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There is no longer any doubt about the general effectiveness of psychotherapy. However, up to 40% of patients do not respond to treatment. Despite efforts to develop new treatments, overall effectiveness has not improved. Consequently, practice-oriented research has emerged to make research results more relevant to practitioners. Within this context, patient-focused research (PFR) focuses on the question of whether a particular treatment works for a specific patient. Finally, PFR gave rise to the precision mental health research movement that is trying to tailor treatments to individual patients by making data-driven and algorithm-based predictions. These predictions are intended to support therapists in their clinical decisions, such as the selection of treatment strategies and adaptation of treatment. The present work summarizes three studies that aim to generate different prediction models for treatment personalization that can be applied to practice. The goal of Study I was to develop a model for dropout prediction using data assessed prior to the first session (N = 2543). The usefulness of various machine learning (ML) algorithms and ensembles was assessed. The best model was an ensemble utilizing random forest and nearest neighbor modeling. It significantly outperformed generalized linear modeling, correctly identifying 63.4% of all cases and uncovering seven key predictors. The findings illustrated the potential of ML to enhance dropout predictions, but also highlighted that not all ML algorithms are equally suitable for this purpose. Study II utilized Study I’s findings to enhance the prediction of dropout rates. Data from the initial two sessions and observer ratings of therapist interventions and skills were employed to develop a model using an elastic net (EN) algorithm. The findings demonstrated that the model was significantly more effective at predicting dropout when using observer ratings with a Cohen’s d of up to .65 and more effective than the model in Study I, despite the smaller sample (N = 259). These results indicated that generating models could be improved by employing various data sources, which provide better foundations for model development. Finally, Study III generated a model to predict therapy outcome after a sudden gain (SG) in order to identify crucial predictors of the upward spiral. EN was used to generate the model using data from 794 cases that experienced a SG. A control group of the same size was also used to quantify and relativize the identified predictors by their general influence on therapy outcomes. The results indicated that there are seven key predictors that have varying effect sizes on therapy outcome, with Cohen's d ranging from 1.08 to 12.48. The findings suggested that a directive approach is more likely to lead to better outcomes after an SG, and that alliance ruptures can be effectively compensated for. However, these effects
were reversed in the control group. The results of the three studies are discussed regarding their usefulness to support clinical decision-making and their implications for the implementation of precision mental health.
The publication of statistical databases is subject to legal regulations, e.g. national statistical offices are only allowed to publish data if the data cannot be attributed to individuals. Achieving this privacy standard requires anonymizing the data prior to publication. However, data anonymization inevitably leads to a loss of information, which should be kept minimal. In this thesis, we analyze the anonymization method SAFE used in the German census in 2011 and we propose a novel integer programming-based anonymization method for nominal data.
In the first part of this thesis, we prove that a fundamental variant of the underlying SAFE optimization problem is NP-hard. This justifies the use of heuristic approaches for large data sets. In the second part, we propose a new anonymization method belonging to microaggregation methods, specifically designed for nominal data. This microaggregation method replaces rows in a microdata set with representative values to achieve k-anonymity, ensuring each data row is identical to at least k − 1 other rows. In addition to the overall dissimilarities of the data rows, the method accounts for errors in resulting frequency tables, which are of high interest for nominal data in practice. The method employs a typical two-step structure: initially partitioning the data set into clusters and subsequently replacing all cluster elements with representative values to achieve k-anonymity. For the partitioning step, we propose a column generation scheme followed by a heuristic to obtain an integer solution, which is based on the dual information. For the aggregation step, we present a mixed-integer problem formulation to find cluster representatives. To this end, we take errors in a subset of frequency tables into account. Furthermore, we show a reformulation of the problem to a minimum edge-weighted maximal clique problem in a multipartite graph, which allows for a different perspective on the problem. Moreover, we formulate a mixed-integer program, which combines the partitioning and the aggregation step and aims to minimize the sum of chi-squared errors in frequency tables.
Finally, an experimental study comparing the methods covered or developed in this work shows particularly strong results for the proposed method with respect to relative criteria, while SAFE shows its strength with respect to the maximum absolute error in frequency tables. We conclude that the inclusion of integer programming in the context of data anonymization is a promising direction to reduce the inevitable information loss inherent in anonymization, particularly for nominal data.
Building Fortress Europe Economic realism, China, and Europe’s investment screening mechanisms
(2023)
This thesis deals with the construction of investment screening mechanisms across the major economic powers in Europe and at the supranational level during the post-2015 period. The core puzzle at the heart of this research is how, in a traditional bastion of economic liberalism such as Europe, could a protectionist tool such as investment screening be erected in such a rapid manner. Within a few years, Europe went from a position of being highly welcoming towards foreign investment to increasingly implementing controls on it, with the focus on China. How are we to understand this shift in Europe? I posit that Europe’s increasingly protectionist shift on inward investment can be fruitfully understood using an economic realist approach, where the introduction of investment screening can be seen as part of a process of ‘balancing’ China’s economic rise and reasserting European competitiveness. China has moved from being the ‘workshop of the world’ to becoming an innovation-driven economy at the global technological frontier. As China has become more competitive, Europe, still a global economic leader, broadly situated at the technological frontier, has begun to sense a threat to its position, especially in the context of the fourth industrial revolution. A ‘balancing’ process has been set in motion, in which Europe seeks to halt and even reverse the narrowing competitiveness gap between it and China. The introduction of investment screening measures is part of this process.
In Luxemburg helfen externe Schulmediator*innen bei schulischen Konflikten. Die Anlaufstelle unterstützt bei drohenden Schulabbrüchen und Konflikten, die bei der Inklusion und Integration von Schüler*innen mit besonderem Förderbedarf oder mit Migrationshintergrund entstehen. Michèle Schilt sprach mit der Leiterin der Servicestelle, Lis De Pina, über die Arbeit der Schulmediation.
Emotionen gelten als Spiegelbild unserer persönlichen Bedürfnislage. Insbesondere in Konflikt- oder Mediationsgesprächen ist es demnach wichtig, nicht nur über den Moment zu sprechen, an dem ein Streit entstanden ist, sondern auch Bedürfnisse und Gefühle aufzudecken, die unser Handeln, Denken und Fühlen beeinflusst haben. Die folgenden Materialien zeigen, wie man als Lehrkraft Emotionen und Streit mit Grundschulkindern behandeln kann.
Sie haben eine spannende politische Diskussion in der Klasse. Das Gros Ihrer Schüler*innen ist wach, interessiert und engagiert. Alles läuft prima. Doch dann passiert's: Einer oder eine von ihnen stellt – absichtlich oder unreflektiert – eine extremistische oder verschwörungstheoretische Aussage in den Raum. Und nun?
Die Praxishefte Demokratische Schulkultur erscheinen halbjährlich und bieten Schulleitungen und Schulpersonal theoretische Grundlagen und praxisorientierte Anleitungen zur demokratiepädagogischen Schulentwicklung. Jedes Themenheft ist jeweils einer demokratiepädagogischen Bauform oder strategischen Frage der Schulentwicklung gewidmet. Die Praxishefte werden allen Luxemburger Schulen als Printausgabe zur Verfügung gestellt und online mit zusätzlichen Materialien und in französischer Fassung vorgehalten.
While humans find it easy to process visual information from the real world, machines struggle with this task due to the unstructured and complex nature of the information. Computer vision (CV) is the approach of artificial intelligence that attempts to automatically analyze, interpret, and extract such information. Recent CV approaches mainly use deep learning (DL) due to its very high accuracy. DL extracts useful features from unstructured images in a training dataset to use them for specific real-world tasks. However, DL requires a large number of parameters, computational power, and meaningful training data, which can be noisy, sparse, and incomplete for specific domains. Furthermore, DL tends to learn correlations from the training data that do not occur in reality, making DNNs poorly generalizable and error-prone.
Therefore, the field of visual transfer learning is seeking methods that are less dependent on training data and are thus more applicable in the constantly changing world. One idea is to enrich DL with prior knowledge. Knowledge graphs (KG) serve as a powerful tool for this purpose because they can formalize and organize prior knowledge based on an underlying ontological schema. They contain symbolic operations such as logic, rules, and reasoning, and can be created, adapted, and interpreted by domain experts. Due to the abstraction potential of symbols, KGs provide good prerequisites for generalizing their knowledge. To take advantage of the generalization properties of KG and the ability of DL to learn from large-scale unstructured data, attempts have long been made to combine explicit graph and implicit vector representations. However, with the recent development of knowledge graph embedding methods, where a graph is transferred into a vector space, new perspectives for a combination in vector space are opening up.
In this work, we attempt to combine prior knowledge from a KG with DL to improve visual transfer learning using the following steps: First, we explore the potential benefits of using prior knowledge encoded in a KG for DL-based visual transfer learning. Second, we investigate approaches that already combine KG and DL and create a categorization based on their general idea of knowledge integration. Third, we propose a novel method for the specific category of using the knowledge graph as a trainer, where a DNN is trained to adapt to a representation given by prior knowledge of a KG. Fourth, we extend the proposed method by extracting relevant context in the form of a subgraph of the KG to investigate the relationship between prior knowledge and performance on a specific CV task. In summary, this work provides deep insights into the combination of KG and DL, with the goal of making DL approaches more generalizable, more efficient, and more interpretable through prior knowledge.
Repeatedly encountering a stimulus biases the observer’s affective response and evaluation of the stimuli. Here we provide evidence for a causal link between mere exposure to fictitious news reports and subsequent voting behavior. In four pre-registered online experiments, participants browsed through newspaper webpages and were tacitly exposed to names of fictitious politicians. Exposure predicted voting behavior in a subsequent mock election, with a consistent preference for frequent over infrequent names, except when news items were decidedly negative. Follow-up analyses indicated that mere media presence fuels implicit personality theories regarding a candidate’s vigor in political contexts. News outlets should therefore be mindful to cover political candidates as evenly as possible.
