Filtern
Erscheinungsjahr
Dokumenttyp
- Dissertation (832) (entfernen)
Sprache
- Deutsch (488)
- Englisch (333)
- Mehrsprachig (7)
- Französisch (4)
Schlagworte
- Stress (37)
- Deutschland (33)
- Modellierung (18)
- Fernerkundung (17)
- Optimierung (17)
- Hydrocortison (16)
- stress (15)
- Motivation (12)
- Stressreaktion (12)
- cortisol (12)
Institut
- Psychologie (181)
- Raum- und Umweltwissenschaften (148)
- Mathematik (62)
- Wirtschaftswissenschaften (61)
- Fachbereich 4 (54)
- Fachbereich 1 (29)
- Geschichte, mittlere und neuere (28)
- Germanistik (26)
- Informatik (26)
- Kunstgeschichte (22)
The discretization of optimal control problems governed by partial differential equations typically leads to large-scale optimization problems. We consider flow control involving the time-dependent Navier-Stokes equations as state equation which is stamped by exactly this property. In order to avoid the difficulties of dealing with large-scale (discretized) state equations during the optimization process, a reduction of the number of state variables can be achieved by employing a reduced order modelling technique. Using the snapshot proper orthogonal decomposition method, one obtains a low-dimensional model for the computation of an approximate solution to the state equation. In fact, often a small number of POD basis functions suffices to obtain a satisfactory level of accuracy in the reduced order solution. However, the small number of degrees of freedom in a POD based reduced order model also constitutes its main weakness for optimal control purposes. Since a single reduced order model is based on the solution of the Navier-Stokes equations for a specified control, it might be an inadequate model when the control (and consequently also the actual corresponding flow behaviour) is altered, implying that the range of validity of a reduced order model, in general, is limited. Thus, it is likely to meet unreliable reduced order solutions during a control problem solution based on one single reduced order model. In order to get out of this dilemma, we propose to use a trust-region proper orthogonal decomposition (TRPOD) approach. By embedding the POD based reduced order modelling technique into a trust-region framework with general model functions, we obtain a mechanism for updating the reduced order models during the optimization process, enabling the reduced order models to represent the flow dynamics as altered by the control. In fact, a rigorous convergence theory for the TRPOD method is obtained which justifies this procedure also from a theoretical point of view. Benefiting from the trust-region philosophy, the TRPOD method guarantees to save a lot of computational work during the control problem solution, since the original state equation only has to be solved if we intend to update our model function in the trust-region framework. The optimization process itself is completely based on reduced order information only.
This dissertation is dedicated to the analysis of the stabilty of portfolio risk and the impact of European regulation introducing risk based classifications for investment funds.
The first paper examines the relationship between portfolio size and the stability of mutual fund risk measures, presenting evidence for economies of scale in risk management. In a unique sample of 338 fund portfolios we find that the volatility of risk numbers decreases for larger funds. This finding holds for dispersion as well as tail risk measures. Further analyses across asset classes provide evidence for the robustness of the effect for balanced and fixed income portfolios. However, a size effect did not emerge for equity funds, suggesting that equity fund managers simply scale their strategy up as they grow. Analyses conducted on the differences in risk stability between tail risk measures and volatilities reveal that smaller funds show higher discrepancies in that respect. In contrast to the majority of prior studies on the basis of ex-post time series risk numbers, this study contributes to the literature by using ex-ante risk numbers based on the actual assets and de facto portfolio data.
The second paper examines the influence of European legislation regarding risk classification of mutual funds. We conduct analyses on a set of worldwide equity indices and find that a strategy based on the long term volatility as it is imposed by the Synthetic Risk Reward Indicator (SRRI) would lead to substantial variations in exposures ranging from short phases of very high leverage to long periods of under investments that would be required to keep the risk classes. In some cases, funds will be forced to migrate to higher risk classes due to limited means to reduce volatilities after crises events. In other cases they might have to migrate to lower risk classes or increase their leverage to ridiculous amounts. Overall, we find if the SRRI creates a binding mechanism for fund managers, it will create substantial interference with the core investment strategy and may incur substantial deviations from it. Fruthermore due to the forced migrations the SRRI degenerates to a passive indicator.
