This dissertation examines the relevance of regimes for stock markets. In three research articles, we cover the identification and predictability of regimes and their relationships to macroeconomic and financial variables in the United States. The initial two chapters contribute to the debate on the predictability of stock markets. While various approaches can demonstrate in-sample predictability, their predictive power diminishes substantially in out-of-sample studies. Parameter instability and model uncertainty are the primary challenges. However, certain methods have demonstrated efficacy in addressing these issues. In Chapter 1 and 2, we present frameworks that combine these methods meaningfully. Chapter 3 focuses on the role of regimes in explaining macro-financial relationships and examines the state-dependent effects of macroeconomic expectations on cross-sectional stock returns. Although it is common to capture the variation in stock returns using factor models, their macroeconomic risk sources are unclear. According to macro-financial asset pricing, expectations about state variables may be viable candidates to explain these sources. We examine their usefulness in explaining factor premia and assess their suitability for pricing stock portfolios. In summary, this dissertation improves our understanding of stock market regimes in three ways. First, we show that it is worthwhile to exploit the regime dependence of stock markets. Markov-switching models and their extensions are valuable tools for filtering the stock market dynamics and identifying and predicting regimes in real-time. Moreover, accounting for regime-dependent relationships helps to examine the dynamic impact of macroeconomic shocks on stock returns. Second, we emphasize the usefulness of macro-financial variables for the stock market. Regime identification and forecasting benefit from their inclusion. This is particularly true in periods of high uncertainty when information processing in financial markets is less efficient. Finally, we recommend to address parameter instability, estimation risk, and model uncertainty in empirical models. Because it is difficult to find a single approach that meets all of these challenges simultaneously, it is advisable to combine appropriate methods in a meaningful way. The framework should be as complex as necessary but as parsimonious as possible to mitigate additional estimation risk. This is especially recommended when working with financial market data with a typically low signal-to-noise ratio.

Partial differential equations are not always suited to model all physical phenomena, especially, if long-range interactions are involved or if the actual solution might not satisfy the regularity requirements associated with the partial differential equation. One remedy to this problem are nonlocal operators, which typically consist of integrals that incorporate interactions between two separated points in space and the corresponding solutions to nonlocal equations have to satisfy less regularity conditions. In PDE-constrained shape optimization the goal is to minimize or maximize an objective functional that is dependent on the shape of a certain domain and on the solution to a partial differential equation, which is usually also influenced by the shape of this domain. Moreover, parameters associated with the nonlocal model are oftentimes domain dependent and thus it is a natural next step to now consider shape optimization problems that are governed by nonlocal equations. Therefore, an interface identification problem constrained by nonlocal equations is thoroughly investigated in this thesis. Here, we focus on rigorously developing the first and second shape derivative of the associated reduced functional. In addition, we study first- and second-order shape optimization algorithms in multiple numerical experiments. Moreover, we also propose Schwarz methods for nonlocal Dirichlet problems as well as regularized nonlocal Neumann problems. Particularly, we investigate the convergence of the multiplicative Schwarz approach and we conduct a number of numerical experiments, which illustrate various aspects of the Schwarz method applied to nonlocal equations. Since applying the finite element method to solve nonlocal problems numerically can be quite costly, Local-to-Nonlocal couplings emerged, which combine the accuracy of nonlocal models on one part of the domain with the fast computation of partial differential equations on the remaining area. Therefore, we also examine the interface identification problem governed by an energy-based Local-to-Nonlocal coupling, which can be numerically computed by making use of the Schwarz method. Here, we again present a formula for the shape derivative of the associated reduced functional and investigate a gradient based shape optimization method.

The gender wage gap in labor market outcomes has been intensively investigated for decades, yet it remains a relevant and innovative research topic in labor economics. Chapter 2 of this dissertation explores the pressing issue of gender wage disparity in Ethiopia. By applying various empirical methodologies and measures of occupational segregation, this chapter aims to analyze the role of female occupational segregation in explaining the gender wage gap across the pay distribution. The findings reveal a significant difference in monthly wages, with women consistently earning lower wages across the wage distribution. Importantly, the result indicates a negative association between female occupational segregation and the average earnings of both men and women. Furthermore, the estimation result shows that female occupational segregation partially explains the gender wage gap at the bottom of the wage distribution. I find that the magnitude of the gender wage gap in the private sector is higher than in the public sector. In Chapter 3, the Ethiopian Demography and Health Survey data are leveraged to explore the causal relationship between female labor force participation and domestic violence. Domestic violence against women is a pervasive public health concern, particularly in Africa, including Ethiopia, where a significant proportion of women endure various forms of domestic violence perpetrated by intimate partners. Economic empowerment of women through increased participation in the labor market can be one of the mechanisms for mitigating the risk of domestic violence. This study seeks to provide empirical evidence supporting this hypothesis. Using the employment rate of women at the community level as an instrumental variable, the finding suggests that employment significantly reduces the risk of domestic violence against women. More precisely, the result shows that women’s employment status significantly reduces domestic violence by about 15 percentage points. This finding is robust for different dimensions of domestic violence, such as physical, sexual, and emotional violence. By examining the employment outcomes of immigrants in the labor market, Chapter 4 extends the dissertation's inquiry to the dynamics of immigrant economic integration into the destination country. Drawing on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, the chapter scrutinizes the employment gap between native-born individuals and two distinct groups of first-generation immigrants: refugees and other migrants. Through rigorous analysis, Chapter 4 aims to identify the factors contributing to disparities in employment outcomes among these groups. In this chapter, I aim to disentangle the heterogeneity characteristic of refugees and other immigrants in the labor market, thereby contributing to a deeper understanding of immigrant labor market integration in Germany. The results show that refugees and other migrants are less likely to find employment than comparable natives. The refugee-native employment gap is much wider than other migrant-native employment gap. Moreover, the findings vary by gender and migration categories. While other migrant men do not differ from native men in the probability of being employed, refugee women are the most disadvantaged group compared to other migrant women and native women in the probability of being employed. The study suggests that German language proficiency and permanent resident permits partially explain the lower employment probability of refugees in the German labor market. Chapter 5 (co-authored with Uwe Jirjahn) utilizes the same dataset to explore the immigrant-native trade union membership gap, focusing on the role of integration in the workplace and into society. The integration of immigrants into society and the workplace is vital not only to improve migrant's performance in the labor market but also to actively participate in institutions such as trade unions. In this study, we argue that the incomplete integration of immigrants into the workplace and society implies that immigrants are less likely to be union members than natives. Our findings show that first-generation immigrants are less likely to be trade union members than natives. Notably, the analysis shows that the immigrant-native gap in union membership depends on immigrants’ integration into the workplace and society. The gap is smaller for immigrants working in firms with a works council and having social contacts with Germans. Moreover, the results reveal that the immigrant-native union membership gap is decreasing in the year since arrival in Germany.