The benefits of prosocial power motivation in leadership: Action orientation fosters a win-win
(2023)
Power motivation is considered a key component of successful leadership. Based on its dualistic nature, the need for power (nPower) can be expressed in a dominant or a prosocial manner. Whereas dominant motivation is associated with antisocial behaviors, prosocial motivation is characterized by more benevolent actions (e.g., helping, guiding). Prosocial enactment of the power motive has been linked to a wide range of beneficial outcomes, yet less has been investigated what determines a prosocial enactment of the power motive. According to Personality Systems Interactions (PSI) theory, action orientation (i.e., the ability to self-regulate affect) promotes prosocial enactment of the implicit power motive and initial findings within student samples verify this assumption. In the present study, we verified the role of action orientation as an antecedent for prosocial power enactment in a leadership sample (N = 383). Additionally, we found that leaders personally benefited from a prosocial enactment strategy. Results show that action orientation through prosocial power motivation leads to reduced power-related anxiety and, in turn, to greater leader well-being. The integration of motivation and self-regulation research reveals why leaders enact their power motive in a certain way and helps to understand how to establish a win-win situation for both followers and leaders.
We use a novel sea-ice lead climatology for the winters of 2002/03 to 2020/21 based on satellite observations with 1 km2 spatial resolution to identify predominant patterns in Arctic wintertime sea-ice leads. The causes for the observed spatial and temporal variabilities are investigated using ocean surface current velocities and eddy kinetic energies from an ocean model (Finite Element Sea Ice–Ice-Shelf–Ocean Model, FESOM) and winds from a regional climate model (CCLM) and ERA5 reanalysis, respectively. The presented investigation provides evidence for an influence of ocean bathymetry and associated currents on the mechanic weakening of sea ice and the accompanying occurrence of sea-ice leads with their characteristic spatial patterns. While the driving mechanisms for this observation are not yet understood in detail, the presented results can contribute to opening new hypotheses on ocean–sea-ice interactions. The individual contribution of ocean and atmosphere to regional lead dynamics is complex, and a deeper insight requires detailed mechanistic investigations in combination with considerations of coastal geometries. While the ocean influence on lead dynamics seems to act on a rather long-term scale (seasonal to interannual), the influence of wind appears to trigger sea-ice lead dynamics on shorter timescales of weeks to months and is largely controlled by individual events causing increased divergence. No significant pan-Arctic trends in wintertime leads can be observed.
The microbial enzyme alkaline phosphatase contributes to the removal of organic phosphorus compounds from wastewaters. To cope with regulatory threshold values for permitted maximum phosphor concentrations in treated wastewaters, a high activity of this enzyme in the biological treatment stage, e.g., the activated sludge process, is required. To investigate the reaction dynamics of this enzyme, to analyze substrate selectivities, and to identify potential inhibitors, the determination of enzyme kinetics is necessary. A method based on the application of the synthetic fluorogenic substrate 4-methylumbelliferyl phosphate is proven for soils, but not for activated sludges. Here, we adapt this procedure to the latter. The adapted method offers the additional benefit to determine inhibition kinetics. In contrast to conventional photometric assays, no particle removal, e.g., of sludge pellets, is required enabling the analysis of the whole sludge suspension as well as of specific sludge fractions. The high sensitivity of fluorescence detection allows the selection of a wide substrate concentration range for sound modeling of kinetic functions.
- Fluorescence array technique for fast and sensitive analysis of high sample numbers
- No need for particle separation – analysis of the whole (diluted) sludge suspension
- Simultaneous determination of standard and inhibition kinetics
The forensic application of phonetics relies on individuality in speech. In the forensic domain, individual patterns of verbal and paraverbal behavior are of interest which are readily available, measurable, consistent, and robust to disguise and to telephone transmission. This contribution is written from the perspective of the forensic phonetic practitioner and seeks to establish a more comprehensive concept of disfluency than previous studies have. A taxonomy of possible variables forming part of what can be termed disfluency behavior is outlined. It includes the “classical” fillers, but extends well beyond these, covering, among others, additional types of fillers as well as prolongations, but also the way in which fillers are combined with pauses. In the empirical section, the materials collected for an earlier study are re-examined and subjected to two different statistical procedures in an attempt to approach the issue of individuality. Recordings consist of several minutes of spontaneous speech by eight speakers on three different occasions. Beyond the established set of hesitation markers, additional aspects of disfluency behavior which fulfill the criteria outlined above are included in the analysis. The proportion of various types of disfluency markers is determined. Both statistical approaches suggest that these speakers can be distinguished at a level far above chance using the disfluency data. At the same time, the results show that it is difficult to pin down a single measure which characterizes the disfluency behavior of an individual speaker. The forensic implications of these findings are discussed.
Redox-driven biogeochemical cycling of iron plays an integral role in the complex process network of ecosystems, such as carbon cycling, the fate of nutrients and greenhouse gas emissions. We investigate Fe-(hydr)oxide (trans)formation pathways from rhyolitic tephra in acidic topsoils of South Patagonian Andosols to evaluate the ecological relevance of terrestrial iron cycling for this sensitive fjord ecosystem. Using bulk geochemical analyses combined with micrometer-scale-measurements on individual soil aggregates and tephra pumice, we document biotic and abiotic pathways of Fe released from the glassy tephra matrix and titanomagnetite phenocrysts. During successive redox cycles that are controlled by frequent hydrological perturbations under hyper-humid climate, (trans)formations of ferrihydrite-organic matter coprecipitates, maghemite and hematite are closely linked to tephra weathering and organic matter turnover. These Fe-(hydr)oxides nucleate after glass dissolution and complexation with organic ligands, through maghemitization or dissolution-(re)crystallization processes from metastable precursors. Ultimately, hematite represents the most thermodynamically stable Fe-(hydr)oxide formed under these conditions and physically accumulates at redox interfaces, whereas the ferrihydrite coprecipitates represent a so far underappreciated terrestrial source of bio-available iron for fjord bioproductivity. The insights into Fe-(hydr)oxide (trans)formation in Andosols have implications for a better understanding of biogeochemical cycling of iron in this unique Patagonian fjord ecosystem.
Regional climate models are a valuable tool for the study of the climate processes and climate change in polar regions, but the performance of the models has to be evaluated using experimental data. The regional climate model CCLM was used for simulations for the MOSAiC period with a horizontal resolution of 14 km (whole Arctic). CCLM was used in a forecast mode (nested in ERA5) and used a thermodynamic sea ice model. Sea ice concentration was taken from AMSR2 data (C15 run) and from a high-resolution data set (1 km) derived from MODIS data (C15MOD0 run). The model was evaluated using radiosonde data and data of different profiling systems with a focus on the winter period (November–April). The comparison with radiosonde data showed very good agreement for temperature, humidity, and wind. A cold bias was present in the ABL for November and December, which was smaller for the C15MOD0 run. In contrast, there was a warm bias for lower levels in March and April, which was smaller for the C15 run. The effects of different sea ice parameterizations were limited to heights below 300 m. High-resolution lidar and radar wind profiles as well as temperature and integrated water vapor (IWV) data from microwave radiometers were used for the comparison with CCLM for case studies, which included low-level jets. LIDAR wind profiles have many gaps, but represent a valuable data set for model evaluation. Comparisons with IWV and temperature data of microwave radiometers show very good agreement.
COVID-19 was a harsh reminder that diseases are an aspect of human existence and mortality. It was also a live experiment in the formation and alteration of disease-related attitudes. Not only are these attitudes relevant to an individual’s self-protective behavior, but they also seem to be associated with social and political attitudes more broadly. One of these attitudes is Social Darwinism, which holds that a pandemic benefits society by enabling nature “to weed out the weak”. In two countries (N = 300, N = 533), we introduce and provide evidence for the reliability, validity, and usefulness of the Disease-Related Social Darwinism (DRSD) Short Scale measuring this concept. Results indicate that DRSD is meaningful related to other central political attitudes like Social Dominance Orientation, Authoritarianism and neoliberalism. Importantly, the scale significantly predicted people’s protective behavior during the Pandemic over and above general social Darwinism. Moreover, it significantly predicted conservative attitudes, even after controlling for Social Dominance Orientation.
People are increasingly concerned about how meat affects the environment, human health, and animal welfare, yet eating and enjoying meat remains a norm. Unsurprisingly, many people are ambivalent about meat—evaluating it as both positive and negative. Here, we propose that meat-related conflict is multidimensional and depends on people’s dietary group: Omnivores’ felt ambivalence relates to multiple negative associations that oppose a predominantly positive attitude towards meat, and veg*ans’ ambivalence relates to various positive associations that oppose a predominantly negative attitude. A qualitative study (N = 235; German) revealed that omnivores and veg*ans experience meat-related ambivalence due to associations with animals, sociability, sustainability, health, and sensory experiences. To quantify felt ambivalence in these domains, we developed the Meat Ambivalence Questionnaire (MAQ). We validated the MAQ in four pre-registered studies using self-report and behavioral data (N = 3,485; German, UK, representative US). Both omnivores and veg*ans reported meat-related ambivalence, but with differences across domains and their consequences for meat consumption. Specifically, ambivalence was associated with less meat consumption in omnivores (especially sensory-/animal-based ambivalence) and more meat consumption in veg*ans (especially sensory-/socially-based ambivalence). Network analyses shed further light on the nomological net of the MAQ while controlling for a comprehensive set of determinants of meat consumption. By introducing the MAQ, we hope to provide researchers with a tool to better understand how ambivalence accompanies behavior change and maintenance.