The third paper examines the impact of this volatility based fund classification on portfolio performance. Using historical data on equity indices we find initially that a strategy based on long term portfolio volatility, as it is imposed by the Synthetic Risk Reward Indicator (SRRI), yields better Sharpe Ratios (SRs) and Buy and Hold Returns (BHRs) for the investment strategies matching the risk classes. Accounting for the Fama-French factors reveals no significant alphas for the vast majority of the strategies. In our simulation study where volatility was modelled through a GJR(1,1) - model we find no significant difference in mean returns, but significantly lower SRs for the volatility based strategies. These results were confirmed in robustness checks using alternative models and timeframes. Overall we present evidence which suggests that neither the higher leverage induced by the SRRI nor the potential protection in downside markets does pay off on a risk adjusted basis.
The Eurosystem's Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) collects micro data on private households' balance sheets, income and consumption. It is a stylised fact that wealth is unequally distributed and that the wealthiest own a large share of total wealth. For sample surveys which aim at measuring wealth and its distribution, this is a considerable problem. To overcome it, some of the country surveys under the HFCS umbrella try to sample a disproportionately large share of households that are likely to be wealthy, a technique referred to as oversampling. Ignoring such types of complex survey designs in the estimation of regression models can lead to severe problems. This thesis first illustrates such problems using data from the first wave of the HFCS and canonical regression models from the field of household finance and gives a first guideline for HFCS data users regarding the use of replicate weight sets for variance estimation using a variant of the bootstrap. A further investigation of the issue necessitates a design-based Monte Carlo simulation study. To this end, the already existing large close-to-reality synthetic simulation population AMELIA is extended with synthetic wealth data. We discuss different approaches to the generation of synthetic micro data in the context of the extension of a synthetic simulation population that was originally based on a different data source. We propose an additional approach that is suitable for the generation of highly skewed synthetic micro data in such a setting using a multiply-imputed survey data set. After a description of the survey designs employed in the first wave of the HFCS, we then construct new survey designs for AMELIA that share core features of the HFCS survey designs. A design-based Monte Carlo simulation study shows that while more conservative approaches to oversampling do not pose problems for the estimation of regression models if sampling weights are properly accounted for, the same does not necessarily hold for more extreme oversampling approaches. This issue should be further analysed in future research.
Family firms play a crucial role in the DACH region (Germany, Austria, Switzerland). They are characterized by a long tradition, a strong connection to the region, and a well-established network. However, family firms also face challenges, especially in finding a suitable successor. Wealthy entrepreneurial families are increasingly opting to establish Single Family Offices (SFOs) as a solution to this challenge. An SFO takes on the management and protection of family wealth. Its goal is to secure and grow the wealth over generations. In Germany alone, there are an estimated 350 to 450 SFOs, with 70% of them being established after the year 2000. However, research on SFOs is still in its early stages, particularly regarding the role of SFOs as firm owners. This dissertation delves into an exploration of SFOs through four quantitative empirical studies. The first study provides a descriptive overview of 216 SFOs from the DACH-region. Findings reveal that SFOs exhibit a preference for investing in established companies and real estate. Notably, only about a third of SFOs engage in investments in start-ups. Moreover, SFOs as a group are heterogeneous. Categorizing them into three groups based on their relationship with the entrepreneurial family and the original family firm reveals significant differences in their asset allocation strategies. Subsequent studies in this dissertation leverage a hand-collected sample of 173 SFO-owned firms from the DACH region, meticulously matched with 684 family-owned firms from the same region. The second study focusing on financial performance indicates that SFO-owned firms tend to exhibit comparatively poorer financial performance than family-owned firms. However, when members of the SFO-owning family hold positions on the supervisory or executive board of the firm, there's a notable improvement. The third study, concerning cash holdings, reveals that SFO-owned firms maintain a higher cash holding ratio compared to family-owned firms. Notably, this effect is magnified when the SFO has divested its initial family firms. Lastly, the fourth study regarding capital structure highlights that SFO-owned firms tend to display a higher long-term debt ratio than family-owned firms. This suggests that SFO-owned firms operate within a trade-off theory framework, like private equity-owned firms. Furthermore, this effect is stronger for SFOs that sold their original family firm. The outcomes of this research are poised to provide entrepreneurial families with a practical guide for effectively managing and leveraging SFOs as a strategic long-term instrument for succession and investment planning.
