of spatial dimensions and provably low-rank approximation of the nonlocal operator. Our approach allows the solution of multidimensional problems with a complexity which is only slightly larger than linear in the univariate grid size; this improves the state of the art for a particular test problem problem by at least two orders of magnitude.Gennadij Heideldoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1107Tue, 16 Apr 2019 08:27:22 +0200Venture capitalists’ decision-making in later-stage ventures
https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1037
External capital plays an important role in financing entrepreneurial ventures, due to limited internal capital sources. An important external capital provider for entrepreneurial ventures are venture capitalists (VCs). VCs worldwide are often confronted with thousands of proposals of entrepreneurial ventures per year and must choose among all of these companies in which to invest. Not only do VCs finance companies at their early stages, but they also finance entrepreneurial companies in their later stages, when companies have secured their first market success. That is why this dissertation focuses on the decision-making behavior of VCs when investing in later-stage ventures. This dissertation uses both qualitative as well as quantitative research methods in order to provide answer to how the decision-making behavior of VCs that invest in later-stage ventures can be described.
Based on qualitative interviews with 19 investment professionals, the first insight gained is that for different stages of venture development, different decision criteria are applied. This is attributed to different risks and goals of ventures at different stages, as well as the different types of information available. These decision criteria in the context of later-stage ventures contrast with results from studies that focus on early-stage ventures. Later-stage ventures possess meaningful information on financials (revenue growth and profitability), the established business model, and existing external investors that is not available for early-stage ventures and therefore constitute new decision criteria for this specific context.
Following this identification of the most relevant decision criteria for investors in the context of later-stage ventures, a conjoint study with 749 participants was carried out to understand the relative importance of decision criteria. The results showed that investors attribute the highest importance to 1) revenue growth, (2) value-added of products/services for customers, and (3) management team track record, demonstrating differences when compared to decision-making studies in the context of early-stage ventures.
Not only do the characteristics of a venture influence the decision to invest, additional indirect factors, such as individual characteristics or characteristics of the investment firm, can influence individual decisions. Relying on cognitive theory, this study investigated the influence of various individual characteristics on screening decisions and found that both investment experience and entrepreneurial experience have an influence on individual decision-making behavior. This study also examined whether goals, incentive structures, resources, and governance of the investment firm influence decision making in the context of later-stage ventures. This study particularly investigated two distinct types of investment firms, family offices and corporate venture capital funds (CVC), which have unique structures, goals, and incentive systems. Additional quantitative analysis showed that family offices put less focus on high-growth firms and whether reputable investors are present. They tend to focus more on the profitability of a later-stage venture in the initial screening. The analysis showed that CVCs place greater importance on product and business model characteristics than other investors. CVCs also favor later-stage ventures with lower revenue growth rates, indicating a preference for less risky investments. The results provide various insights for theory and practice.René Andresdoctoralthesishttps://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/1037Mon, 18 Mar 2019 10:21:13 +0100