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected schooling worldwide. In many places, schools closed for weeks or months, only part of the student body could be educated at any one time, or students were taught online. Previous research discloses the relevance of schooling for the development of cognitive abilities. We therefore compared the intelligence test performance of 424 German secondary school students in Grades 7 to 9 (42% female) tested after the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic (i.e., 2020 sample) to the results of two highly comparable student samples tested in 2002 (n = 1506) and 2012 (n = 197). The results revealed substantially and significantly lower intelligence test scores in the 2020 sample than in both the 2002 and 2012 samples. We retested the 2020 sample after another full school year of COVID-19-affected schooling in 2021. We found mean-level changes of typical magnitude, with no signs of catching up to previous cohorts or further declines in cognitive performance. Perceived stress during the pandemic did not affect changes in intelligence test results between the two measurements.
Addition of Phosphogypsum to Fire-Resistant Plaster Panels:
A Physic–Mechanical Investigation
(2023)
Gypsum (GPS) has great potential for structural fire protection and is increasingly used in construction due to its high-water retention and purity. However, many researchers aim to improve its physical and mechanical properties by adding other organic or inorganic materials such as fibers, recycled GPS, and waste residues. This study used a novel method to add non-natural GPS from factory waste (phosphogypsum (PG)) as a secondary material for GPS. This paper proposes to mix these two materials to properly study the effect of PG on the physico-mechanical properties and fire performance of two Tunisian GPSs (GPS1 and GPS2). PG initially replaced GPS at 10, 20, 30, 40, and 50% weight percentage (mixing plan A). The PGs were then washed with distilled water several times. Two more mixing plans were run when the pH of the PG was equal to 2.4 (mixing plan B), and the pH was equal to 5 (mixing plan C). Finally, a comparative study was conducted on the compressive strength, flexural strength, density, water retention, and mass loss levels after 90 days of drying, before/after incineration of samples at 15, 30, 45, and 60 min. The results show that the mixture of GPS1 and 30% PG (mixing plan B) obtained the highest compressive strength (41.31%) and flexural strength (35.03%) compared to the reference sample. The addition of 10% PG to GPS1 (mixing plan A) improved fire resistance (33.33%) and the mass loss (17.10%) of the samples exposed to flame for 60 min compared to GPS2. Therefore, PG can be considered an excellent insulating material, which can increase physico-mechanical properties and fire resistance time of plaster under certain conditions.
Properties Evaluation of Composite Materials Based on Gypsum Plaster and Posidonia Oceanica Fibers
(2023)
Estimating the amount of material without significant losses at the end of hybrid casting is a problem addressed in this study. To minimize manufacturing costs and improve the accuracy of results, a correction factor (CF) was used in the formula to estimate the volume percent of the material in order to reduce material losses during the sample manufacturing stage, allowing for greater confidence between the approved blending plan and the results obtained. In this context, three material mixing schemes of different sizes and shapes (gypsum plaster, sand (0/2), gravel (2/4), and Posidonia oceanica fibers (PO)) were created to verify the efficiency of CF and more precisely study the physico-mechanical effects on the samples. The results show that the use of a CF can reduce mixing loss to almost 0%. The optimal compressive strength of the sample (S1B) with the lowest mixing loss was 7.50 MPa. Under optimal conditions, the addition of PO improves mix volume percent correction (negligible), flexural strength (5.45%), density (18%), and porosity (3.70%) compared with S1B. On the other hand, the addition of PO thermo-chemical treatment by NaOH increases the compressive strength (3.97%) compared with PO due to the removal of impurities on the fiber surface, as shown by scanning electron microscopy. We then determined the optimal mixture ratio (PO divided by a mixture of plaster, sand, and gravel), which equals 0.0321 because Tunisian gypsum contains small amounts of bassanite and calcite, as shown by the X-ray diffraction results.
This study scrutinizes press photographs published during the first 6 weeks of the Russian War in Ukraine, beginning February 24th, 2022. Its objective is to shed light on the emotions evoked in Internet-savvy audiences. This empirical research aims to contribute to the understanding of emotional media effects that shape attitudes and actions of ordinary citizens. Main research questions are: What kind of empathic reactions are observed during the Q-sort study? Which visual patterns are relevant for which emotional evaluations and attributions? The assumption is that the evaluations and attributions of empathy are not random, but follow specific patterns. The empathic reactions are based on visual patterns which, in turn, influence the type of empathic reaction. The identification of specific categories for visual and emotional reaction patterns are arrived at in different methodological processes. Visual pattern categories were developed inductively, using the art history method of iconography-iconology to identify six distinct types of visual motifs in a final sample of 33 war photographs. The overarching categories for empathic reactions—empty empathy, vicarious traumatization and witnessing—were applied deductively, building on E. Ann Kaplan's pivotal distinctions. The main result of this research are three novel categories that combine visual patterns with empathic reaction patterns. The labels for these categories are a direct result of the Q-factorial analysis, interpreted through the lense of iconography-iconology. An exploratory nine-scale forced-choice Q-sort study (Nstimuli = 33) was implemented, followed by self-report interviews with a total of 25 participants [F = 16 (64%), M = 9 (36%), Mage = 26.4 years]. Results from this exploratory research include motivational statements on the meanings of war photography from semi-structured post-sort-interviews. The major result of this study are three types of visual patterns (“factors”) that govern distinct empathic reactions in participants: Factor 1 is “veiled empathy” with highest empathy being attributed to photos showing victims whose corpses or faces were veiled. Additional features of “veiled empathy” are a strong anti-politician bias and a heightened awareness of potential visual manipulation. Factor 2 is “mirrored empathy” with highest empathy attributions to photos displaying human suffering openly. Factor 3 focused on the context. It showed a proclivity for documentary style photography. This pattern ranked photos without clear contextualization lower in empathy than those photos displaying the fully contextualized setting. To the best of our knowledge, no study has tested empathic reactions to war photography empirically. In this respect, the study is novel, but also exploratory. Findings like the three patterns of visual empathy might be helpful for photo selection processes in journalism, for political decision-making, for the promotion of relief efforts, and for coping strategies in civil society to deal with the potentially numbing or traumatizing visual legacy of the War in Ukraine.
Family firms play a crucial role in the DACH region (Germany, Austria, Switzerland). They are characterized by a long tradition, a strong connection to the region, and a well-established network. However, family firms also face challenges, especially in finding a suitable successor. Wealthy entrepreneurial families are increasingly opting to establish Single Family Offices (SFOs) as a solution to this challenge. An SFO takes on the management and protection of family wealth. Its goal is to secure and grow the wealth over generations. In Germany alone, there are an estimated 350 to 450 SFOs, with 70% of them being established after the year 2000. However, research on SFOs is still in its early stages, particularly regarding the role of SFOs as firm owners. This dissertation delves into an exploration of SFOs through four quantitative empirical studies. The first study provides a descriptive overview of 216 SFOs from the DACH-region. Findings reveal that SFOs exhibit a preference for investing in established companies and real estate. Notably, only about a third of SFOs engage in investments in start-ups. Moreover, SFOs as a group are heterogeneous. Categorizing them into three groups based on their relationship with the entrepreneurial family and the original family firm reveals significant differences in their asset allocation strategies. Subsequent studies in this dissertation leverage a hand-collected sample of 173 SFO-owned firms from the DACH region, meticulously matched with 684 family-owned firms from the same region. The second study focusing on financial performance indicates that SFO-owned firms tend to exhibit comparatively poorer financial performance than family-owned firms. However, when members of the SFO-owning family hold positions on the supervisory or executive board of the firm, there's a notable improvement. The third study, concerning cash holdings, reveals that SFO-owned firms maintain a higher cash holding ratio compared to family-owned firms. Notably, this effect is magnified when the SFO has divested its initial family firms. Lastly, the fourth study regarding capital structure highlights that SFO-owned firms tend to display a higher long-term debt ratio than family-owned firms. This suggests that SFO-owned firms operate within a trade-off theory framework, like private equity-owned firms. Furthermore, this effect is stronger for SFOs that sold their original family firm. The outcomes of this research are poised to provide entrepreneurial families with a practical guide for effectively managing and leveraging SFOs as a strategic long-term instrument for succession and investment planning.
Some of the largest firms in the DACH region (Germany, Austria, Switzerland) are (partially) owned by a foundation and/or a family office, such as Aldi, Bosch, or Rolex. Despite their growing importance, prior research neglected to analyze the impact of these intermediaries on the firms they own. This dissertation closes this research gap by contributing to a deeper understanding of two increasingly used family firm succession vehicles, through four empirical quantitative studies. The first study focuses on the heterogeneity in foundation-owned firms (FOFs) by applying a descriptive analysis to a sample of 169 German FOFs. The results indicate that the family as a central stakeholder in a family foundation fosters governance that promotes performance and growth. The second study examines the firm growth of 204 FOFs compared to matched non-FOFs from the DACH region. The findings suggest that FOFs grow significantly less in terms of sales but not with regard to employees. In addition, it seems that this negative effect is stronger for the upper than for the middle or lower quantiles of the growth distribution. Study three adopts an agency perspective and investigates the acquisition behavior within the group of 164 FOFs. The results reveal that firms with charitable foundations as owners are more likely to undertake acquisitions and acquire targets that are geographically and culturally more distant than firms with a family foundation as owner. At the same time, they favor target companies from the same or related industries. Finally, the fourth study scrutinizes the capital structure of firms owned by single family-offices (SFOs). Drawing on a hand-collected sample of 173 SFO-owned firms in the DACH region, the results show that SFO-owned firms display a higher long-term debt ratio than family-owned firms, indicating that SFO-owned firms follow trade-off theory, similar to private equity-owned firms. Additional analyses show that this effect is stronger for SFOs that sold their original family firm. In conclusion, the outcomes of this dissertation furnish valuable research contributions and offer practical insights for families navigating such intermediaries or succession vehicles in the long term.