Im Mittelpunkt der Arbeit Freizeithandeln Jugendlicher - Motive und Bedeutungen stehen die subjektiven Bedeutungen jugendlichen Freizeithandelns. Dazu wurden zentrale Freizeitmotive ermittelt, mit denen Jugendliche ihrer Freizeit Bedeutung verleihen. Ist als Folge der modernen Bedingungen des Aufwachsens Spasserleben zu einem typischen Kennzeichen des Freizeithandelns der heutigen Jugend geworden, wie dies z. B. OPASCHOWSKI zu erkennen glaubt? Die bundesdeutsche Gesellschaft hat sich in den letzten Jahrzehnten in vielerlei Hinsicht gewandelt. Traditionelle Orientierungen und Segmentierungen (z. B. schicht- bzw. milieuspezifische Lebensweisen) haben ihre Verbindlichkeit eingebuesst. In einer komplexer werdenden Umwelt gehen traditionell gegebene Orientierungen des alltaeglichen Lebens verloren. Welche Auswirkungen haben solche Veraenderungen auf Jugendliche? Ist die hohe Bedeutung von Spasserleben die Antwort? Beduerfnisse und Beweggruende fuer Freizeithandeln koennen vielfaeltig sein. Die Arbeit konzentriert sich auf den Lebensbereich der Freizeit und verfolgt das Ziel, ihre subjektive Bedeutung fuer Jugendliche zu analysieren. Hierzu wird zunaechst der Stand der Forschung im Hinblick auf die Besonderheiten der Jugendphase und die Freizeitgestaltung Jugendlicher aufgezeigt. Die subjektive Bedeutung wird ueber die Rekonstruktion von Freizeitmotiven herausgearbeitet. Sie duerften ein zentrales Element der Bedeutungen sein, in denen Menschen den Zusammenhang zwischen innerer und aeusserer Umwelt herstellen und durch die einzelne Aktivitaeten ihren subjektiven Sinn finden. Zentrale Annahmen der Arbeit Der Lebensbereich Freizeit wird aus einer eher marktorientierten Sichtweise analysiert. Allen Akteuren des Freizeitmarktes kann unterstellt werden, dass ihrem Agieren auf dem Markt eine Zielstruktur zugrunde liegt, die sich - allgemein formuliert - handlungsleitend auf ihre jeweiligen Aktivitaeten auswirkt. Diese Zielstruktur muss nach Ansicht d. V. dem jeweiligen Marktakteur und insbesondere den Jugendlichen jedoch nicht notwendigerweise als klar formulierbare Verhaltensabsicht bewusst sein. Die von den Jugendlichen selbst wahrgenommenen Antriebskraefte fuer Nachfrage und Ausuebung ausgewaehlter Freizeittaetigkeiten werden hier als Motive bezeichnet. Ueber spezifische Motive geben sie ihrer Freizeit einen subjektiven Sinn, der fuer sie wiederum handlungsrelevant wird. Dementsprechend wird untersucht, welche Motive von Jugendlichen fuer ihre vielfaeltigen Freizeitaktivitaeten genannt werden. Die Bedeutung von Freizeit kann mit typischen Mustern dargestellt werden, die Einzelaktivitaeten uebergreifen.
The influence of the dopamine agonist Ritalin-® on performance in a card sorting task involving a monetary reward component was tested in 43 healthy male participants. It was investigated whether Ritalin-® would have differential behavioral effects as a function of the participants' parental bonding experiences and the personality variable "Novelty Seeking". When activity and performance accuracy were stimulated my monetary reward, Ritalin-® reduced activity in response to reward and added to the reward-induced increase in performance accuracy. However, performance accuracy after drug challenge was improved only in the low care participants. In the high care participants, it was contrarily impaired. This observation suggests that the successful therapeutic administration of Ritalin-® in ADHD may be influenced by early life parental care. Suggesting an association between the personality dimension of "Novelty Seeking" and the dopamine system, high "Novelty Seeking" scores positively correlated with sensitivity to Ritalin-® challenge.