This thesis deals with consumption-investment allocation problems with Epstein-Zin recursive utility, building upon the dualization procedure introduced by [Matoussi and Xing, 2018]. While their work exclusively focuses on truly recursive utility, we extend their procedure to include time-additive utility using results from general convex analysis. The dual problem is expressed in terms of a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), for which existence and uniqueness results are established. In this regard, we close a gap left open in previous works, by extending results restricted to specific subsets of parameters to cover all parameter constellations within our duality setting. Using duality theory, we analyze the utility loss of an investor with recursive preferences, that is, her difference in utility between acting suboptimally in a given market, compared to her best possible (optimal) consumption-investment behaviour. In particular, we derive universal power utility bounds, presenting a novel and tractable approximation of the investors’ optimal utility and her welfare loss associated to specific investment-consumption choices. To address quantitative shortcomings of those power utility bounds, we additionally introduce one-sided variational bounds that offer a more effective approximation for recursive utilities. The theoretical value of our power utility bounds is demonstrated through their application in a new existence and uniqueness result for the BSDE characterizing the dual problem. Moreover, we propose two approximation approaches for consumption-investment optimization problems with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences. The first approach directly formalizes the classical concept of least favorable completion, providing an analytic approximation fully characterized by a system of ordinary differential equations. In the special case of power utility, this approach can be interpreted as a variation of the well-known Campbell-Shiller approximation, improving some of its qualitative shortcomings with respect to state dependence of the resulting approximate strategies. The second approach introduces a PDE-iteration scheme, by reinterpreting artificial completion as a dynamic game, where the investor and a dual opponent interact until reaching an equilibrium that corresponds to an approximate solution of the investors optimization problem. Despite the need for additional approximations within each iteration, this scheme is shown to be quantitatively and qualitatively accurate. Moreover, it is capable of approximating high dimensional optimization problems, essentially avoiding the curse of dimensionality and providing analytical results.

Die Abteilung Kunstschutz der deutschen Wehrmacht im besetzten Griechenland (1941-1944) bestand aus wehrpflichtigen deutschen Archäologen. Sie waren zunächst Stipendiaten oder Mitarbeiter des Archäologischen Instituts des Deutschen Reiches (AIDR) unter den Bedingungen des Nationalsozialismus, bevor sie im Zweiten Weltkrieg in der Uniform der Wehrmacht zurückkehrten. Ihre Biografien im Kontext der Abteilung Athen, deren Direktor Georg Karo bis 1936 war, sowie der Zentrale der Instituts, unter dem von 1932 bis 1936 amtierenden Präsidenten Theodor Wiegand, sind ein Untersuchungsgegenstand. Die außenpolitische Legitimation des NS-Regimes durch die Olympischen Spiele und der wichtigste wissenschaftspolitische Erfolg des Institutes, die Wiederaufnahme der Olympiagrabung, die Wiegand und Karo seit 1933 anstrebten und durch ihre politischen Netzwerke 1936 erreichten, werden in der Dissertation in ihrer wechselseitigen Bedingtheit aufgezeigt. Diese Anpassungsleistungen an das NS-Regime prägten den eigenen archäologischen Nachwuchs aber auch die griechische Gesellschaft. Schutzmaßnahmen waren nur ein kleiner Tätigkeitsbereich der Kunstschützer aber ein wichtiger Teil der Wehrmachtspropaganda. Der Institutspräsident Martin Schede (1937 bis 1945) forderte Mitarbeitern vor allem für zwei AIDR-Projekte an: die Erstellung von Flugbildern von möglichst ganz Griechenland und Ausgrabungen auf Kreta. Bereits diese Zwischenergebnisse berechtigen zu dem Titel „Kunstschutz als Alibi“. Die Dissertation versucht, die Frage zu beantworten, warum der archäologische Kunstschutz nicht mehr als ein Alibi sein konnte. Dies geschieht vor allem unter Berücksichtigung der politischen aber auch der militärischen Traditionslinien deutscher Archäologie in Griechenland und Deutschland.