Diese Dissertationsschrift befasst sich mit der Erforschung des motorischen Gedächtnisses. Wir gehen der Frage nach, ob sich dort Analogien zu im deklarativen Gedächtnis bekannten kontextuellen und inhibitorischen Effekten finden lassen.
Der erste von drei peer reviewed Artikeln setzt sich mit der generellen Bedeutung von externen Kontextmerkmalen für einen motorischen Gedächtnisabruf auseinander. Wir veränderten zwei verschiedene Sätze motorischer Sequenzen entlang einer hohen Zahl entsprechender Merkmale. Signifikant unterschiedliche Erinnerungsleistungen wiesen auf eine Kontextabhängigkeit motorischer Inhalte hin. Die Erinnerungsleistung variierte entlang der seriellen Output-Position. Bei einem Kontextwechsel blieb die Erinnerungsleistung über den Abrufverlauf nahezu stabil, bei Kontextbeibehaltung fiel diese schnell signifikant ab.
Beide weiteren peer reviewed Artikel wenden sich dann der Inhibition motorischer Sequenzen zu. Im zweiten Artikel begutachten wir drei Sätze motorischer Sequenzen, die wir mit verschiedenen Händen ausführen ließen, auf ein selektives gerichtetes Vergessen. Die Vergessen-Gruppe zeigte dies nur, wenn für Satz Zwei und Drei dieselbe Hand benutzt wurde und somit ein hohes Interferenzpotenzial zwischen diesen Listen bestand. War dieses im Vergleich niedrig, indem beide Sätze mit verschiedenen Händen auszuführen waren, trat kein selektives gerichtetes Vergessen auf. Das deutet auf kognitive Inhibition als wirkursächlichen Prozess.
Im dritten Artikel schließlich untersuchen wir Effekte willentlicher kognitiver Unterdrückung sowohl des Gedächtnisabrufs als auch des Ausführens in einer motorischen Adaptation des TNT (think/no-think) – Paradigmas (Anderson & Green, 2001). Waren die Sequenzen in Experiment 1 anfänglich stärker trainiert worden, so zeigten willentlich unterdrückte (no-think) motorische Repräsentationen eine deutliche Verlangsamung in deren Zugänglichkeit und tendenziell auch in der Ausführung, - im Vergleich zu Basisraten-Sequenzen. Waren die Sequenzen in Experiment 2 dagegen nur moderat trainiert, wurden diese auch schlechter erinnert und deutlich verlangsamt ausgeführt. Willentliche kognitive Unterdrückung kann motorische Gedächtnisrepräsentation und deren Ausführung beeinflussen.
Unsere drei Artikel bestätigen motorische Analogien bekannter Kontext- und Inhibitionseffekte im deklarativen Gedächtnis. Wir führen ein selektives gerichtetes Vergessen motorischer Inhalte eindeutig auf Inhibition zurück und bestätigen darüber hinaus Effekte der willentlichen Unterdrückung motorischer Gedächtnisrepräsentation.
Anmerkung: Es handelt sich um die 1. Auflage der Dissertation.
2. überarbeitete Auflage siehe:
"https://ubt.opus.hbz-nrw.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/2166".
Ausgangspunkt der politisch-ikonographischen Untersuchung, in deren Zentrum zwei Staatsporträts König Maximilians II. von Bayern stehen, ist die Beobachtung, dass diese beiden Bildnisse grundsätzlich unterschiedliche Inszenierungsformen wählen. Das erste von Max Hailer gefertigte Werk zeigt Maximilian II. im vollen bayerischen Krönungsornat und greift eine tradierte Darstellungsweise im Staatsporträt auf. Es entstand zwei Jahre nach Maximilians II. Thronbesteigung und damit nach den revolutionären Unruhen der Jahre 1848/49 im Jahr 1850. Das zweite wurde von Joseph Bernhardt 1857 bis 1858 gemalt und im Jahr 1858 zum zehnjährigen Thronjubiläum des Monarchen erstmals präsentiert. Die Inszenierung ändert sich im zweiten Bildnis: Das bayerische Krönungsornat ist der Generalsuniform gewichen, ebenso weitere Details, die sich noch in der ersten Darstellung finden: Draperie und Wappen fehlen, der übliche bayerisch-königliche Thronsessel ist durch einen anderen ersetzt. In den Hintergrund gedrängt ist die Verfassung, immerhin seit 1818 staatliche Rechtsgrundlage des bayerischen Königreichs. Die beiden Staatsporträts Maximilians II. leiten offensichtlich von den Herrscherbildnissen im vollen bayerischen Krönungsornat seines Großvaters Maximilian I. und Vaters Ludwig I. über zu einer solchen in Uniform mit Krönungsmantel wie sie sich bei Napoleon III. und Friedrich Wilhelm IV. finden und wie sie sein Sohn Ludwig II. weiterführte. Es stellt sich somit die Frage, welche Faktoren zu diesem prägnanten Wandel in der Inszenierung Maximilians II. als König von Bayern führten. Die Arbeit geht der These nach, dass beide Darstellungen grundlegend auf eine reaktionäre, gegen die Revolution 1848/49 gerichtete Politik ausgelegt sind, wobei dieser reaktionäre Charakter in Maximilians II. Bildnis von 1858 noch eine Steigerung im Vergleich zu derjenigen von 1850 erfährt. Zudem wandelt sich die innenpolitisch-historische Ausrichtung des ersten Porträts bei der zweiten Darstellung des bayerischen Monarchen in eine außenpolitisch-progressive. Die Legitimation Maximilians II. begründet sich nicht mehr, wie bei ersterem, in der Geschichte und der Herrschaft der Wittelsbacher, sondern in seinen eigenen Errungenschaften und seiner eigenen Herrschaft. Dieser Wechsel der politischen Bildaussage fußt sowohl auf den politischen Veränderungen und Entwicklungen innerhalb und außerhalb Bayerns als auch auf der Entwicklung des Staatsporträts in der Mitte des 19. Jahrhunderts. Nach nur zehn Jahren wird so eine veränderte Botschaft über Maximilians II. Position und Machtanspruch ausgesendet.
Debatten führen nicht immer zu einem Konsens. Selbst die Vorlage von Beweisen bewirkt nicht immer eine Überzeugung der Gegenseite. Dies zeigt sich nicht nur in der Geschichte der Wissenschaften (vgl. Ludwik Fleck, Bruno Latour), sondern auch in der in unterschiedlichen Disziplinen geführten zeitgenössischen Debatte unter dem Label ‚science wars‘ zwischen einem Realismus und Konstruktivismus beziehungsweise Relativismus. Unterschiede in ihren Legitimierungen zeigen systematisch verschiedene Wirklichkeits- und Wahrheitsverständnisse, die sich aus den vom Seinsstandort der Perspektive abhängigen Grundannahmen konstituieren. Über einen wissenssoziologischen Zugriff wird es möglich die (sozio-)strukturlogische Konstitution von Perspektivität zu analysieren, die eine epistemologisch vorstrukturierte Revolvierung untereinander inkommensurabler Beiträge in der Debatte aufdeckt, was als Erklärung für ungelöste Debatten in Wissenschaft, Politik und Alltag überhaupt fungieren kann.
Die vorliegende Arbeit orientiert sich in ihrem Vorgehen an dem von Paul Boghossian veröffentlichten Werk ‚Angst vor der Wahrheit‘ als zeitgenössischen Vertreter eines Neuen Realismus. Hierbei werden zum einen den direkten Bezügen von Boghossian die Aussagen der kritisierten Perspektiven (v.a. Latour und Goodman) gegenübergestellt, als auch zum anderen weitere Spielarten eines Konstruktivismus (kognitionstheoretischer Konstruktivismus nach Maturana und Varela, soziologischer Konstruktivismus nach Berger und Luckmann, Wissenschaftssoziologie am Beispiel von Bloor und Latour, die Systemtheorie von Luhmann sowie postkonstruktivistische Positionen) in den Dimensionen ‚Wissensverständnis‘, ‚Subjektrelevanz‘ und ‚Einstellung zu einer naturalistischen Grundlage‘ vorgestellt. Es wird eine systematische und beidseitige Fehlinterpretation in der Debatte zwischen Realismus und Konstruktivismus sichtbar. Diese wird auf die Seinsgebundenheit von Perspektiven nach dem Verständnis einer mannheimschen Wissenssoziologie zurückgeführt. Anhand einer Rekonstruktion der Erkenntnistheorie des frühen Mannheims (1922: ‚Strukturanalyse der Erkenntnistheorie‘) wird die (sozio-)strukturlogische Konstitution erkenntnistheoretischer Elemente von Grundwissenschaften herausgearbeitet, wodurch denkstilgemäße Objektivierungen (und damit Wahrheitsverständnisse) unterschieden werden können. Diese Unterschiede erklären nicht nur die Inkommensurabilität von heterogenen Perspektiven in Debatten, sondern zeigen auf, dass das Aufeinandertreffen der Debattierenden vorstrukturiert sind. Der Ablauf einer Debatte ist soziostrukturell determiniert. Abschließend wird in der vorliegenden Arbeit diskutiert, inwiefern der verfahrenen Situation einer Debatte entgegengewirkt werden kann und auf welche Weise eine wissenssoziologische Analyse zu einem gegenseitigen Verständnis zwischen debattierenden Parteien beitragen kann.
Diese Dissertation beschäftigt sich mit der Fragestellung, ob und wie Intersektionalität als analytische Perspektive für literarische Texte eine nützliche Ergänzung für ethnisch geordnete Literaturfelder darstellt. Diese Fragestellung wird anhand der Analyse dreier zeitgenössischer chinesisch-kanadischer Romane untersucht.