Zum Einfluss von Transformationen schiefer Verteilungen auf die Analyse mit imputierten Daten
(2015)
Die korrekte Behandlung fehlender Daten in empirischen Untersuchungen spielt zunehmend eine wichtige Rolle in der anwendungsorientierten, quantitativen Forschung. Als zentrales flexibles Instrument wurde von Rubin (1987) die multiple Imputation entwickelt, welche unter regulären Bedingungen eine korrekte Inferenz der eigentlichen Schätzungen ermöglicht. Eine Reihe von Imputationsmethoden beruht im Wesentlichen auf der Normalverteilungsannahme. In der Empirie wird diese Annahme normalverteilter Daten zunehmend kritisiert. So erweisen sich Variablen auf Grund ihrer sehr schiefen Verteilungen für die Imputation als besonders problematisch. In dieser Arbeit steht die korrekte Behandlung fehlender Werte mit der Intention einer validen Inferenz der eigentlichen Schätzung im Vordergrund. Ein Instrument ist die Transformation schiefer Verteilungen, um mit Hilfe der transformierten und approximativ normalverteilten Daten Imputationen unter regulären Bedingungen durchzuführen. In der Arbeit wird ein multivariater Ansatz eingeführt. Anschließend wird im Rahmen mehrerer Monte-Carlo-Simulationsstudien gezeigt, dass der neue Ansatz bereits bekannte Verfahren dominiert und sich die Transformation positiv auf die Analyse mit imputierten Daten auswirkt.
Early life adversity (ELA) is associated with a higher risk for diseases in adulthood. Changes in the immune system have been proposed to underlie this association. Although higher levels of inflammation and immunosenescence have been reported, data on cell-specific immune effects are largely absent. In addition, stress systems and health behaviors are altered in ELA, which may contribute to the generation of the "ELA immune phenotype". In this thesis, we have investigated the ELA immune phenotype on a cellular level and whether this is an indirect consequence of changes in behavior or stress reactivity. To address these questions the EpiPath cohort was established, consisting of 115 young adults with or without ELA. ELA participants had experienced separation from their parents in early childhood and were subsequently adopted, which is a standard model for ELA, whereas control participants grew up with their biological parents. At a first visit, blood samples were taken for analysis of epigenetic markers and immune parameters. A selection of the cohort underwent a standardized laboratory stress test (SLST). Endocrine, immune, and cardiovascular parameters were assessed at several time points before and after stress. At a second visit, participants underwent structural clinical interviews and filled out psychological questionnaires. We observed a higher number of activated T cells in ELA, measured by HLA-DR and CD25 expression. Neither cortisol levels nor health-risk behaviors explained the observed group differences. Besides a trend towards higher numbers of CCR4+CXCR3-CCR6+ CD4 T cells in ELA, relative numbers of immune cell subsets in circulation were similar between groups. No difference was observed in telomere length or in methylation levels of age-related CpGs in whole blood. However, we found a higher expression of senescence markers (CD57) on T cells in ELA. In addition, these cells had an increased cytolytic potential. A mediation analysis demonstrated that cytomegalovirus infection " an important driving force of immunosenescence " largely accounted for elevated CD57 expression. The psychological investigations revealed that after adoption, family conditions appeared to have been similar to the controls. However, PhD thesis MMC Elwenspoek 18 ELA participants scored higher on a depression index, chronic stress, and lower on self-esteem. Psychological, endocrine, and cardiovascular parameters significantly responded to the SLST, but were largely similar between the two groups. Only in a smaller subset of groups matched for gender, BMI, and age, the cortisol response seemed to be blunted in ELA participants. Although we found small differences in the methylation level of the GR promoter, GR sensitivity and mRNA expression levels GR as well as expression of the GR target genes FKBP5 and GILZ were similar between groups. Taken together, our data suggest an elevated state of immune activation in ELA, in which particularly T cells are affected. Furthermore, we found higher levels of T cells immunosenescence in ELA. Our data suggest that ELA may increase the risk of cytomegalovirus infection in early childhood, thereby mediating the effect of ELA on T cell specific immunosenescence. Importantly, we found no evidence of HPA dysregulation in participants exposed to ELA in the EpiPath cohort. Thus, the observed immune phenotype does not seem to be secondary to alterations in the stress system or health-risk behaviors, but rather a primary effect of early life programming on immune cells. Longitudinal studies will be necessary to further dissect cause from effect in the development of the ELA immune phenotype.