In der Einleitung wird die Relevanz der Themenbereiche Intersektionalität und asiatisch-kanadische Literatur erörtert. Das darauffolgende Kapitel bietet einen historischen Überblick über die chinesisch-kanadische Einwanderung und geht detailliert auf die literarischen Produktionen ein. Es wird aufgezeigt, dass, obwohl kulturelle Güter auch zur Artikulation von Ungleichheitsverhältnissen aufgrund von zugeschriebener ethnischer Zugehörigkeit entstehen, ein Diversifizierungsbestreben innerhalb der literarischen Gemeinschaft von chinesisch-kanadischen Autor:innen identifiziert werden kann. Das dritte Kapitel widmet sich dem Begriff „Intersektionalität“ und stellt, nach einer historischen Einordnung des Konzeptes mit seinen Ursprüngen im Black Feminism, Intersektionalität als bindendes Element zwischen Postkolonialismus, Diversität und Empowerment dar – Konzepte, die für die Analyse (kanadischer) Literatur in dieser Dissertation von besonderer Relevanz sind. Anschließend wird die Rolle von Intersektionalität in der Literaturwissenschaft aufgegriffen. Die darauffolgenden exemplarischen Analysen von Kim Fus For Today I Am a Boy, Wayson Choys The Jade Peony und Yan Lis Lily in the Snow veranschaulichen die vorangegangen methodischen Überlegungen. Allen drei Romanen vorangestellt ist die Kontextualisierung des jeweiligen Werkes als chinesisch-kanadisch, aber auch bisher vorgenommene Überlegungen, die diese Einordnung infrage stellen. Nach einer Zusammenfassung des Inhalts folgt eine intersektionale Analyse auf der inhaltlichen Ebene, die in den familiären und weiteren sozialen Bereich unterteilt ist, da sich die Hierarchiemechanismen innerhalb dieser Bereiche unterscheiden oder gegenseitig verstärken, wie aus den Analysen hervorgeht. Anschließend wird die formale Analyse mit einem intersektionalen Schwerpunkt in einem separaten Unterkapitel näher beleuchtet. Ein drittes Unterkapitel widmet sich einem dem jeweiligen Roman spezifischen Aspekt, der im Zusammenhang mit einer intersektionalen Analyse von besonderer Relevanz ist. Die Arbeit schließt mit einem übergreifenden Fazit, welches die wichtigsten Ergebnisse aus der Analyse zusammenfasst und mit weiteren Überlegungen zu den Implikationen dieser Dissertation, vor allem im Hinblick auf sogenannte kanadische „master narratives“, die eine weitreichende, kontextuelle Relevanz für das Arbeiten mit literarischen Texten aufweisen und durch einen intersektionalen literarischen Ansatz in Zukunft gegebenenfalls gewinnbringend ergänzt werden können.
In recent years, the establishment of new makerspaces in Germany has increased significantly. The underlying phenomenon of the Maker Movement is a cultural and technological movement focused on making physical and digital products using open source principles, collaborative production, and individual empowerment. Because of its potential to democratize the innovation and production process, empower individuals and communities, and enable innovators to solve problems at the local level, the Maker Movement has received considerable attention in recent years. Despite numerous indicators, little is known about the phenomenon and its individual members, especially in Germany. Initial research suggests that the Maker Movement holds great potential for innovation and entrepreneurship. However, there is still a gap in understanding how Makers discover, evaluate and exploit entrepreneurial opportunities. Moreover, there is still controversy - both among policy makers and within the maker community itself - about the impact the maker movement has and can have on innovation and entrepreneurship in the future. This dissertation uses a mixed-methods approach to explore these questions. In addition to a quantitative analysis of maker characteristics, the results show that social impact, market size, and property rights have significant effects on the evaluation of entrepreneurial opportunities. The findings within this dissertation expand research in the field of the Maker Movement and offer multiple implications for practice. This dissertation provides the first quantitative data on makers in makerspaces in Germany, their characteristics and motivations. In particular, the relationship between the Maker Movement and entrepreneurship is explored in depth for the first time. This is complemented by the presentation of different identity profiles of the individuals involved. In this way, policy-makers can develop a better understanding of the movement, its personalities and values, and consider them in initiatives and formats.
This thesis deals with REITs, their capital structure and the effects on leverage that regulatory requirements might have. The data used results from a combination of Thomson Reuters data with hand-collected data regarding the REIT status, regulatory information and law variables. Overall, leverage is analysed across 20 countries in the years 2007 to 2018. Country specific data, manually extracted from yearly EPRA reportings, is merged with company data in order to analyse the influence of different REIT restrictions on a firm's leverage.
Observing statistically significant differences in means across NON-REITs and REITs, causes motivation for further investigations. My results show that variables beyond traditional capital structure determinants impact the leverage of REITs. I find that explicit restrictions on leverage and the distribution of profits have a significant effect on leverage decisions. This supports the notion that the restrictions from EPRA reportings are mandatory. I test for various combinations of regulatory variables that show both in isolation as well as in combination significant effects on leverage.
My main result is the following: Firms that operate under regulation that specifies a maximum leverage ratio, in addition to mandatory high dividend distributions, have on average lower leverage ratios. Further the existence of sanctions has a negative effect on REITs' leverage ratios, indicating that regulation is binding. The analysis clearly shows that traditional capital structure determinants are of second order relevance. This relationship highlights the impact on leverage and financing decisions caused by regulation. These effects are supported by further analysis. Results based on an event study show that REITs have statistically lower leverage ratios compared to NON-REITs. Based on a structural break model, the following effect becomes apparent: REITs increase their leverage ratios in years prior REIT status. As a consequence, the ex ante time frame is characterised by a bunker and adaption process, followed by the transformation in the event. Using an event study and a structural break model, the analysis highlights the dominance of country-specific regulation.
Striving for sustainable development by combating climate change and creating a more social world is one of the most pressing issues of our time. Growing legal requirements and customer expectations require also Mittelstand firms to address sustainability issues such as climate change. This dissertation contributes to a better understanding of sustainability in the Mittelstand context by examining different Mittelstand actors and the three dimensions of sustainability - social, economic, and environmental sustainability - in four quantitative studies. The first two studies focus on the social relevance and economic performance of hidden champions, a niche market leading subgroup of Mittelstand firms. At the regional level, the impact of 1,645 hidden champions located in Germany on various dimensions of regional development is examined. A higher concentration of hidden champions has a positive effect on regional employment, median income, and patents. At the firm level, analyses of a panel dataset of 4,677 German manufacturing firms, including 617 hidden champions, show that the latter have a higher return on assets than other Mittelstand firms. The following two chapters deal with environmental strategies and thus contribute to the exploration of the environmental dimension of sustainability. First, the consideration of climate aspects in investment decisions is compared using survey data from 468 European venture capital and private equity investors. While private equity firms respond to external stakeholders and portfolio performance and pursue an active ownership strategy, venture capital firms are motivated by product differentiation and make impact investments. Finally, based on survey data from 443 medium-sized manufacturing firms in Germany, 54% of which are family-owned, the impact of stakeholder pressures on their decarbonization strategies is analyzed. A distinction is made between symbolic (compensation of CO₂-emissions) and substantive decarbonization strategies (reduction of CO₂-emissions). Stakeholder pressures lead to a proactive pursuit of decarbonization strategies, with internal and external stakeholders varying in their influence on symbolic and substantial decarbonization strategies, and the relationship influenced by family ownership.
The German Mittelstand is closely linked to the success of the German economy. Mittelstand firms, thereof numerous Hidden Champions, significantly contribute to Germany’s economic performance, innovation, and export strength. However, the advancing digitalization poses complex challenges for Mittelstand firms. To benefit from the manifold opportunities offered by digital technologies and to defend or even expand existing market positions, Mittelstand firms must transform themselves and their business models. This dissertation uses quantitative methods and contributes to a deeper understanding of the distinct needs and influencing factors of the digital transformation of Mittelstand firms. The results of the empirical analyses of a unique database of 525 mid-sized German manufacturing firms, comprising both firm-related information and survey data, show that organizational capabilities and characteristics significantly influence the digital transformation of Mittelstand firms. The results support the assumption that dynamic capabilities promote the digital transformation of such firms and underline the important role of ownership structure, especially regarding family influence, for the digital transformation of the business model and the pursuit of growth goals with digitalization. In addition to the digital transformation of German Mittelstand firms, this dissertation examines the economic success and regional impact of Hidden Champions and hence, contributes to a better understanding of the Hidden Champion phenomenon. Using quantitative methods, it can be empirically proven that Hidden Champions outperform other mid-sized firms in financial terms and promote regional development. Consequently, the results of this dissertation provide valuable research contributions and offer various practical implications for firm managers and owners as well as policy makers.
Every action we perform, no matter how simple or complex, has a cognitive representation. It is commonly assumed that these are organized hierarchically. Thus, the representation of a complex action consists of multiple simpler actions. The representation of a simple action, in turn, consists of stimulus, response, and effect features. These are integrated into one representation upon the execution of an action and can be retrieved if a feature is repeated. Depending on whether retrieved features match or only partially match the current action episode, this might benefit or impair the execution of a subsequent action. This pattern of costs and benefits results in binding effects that indicate the strength of common representation between features. Binding effects occur also in more complex actions: Multiple simple actions seem to form representations on a higher level through the integration and retrieval of sequentially given responses, resulting in so-called response-response binding effects. This dissertation aimed to investigate what factors determine whether simple actions form more complex representations. The first line of research (Articles 1-3) focused on dissecting the internal structure of simple actions. Specifically, I investigated whether the spatial relation of stimuli, responses, or effects, that are part of two different simple actions, influenced whether these simple actions are represented as one more complex action. The second line of research (Articles 2, 4, and 5) investigated the role of context on the formation and strength of more complex action representations. Results suggest that spatial separation of responses as well as context might affect the strength of more complex action representations. In sum, findings help to specify assumptions on the structure of complex action representations. However, it may be important to distinguish factors that influence the strength and structure of action representations from factors that terminate action representations.