Habitat selection of nine songbird species (Sylviidae, Prunellidae, Emberizidae, Fringillidae, Laniidae) in a semi-open transitional landscape (wood/meadow ecotone) is assessed and compared by a quantitative approach over a period of three years. The structural diversity and heterogeneity of this landscape allows a common occurrence to bird species that are spatially segregated in other habitats. On the one hand habitat selection, which in this study is defined by the choice of vegetation structures at the microhabitat level, is regarded as the confrontation of the single bird individuals with their environment and on the other hand as a common trait of subpopulations. The process of habitat selection is only real at the level of the individual. Drawing against this background, a model for the quantification of habitat selection is introduced, making possible an objective analysis of both individual and average habitat selection (not explaining the process itself, however, that leads to the observed habitat selection). The influence of several structural features, mainly regarding the shape of vegetational subunits, on the dispersion of the birds on the plots is analyzed by means of quantitative methods (factor analysis, cluster analysis, discriminant analysis). Preferences and avoidances, constancy in time and space and the degree of selectivity of the specific choice of vegetational structures are discussed in detail for each bird species. There is quantitative evidence that along with increasing abstraction from the individual in the form of spatially increasing data aggregation, the specific distinctness of habitat preferences as a common trait increases. This happens, however, at the expense of information about the variability of the individual selective behaviour. Therefore the flexibility of a bird species would be underrated cosiderably, confining habitat selection to its meaning as an integrating trait of populations. Habitat selection is a dynamic process. It is shown that the structural offer in a landscape strongly influences the result of the species" habitat selection. The availability of vegetational structures on a plot determines the quantitative structural framework, which may be more or less quantitatively modified by the single species. Nevertheless, the structural offer is reflected clearly in the selected structural portions of the bird species. Therefore opportunism and selectivity in the form of structural preferences and avoidances in habitat selection have to be interpreted against the background of the quantitative composition of the vegetational structures that a landscape offers to the birds.
Dans une perspective du développement touristique durable du territoire d'Agadir / région Souss Massa Draa (Maroc), qu'est un territoire touristique offrant un produit balnéaire diversifié et généralement consolidé par une offre en matière du tourisme rural. Ce travail de recherche vise la mise en œuvre d"un management environnemental adapté à la situation locale, conforme aux normes internationales et à l'apporté des entreprises touristiques y opérant. Ainsi, la réalisation d"un diagnostic environnemental est une étape fondamentale et se fera à l'aide de quatre différents outils d'enquête (Observation, guide d"entretien, grille d'évaluation et questionnaires). Cependant, il va falloir choisir les cas leadeurs en la matière - s'ils existent - pour les présenter aux managers afin de les sensibiliser concrètement à la nécessité d'adopter un management environnemental au sein de leurs structures et de prendre ces cas sélectionnés comme modèles. Cette étude a permis de tirer les conclusions suivantes : - Une maturité du territoire d'étude de la région SMD, lui permettra de s"inscrire dans une démarche de développement touristique durable à travers l'adoption d'un management environnemental en passant par l"assurance de la qualité des services. - La qualité des services est satisfaisante au sein des EHT étudiés et relevant du milieu urbain. En revanche, en milieu rural elle à rehausser en soulignant qu'ils sont dotés d'un paysage régional remarquable et exceptionnel. - Les responsables interviewés n'ont cité que les impacts positifs de leurs activités sur l"environnement (Création d'emplois, promotion de l'économie et de la culture locales, financement des événements à caractère social...). - Une faible existence du Management environnemental au sein des EHT étudiés (4,16 % l'échantillonnage dispose d'une politique environnementale). Ainsi que à l'issue de l'évaluation deux cas ont été proposés comme modèles en la matière. - La charte et le Manuel comme de deux solutions locales visant la promotion du Management Environnemental. Actuellement, la charte a été mise en Å“uvre en milieu rural dans une perspective de la généraliser sur la totalité du territoire régional voire même national. Enfin, cette étude a apporté une réponse à la problématique et aux hypothèses de recherche et a permis par la même occasion de proposer des outils visant l'instauration et/ou la promotion du management environnemental à l'échelle régionale.