This thesis comprises of four research papers on the economics of education and industrial relations, which contribute to the field of empirical economic research. All of the corresponding papers focus on analysing how much time individuals spend on specific activities. The allocation of available time resources is a decision that individuals make throughout their lifetime. In this thesis, we consider individuals at different stages of their lives - students at school, university students, and dependent employees at the workplace.
Part I includes two research studies on student's behaviour in secondary and tertiary education.
Chapter 2 explores whether students who are relatively younger or older within the school year exhibit differential time allocation. Building on previous findings showing that relatively younger students perform worse in school, the study shows that relatively younger students are aware of their poor performance in school and feel more strain as a result. Nevertheless, there are no clear differences to be found in terms of time spent on homework, while relatively younger students spend more time watching television and less time on sports activities. Thus, the results suggest that the lower learning outcomes are not associated with different time allocations between school-related activities and non-school-related activities.
Chapter 3 analyses how individual ability and labour market prospects affect study behaviour. The theoretical modelling predicts that both determinants increase study effort. The empirical investigation is based on cross-sectional data from the National Educational Panel Study (NEPS) and includes thousands of students in Germany. The analyses show that more gifted students exhibit lower subjective effort levels and invest less time in self-study. In contrast, very good labour market prospects lead to more effort exerted by the student, both qualitatively and quantitatively. The potential endogeneity problem is taken into account by using regional unemployment data as an instrumental variable.
Part II includes two labour economic studies on determinants of overtime. Both studies belong to the field of industrial relations, as they focus on union membership on the one hand and the interplay of works councils and collective bargaining coverage on the other.
Chapter 4 shows that union members work less overtime than non-members do. The econometric approach takes the problem of unobserved heterogeneity into account; but provides no evidence that this issue affects the results. Different channels that could lead to this relationship are analysed by examining relevant subgroups separately. For example, this effect of union membership can also be observed in establishments with works councils and for workers who are very likely to be covered by collective bargaining agreements. The study concludes that the observed effect is due to the fact that union membership can protect workers from corresponding increased working time demands by employers.
Chapter 5 builds on previous studies showing a negative effect of works councils on overtime. In addition to co-determination by works councils at the firm level, collective bargaining coverage is an important factor in the German industrial relations system. Corresponding data was not available in the SOEP for quite some time. Therefore, the study uses recent SOEP data, which also contains information on collective bargaining coverage. A cross-sectional analysis is conducted to examine the effects of works councils in establishments with and without collective bargaining coverage. Similar to studies analysing other outcome variables, the results show that the effect of works councils exists only for employees covered by a collective bargaining agreement.
Computer simulation has become established in a two-fold way: As a tool for planning, analyzing, and optimizing complex systems but also as a method for the scientific instigation of theories and thus for the generation of knowledge. Generated results often serve as a basis for investment decisions, e.g., road construction and factory planning, or provide evidence for scientific theory-building processes. To ensure the generation of credible and reproducible results, it is indispensable to conduct systematic and methodologically sound simulation studies. A variety of procedure models exist that structure and predetermine the process of a study. As a result, experimenters are often required to repetitively but thoroughly carry out a large number of experiments. Moreover, the process is not sufficiently specified and many important design decisions still have to be made by the experimenter, which might result in an unintentional bias of the results.
To facilitate the conducting of simulation studies and to improve both replicability and reproducibility of the generated results, this thesis proposes a procedure model for carrying out Hypothesis-Driven Simulation Studies, an approach that assists the experimenter during the design, execution, and analysis of simulation experiments. In contrast to existing approaches, a formally specified hypothesis becomes the key element of the study so that each step of the study can be adapted and executed to directly contribute to the verification of the hypothesis. To this end, the FITS language is presented, which enables the specification of hypotheses as assumptions regarding the influence specific input values have on the observable behavior of the model. The proposed procedure model systematically designs relevant simulation experiments, runs, and iterations that must be executed to provide evidence for the verification of the hypothesis. Generated outputs are then aggregated for each defined performance measure to allow for the application of statistical hypothesis testing approaches. Hence, the proposed assistance only requires the experimenter to provide an executable simulation model and a corresponding hypothesis to conduct a sound simulation study. With respect to the implementation of the proposed assistance system, this thesis presents an abstract architecture and provides formal specifications of all required services.
To evaluate the concept of Hypothesis-Driven Simulation Studies, two case studies are presented from the manufacturing domain. The introduced approach is applied to a NetLogo simulation model of a four-tiered supply chain. Two scenarios as well as corresponding assumptions about the model behavior are presented to investigate conditions for the occurrence of the bullwhip effect. Starting from the formal specification of the hypothesis, each step of a Hypothesis-Driven Simulation Study is presented in detail, with specific design decisions outlined, and generated inter- mediate data as well as final results illustrated. With respect to the comparability of the results, a conventional simulation study is conducted which serves as reference data. The approach that is proposed in this thesis is beneficial for both practitioners and scientists. The presented assistance system allows for a more effortless and simplified execution of simulation experiments while the efficient generation of credible results is ensured.
The following dissertation contains three studies examining academic boredom development in five high-track German secondary schools (AVG-project data; Study 1: N = 1,432; Study 2: N = 1,861; Study 3: N = 1,428). The investigation period spanned 3.5 years, with four waves of measurement from grades 5 to 8 (T1: 5th grade, after transition to secondary school; T2: 5th grade, after mid-term evaluations; T3: 6th grade, after mid-term evaluations; T4: 8th grade, after mid-term evaluations). All three studies featured cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, separating, and comparing the subject domains of mathematics and German.
Study 1 provided an investigation of academic boredom’s factorial structure alongside correlational and reciprocal relations of different forms of boredom and academic self-concept. Analyses included reciprocal effects models and latent correlation analyses. Results indicated separability of boredom intensity, boredom due to underchallenge and boredom due to overchallenge, as separate, correlated factors. Evidence for reciprocal relations between boredom and academic self-concept was limited.
Study 2 examined the effectiveness and efficacy of full-time ability grouping for as a boredom intervention directed at the intellectually gifted. Analyses included propensity score matching, and latent growth curve modelling. Results pointed to limited effectiveness and efficacy for full-time ability grouping regarding boredom reduction.
Study 3 explored gender differences in academic boredom development, mediated by academic interest, academic self-concept, and previous academic achievement. Analyses included measurement invariance testing, and multiple-indicator-multi-cause-models. Results showed one-sided gender differences, with boys reporting less favorable boredom development compared to girls, even beyond the inclusion of relevant mediators.
Findings from all three studies were embedded into the theoretical framework of control-value theory (Pekrun, 2006; 2019; Pekrun et al., 2023). Limitations, directions for future research, and practical implications were acknowledged and discussed.
Overall, this dissertation yielded important insights into boredom’s conceptual complexity. This concerned factorial structure, developmental trajectories, interrelations to other learning variables, individual differences, and domain specificities.
Keywords: Academic boredom, boredom intensity, boredom due to underchallenge, boredom due to overchallenge, ability grouping, gender differences, longitudinal data analysis, control-value theory
Startups are essential agents for the evolution of economies and the creative destruction of established market conditions for the benefit of a more effective and efficient economy. Their significance is manifested in their drive for innovation and technological advancements, their creation of new jobs, their contribution to economic growth, and their impact on increased competition and increased market efficiency. By reason of their attributes of newness and smallness, startups often experience a limitation in accessing external financial resources. Extant research on entrepreneurial finance examines the capital structure of startups, various funding tools, financing environments in certain regions, and investor selection criteria among other topics. My dissertation contributes to this research area by examining the becoming increasingly important funding instrument of venture debt. Prior research on venture debt only investigated the business model of venture debt, the concept of venture debt, the selection criteria of venture debt providers, and the role of patents in the venture debt provider’s selection process. Based on qualitative and quantitative methods, the dissertation outlines the emergence of venture debt in Europe as well as the impact of venture debt on startups to open up a better understanding of venture debt.
The results of the qualitative studies indicate that venture debt was formed based on a ‘Kirznerian’ entrepreneurial opportunity and venture debt impacts startups positive and negative in their development via different impact mechanisms.
Based on these results, the dissertation analyzes the empirical impact of venture debt on a startup’s ability to acquire additional financial resources as well as the role of the reputation of venture debt providers. The results suggest that venture debt increases the likelihood of acquiring additional financial resources via subsequent funding rounds and trade sales. In addition, a higher venture debt provider reputation increases the likelihood of acquiring additional financial resources via IPOs.
This cumulative thesis encompass three studies focusing on the Weddell Sea region in the Antarctic. The first study produces and evaluates a high quality data set of wind measurements for this region. The second study produces and evaluates a 15 year regional climate simulation for the Weddell Sea region. And the third study produces and evaluates a climatology of low level jets (LLJs) from the simulation data set. The evaluations were done in the attached three publications and the produced data sets are published online.
In 2015/2016, the RV Polarstern undertook an Antarctic expedition in the Weddell Sea. We operated a Doppler wind lidar on board during that time running different scan patterns. The resulting data was evaluated, corrected, processed and we derived horizontal wind speed and directions for vertical profiles with up to 2 km height. The measurements cover 38 days with a temporal resolution of 10-15 minutes. A comparisons with other radio sounding data showed only minor differences.
The resulting data set was used alongside other measurements to evaluate temperature and wind of simulation data. The simulation data was produced with the regional climate model CCLM for the period of 2002 to 2016 for the Weddell Sea region. Only smaller biases were found except for a strong warm bias during winter near the surface of the Antarctic Plateau. Thus we adapted the model setup and were able to remove the bias in a second simulation.
This new simulation data was then used to derive a climatology of low level jets (LLJs). Statistics of occurrence frequency, height and wind speed of LLJs for the Weddell Sea region are presented along other parameters. Another evaluation with measurements was also performed in the last study.
Do Personality Traits, Trust and Fairness Shape the Stock-Investing Decisions of an Individual?
(2023)
This thesis is comprised of three projects, all of which are fundamentally connected to the choices that individuals make about stock investments. Differences in stock market participation (SMP) across countries are large and difficult to explain. The second chapter focuses on differences between Germany (low SMP) and East Asian countries (mostly high SMP). The study hypothesis is that cultural differences regarding social preferences and attitudes towards inequality lead to different attitudes towards stock markets and subsequently to different SMPs. Using a large-scale survey, it is found that these factors can, indeed, explain a substantial amount of the country differences that other known factors (financial literacy, risk preferences, etc.) could not. This suggests that social preferences should be given a more central role in programs that aim to enhance SMP in countries like Germany. The third chapter documented the importance of trust as well as herding for stock ownership decisions. The findings show that trust as a general concept has no significant contribution to stock investment intention. A thorough examination of general trust elements reveals that in group and out-group trust have an impact on individual stock market investment. Higher out group trust directly influences a person's decision to invest in stocks, whereas higher in-group trust increases herding attitudes in stock investment decisions and thus can potentially increase the likelihood of stock investments as well. The last chapter investigates the significance of personality traits in stock investing and home bias in portfolio selection. Findings show that personality traits do indeed have a significant impact on stock investment and portfolio allocation decisions. Despite the fact that the magnitude and significance of characteristics differ between two groups of investors, inexperienced and experienced, conscientiousness and neuroticism play an important role in stock investments and preferences. Moreover, high conscientiousness scores increase stock investment desire and portfolio allocation to risky assets like stocks, discouraging home bias in asset allocation. Regarding neuroticism, a higher-level increases home bias in portfolio selection and decreases willingness to stock investment and portfolio share. Finally, when an investor has no prior experience with portfolio selection, patriotism generates home bias. For experienced investors, having a low neuroticism score and a high conscientiousness and openness score seemed to be a constant factor in deciding to invest in a well-diversified international portfolio
Intensiv diskutierte Aspekte der Politikwissenschaft heben zunehmend die Bedeutung von Strategiefähigkeit zur erfolgreichen Durchführung von Wahlkämpfen für Parteien hervor. Der Widerspruch der mit den Implikationen der modernen Mediengesellschaft eingehergehenden unterstellten Akteursfähigkeit der Parteien und ihrer kollektiven heterogenen Interessens- und Organisationsvielfalt bleibt dabei bestehen. Die Fokussierung der Parteien auf das Ziel der Stimmenmaximierung bringt unter den sich wandelnden Rahmenbedingungen Veränderungen der Binnenstrukturen mit sich. So diskutieren Parteienforscher seit Längerem die Notwendigkeit eines vierten Parteitypus als Nachfolger von Kirchheimers Volkspartei (1965). Verschiedene dieser Ansätze berücksichtigen primär die Wahlkampffokussierung der Parteien, während andere vor allem auf den gesteigerten Strategiebedarf abzielen. Auch die Wechselwirkungen mit den Erfordernissen der Mediengesellschaft sowie Auswirkungen des gesellschaftlichen Wandels stehen im Vordergrund zahlreicher Untersuchungen. Die Arbeit von Uwe Jun (2004), der mit dem Modell der professionalisierten Medienkommunikationspartei auch die organisatorischen und programmatischen Transformationsaspekte des Parteiwandels beleuchtet, liefert einen bemerkenswerten Beitrag zur Party-Change-Debatte und bietet durch die angeschlossene vergleichende exemplarische Fallstudie eine praxisnahe Einordnung. Die geringe empirische Relevanz, die Jun seinem Parteityp anhand der Untersuchung von SPD und New Labor zwischen 1995 und 2005 bestätigt, soll in dieser Arbeit versucht werden zu relativieren, in dem der Parteiwandel der deutschen Großparteien seit der Wiedervereinigung durch die Untersuchung ihrer Wahlkampffähigkeit aufgezeigt wird. Anhand eines längsschnittlichen Vergleiches der Bundestagswahlkämpfe von SPD und CDU zwischen 1990 und 2013 soll die Plausibilität dieses vierten Parteitypus überprüft werden. Hierdurch soll die Entwicklung der Strategie- und Wahlkampffähigkeit beider Großparteien in den Bundestagswahlkämpfen seit 1990 untersucht und die Ergebnisse miteinander verglichen und in Bezug auf den Parteiwandel eingeordnet werden.
Dass sich Parteien genau wie ihre gesellschaftliche und politische Umwelt im Wandel befinden, ist nicht zu bestreiten und seit Langem viel diskutierter Gegenstand der Parteienforschung. „Niedergangsdiskussion“, Mitgliederschwund, Nicht- und Wechselwähler, Politik- und Parteienverdrossenheit, Kartellisierung und Institutionalisierung von Parteien sind nur einige der in diesem Kontext geläufigen Schlagwörter. Prozesse der Individualisierung, Globalisierung und Mediatisierung führen zu veränderten Rahmenbedingungen, unter denen Parteien sich behaupten müssen. Diese Veränderungen in der äußeren Umwelt wirken sich nachhaltig auf das parteipolitische Binnenleben, auf Organisationsstrukturen und Programmatik aus. Die Parteienforschung hat daher schon vor zwanzig Jahren begonnen, ein typologisches Nachfolgemodell der Volkspartei zu diskutieren, das diesen Wandel berücksichtigt. Verschiedene typologische Konstruktionen von z. B. Panebianco (1988), Katz und Mair (1995) oder von Beyme erfassen (2000) wichtige Facetten des Strukturwandels politischer Parteien und stellen mehrheitlich plausible typologische Konzepte vor, die die Parteien in ihrem Streben nach Wählerstimmen und Regierungsmacht zutreffend charakterisieren. Die Parteienforschung stimmt bezüglich des Endes der Volksparteiära mehrheitlich überein. Bezüglich der Nachfolge konnte sich unter den neueren vorgeschlagenen Typen jedoch kein vierter Typ als verbindliches Leitmodell etablieren. Bei genauerer Betrachtung weichen die in den verschiedenen Ansätzen für einen vierten Parteitypen hervorgehobenen Merkmale (namentlich Professionalisierung des Parteiapparates, die Berufspolitikerdominanz, Verstaatlichung und Kartellbildung sowie die Fixierung auf die Medien) wenig von jüngeren Modellvorschlägen ab und bedürfen daher mehr einer Ergänzung. Die in der Regel mehrdimensionalen entwicklungstypologischen Verlaufstypen setzten seit den 1980er Jahren unterschiedliche Schwerpunkte und warten mit vielen Vorschlägen der Einordnung auf. Einer der jüngsten Ansätze von Uwe Jun aus dem Jahr 2004, der das typologische Konzept der professionalisierten Medienkommunikationspartei einführt, macht deutlich, dass die Diskussion um Gestalt und Ausprägungen des vierten Parteityps noch in vollem Gang und für weitere Vorschläge offen ist – der „richtige“ Typ also noch nicht gefunden wurde. Jun bleibt in seiner Untersuchung den zentralen Transformationsleitfragen nach der Ausgestaltung der Parteiorganisation, der ideologisch-programmatischen Orientierung und der strategisch-elektoralen Wählerorientierung verhaftet und setzt diese Elemente in den Fokus sich wandelnder Kommunikationsstrategien. Die bisher in parteitypologischen Arbeiten mitunter vernachlässigte Komponente der strukturellen Strategiefähigkeit als Grundlage zur Entwicklung ebensolcher Reaktionsstrategien wird bei Jun angestoßen und soll in dieser Arbeit aufgegriffen und vertieft werden.
Der aktuellen Partychange-Diskussion zum Trotz scheint die Annahme, dass Parteien, die sich verstärkt der Handlungslogik der Massenmedien unterwerfen, deren strategischen Anforderungen durch interne Adaptionsverfahren auch dauerhaft gerecht zu werden vermögen, nicht immer zutreffend. Die Veränderungen der Kommunikationsstrategien als Reaktion auf gesamtgesellschaftliche Wandlungsprozesse stehen zwar im Zentrum der Professionalisierungsbemühungen der politischen Akteure, bleiben aber in ihrer Wirkung eingeschränkt. Wenngleich das Wissen in den Parteien um die Notwendigkeiten (medialer) Strategiefähigkeit besteht und die Parteien hierauf mit Professionalisierung, organisatorischen und programmatischen Anpassungsleistungen und der Herausbildung strategischer Zentren reagieren, so ist mediengerechtes strategisches Agieren noch lange keine natürliche Kernkompetenz der Parteien. Vor allem in Wahlkampfzeiten, die aufgrund abnehmender Parteibindungen und zunehmender Wählervolatilität für die Parteien zum eigentlich zentralen Moment der Parteiendemokratie werden, wird mediengerechtes Handeln zum wesentlichen Erfolgsfaktor. Strategiefähigkeit wird hierbei zur entscheidenden Voraussetzung und scheint zudem in diesen Phasen von den Parteien erfolgreicher umgesetzt zu werden als im normalen politischen Alltag. Die wahlstrategische Komponente findet in Juns typologischer Konstruktion wenig Beachtung und soll in dieser Arbeit daher als ergänzendes Element hinzugefügt werden. Arbeitshypothese Die beiden deutschen Großparteien berufen sich auf unterschiedliche Entstehungsgeschichten, die sich bis in die Gegenwart auf die Mitglieder-, Issue- und Organisationsstrukturen von SPD und CDU auswirken und die Parteien in ihren Anpassungsleistungen an die sich wandelnde Gesellschaft beeinflussen. Beide Parteien versuchen, auf die veränderten sozialen und politischen Rahmenbedingungen und den daraus resultierenden Bedeutungszuwachs von politischer Kommunikationsplanung mit einem erhöhten Maß an Strategiefähigkeit und kommunikativer Kompetenz zu reagieren. Diese Entwicklung tritt seit der deutschen Wiedervereinigung umso stärker in Augenschein, als dass nach 1990 die Bindekraft der Volksparteien nochmals nachließ, sodass die Parteien sich zunehmend gezwungen sehen, die „lose verkoppelten Anarchien“ in wahlstrategische Medienkommunikationsparteien zu transformieren. Diesen vierten Parteityp kennzeichnet vor allem die zunehmende Bemühung um Strategiefähigkeit, die mittels Organisationsstrukturen und programmatischer Anpassungsleistungen die Effizienz der elektoralen Ausrichtung verbessern soll. Insgesamt geht die Party-Change-Forschung davon aus, dass die Parteien sich zunehmend angleichen. Dies gilt es in dieser Studie zu überprüfen. Unter Berücksichtigung unterschiedlicher Entwicklungspfade kann vermutet werden, dass auch die Transformationsprozesse bei SPD und CDU in unterschiedlicher Weise verlaufen. Wenngleich die SPD über einen höheren Strategiebedarf und die größere Innovationsbereitschaft zu verfügen scheint, werden auf Seiten der Union potentiell strategiefähigere Strukturen vermutet, die die erfolgreiche Umsetzung von Wahlkampfstrategien erleichtern. Die historische Entwicklung und der Aspekt der Historizität spielen in diesem Kontext eine Rolle.
Zusätzlich spielen individuelle Führungspersönlichkeiten eine zentrale Rolle in innerparteilichen Transformationsprozessen, welche für die Ausprägung strategiefähiger Strukturen oftmals von größerer Bedeutung sind als institutionalisierte Strukturen. Im Vordergrund steht die Untersuchung des Parteiwandels anhand der Veränderung der Kommunikationsstrategien der Parteien im Allgemeinen sowie der Strategiefähigkeit in Wahlkämpfen im Besonderen, da diese als zentrale Merkmale für den vierten Parteityp in Anlehnung an die Professionelle Medienkommunikationspartei (Jun 2004) gewertet werden sollen. Strategiefähigkeit soll dabei anhand der Kriterien des Umgangs der Parteien mit Programmatik, Organisation und externen Einflussfaktoren in Wahlkämpfen operationalisiert werden. Die Analyse untersucht sowohl das Handeln einzelner Personen wie auch die Rolle der Partei als Gesamtorganisation. Die Arbeit besteht aus zehn Kapiteln und gliedert sich in zwei Blöcke: einen theoretisch konzeptionellen Teil, der die in der Perspektive dieser Arbeit zentralen Grundlagen und Rahmenbedingungen zusammenführt sowie die sich daran anschließende Untersuchung der Konzeption und Implementation von Kommunikationskampagnen im Wahlkampf seit 1990. Das aktuell in die politikwissenschaftliche Diskussion eingebrachte Feld der politischen Strategiefähigkeit (Raschke/Tils 2007) wird in ausführlicher theoretischer Grundlegung bisher zwar mit den Implikationen der Medienkommunikation und damit einhergehend auch den organisatorischen und programmatischen Strukturmerkmalen der Parteien verknüpft, diese erfolgte allerdings oft ohne vertiefte Berücksichtigung des Parteiwandels. Dies soll in diesem Beitrag daher versucht werden. Der Diskursanalyse des Strategiebegriffes in Wahlkampfsituationen folgt die detaillierte Darstellung der drei Operationalisierungsparameter, die in die Festlegung des Parteityps münden. Die Diskussion idealtypischer Wahlkampfmodelle als theoretischer Bezugsrahmen für die Bewertung der Wahlkampagnen ergänzt den theoretisch-konzeptionellen Bezugsrahmen. Die insgesamt in der Literatur in ihren Ausführungen oftmals normativ gestalteten Darstellungen idealtypischer politischer Strategie sollen im letzten Teil der Arbeit auf ihre Umsetzbarkeit im parteipolitischen Alltag überprüft werden und dies nicht nur anhand einzelner, mit einander nicht in Zusammenhang stehender Ereignisse, sondern anhand der sich periodisch unter vergleichbaren Bedingungen wiederholenden Wahlkämpfe. Dafür werden die jeweiligen Ausgangs- und Rahmenbedingungen der einzelnen Wahlkämpfe sowie die zuvor dargelegten Elemente professionalisierter Wahlkampagnen für die Wahlkampagnen von SPD und CDU seit 1990 dargestellt. Aus diesen Gegenüberstellungen soll im Anschluss der längsschnittliche Vergleich der Strategiefähigkeit und Kommunikationskompetenz von SPD und CDU abgeleitet werden
Das Ziel dynamischer Mikrosimulationen ist es, die Entwicklung von Systemen über das Verhalten der einzelnen enthaltenen Bestandteile zu simulieren, um umfassende szenariobasierte Analysen zu ermöglichen. Im Bereich der Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften wird der Fokus üblicherweise auf Populationen bestehend aus Personen und Haushalten gelegt. Da politische und wirtschaftliche Entscheidungsprozesse meist auf lokaler Ebene getroffen werden, bedarf es zudem kleinräumiger Informationen, um gezielte Handlungsempfehlungen ableiten zu können. Das stellt Forschende wiederum vor große Herausforderungen im Erstellungsprozess regionalisierter Simulationsmodelle. Dieser Prozess reicht von der Generierung geeigneter Ausgangsdatensätze über die Erfassung und Umsetzung der dynamischen Komponenten bis hin zur Auswertung der Ergebnisse und Quantifizierung von Unsicherheiten. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit werden ausgewählte Komponenten, die für regionalisierte Mikrosimulationen von besonderer Relevanz sind, beschrieben und systematisch analysiert.
Zunächst werden in Kapitel 2 theoretische und methodische Aspekte von Mikrosimulationen vorgestellt, um einen umfassenden Überblick über verschiedene Arten und Möglichkeiten der Umsetzung dynamischer Modellierungen zu geben. Im Fokus stehen dabei die Grundlagen der Erfassung und Simulation von Zuständen und Zustandsänderungen sowie die damit verbundenen strukturellen Aspekte im Simulationsprozess.
Sowohl für die Simulation von Zustandsänderungen als auch für die Erweiterung der Datenbasis werden primär logistische Regressionsmodelle zur Erfassung und anschließenden wahrscheinlichkeitsbasierten Vorhersage der Bevölkerungsstrukturen auf Mikroebene herangezogen. Die Schätzung beruht insbesondere auf Stichprobendaten, die in der Regel neben einem eingeschränktem Stichprobenumfang keine oder nur unzureichende regionale Differenzierungen zulassen. Daher können bei der Vorhersage von Wahrscheinlichkeiten erhebliche Differenzen zu bekannten Totalwerten entstehen. Um eine Harmonisierung mit den Totalwerten zu erhalten, lassen sich Methoden zur Anpassung von Wahrscheinlichkeiten – sogenannte Alignmentmethoden – anwenden. In der Literatur werden zwar unterschiedliche Möglichkeiten beschrieben, über die Auswirkungen dieser Verfahren auf die Güte der Modelle ist jedoch kaum etwas bekannt. Zur Beurteilung verschiedener Techniken werden diese im Rahmen von Kapitel 3 in umfassenden Simulationsstudien unter verschiedenen Szenarien umgesetzt. Hierbei kann gezeigt werden, dass durch die Einbindung zusätzlicher Informationen im Modellierungsprozess deutliche Verbesserungen sowohl bei der Schätzung der Parameter als auch bei der Vorhersage der Wahrscheinlichkeiten erzielt werden können. Zudem lassen sich dadurch auch bei fehlenden regionalen Identifikatoren in den Modellierungsdaten kleinräumige Wahrscheinlichkeiten erzeugen. Insbesondere die Maximierung der Likelihood des zugrundeliegenden Regressionsmodells unter der Nebenbedingung, dass die bekannten Totalwerte eingehalten werden, weist in allen Simulationsstudien überaus gute Ergebnisse auf.
Als eine der einflussreichsten Komponenten in regionalisierten Mikrosimulationen erweist sich die Umsetzung regionaler Mobilität. Gleichzeitig finden Wanderungen in vielen Mikrosimulationsmodellen keine oder nur unzureichende Beachtung. Durch den unmittelbaren Einfluss auf die gesamte Bevölkerungsstruktur führt ein Ignorieren jedoch bereits bei einem kurzen Simulationshorizont zu starken Verzerrungen. Während für globale Modelle die Integration von Wanderungsbewegungen über Landesgrenzen ausreicht, müssen in regionalisierten Modellen auch Binnenwanderungsbewegungen möglichst umfassend nachgebildet werden. Zu diesem Zweck werden in Kapitel 4 Konzepte für Wanderungsmodule erstellt, die zum einen eine unabhängige Simulation auf regionalen Subpopulationen und zum anderen eine umfassende Nachbildung von Wanderungsbewegungen innerhalb der gesamten Population zulassen. Um eine Berücksichtigung von Haushaltsstrukturen zu ermöglichen und die Plausibilität der Daten zu gewährleisten, wird ein Algorithmus zur Kalibrierung von Haushaltswahrscheinlichkeiten vorgeschlagen, der die Einhaltung von Benchmarks auf Individualebene ermöglicht. Über die retrospektive Evaluation der simulierten Migrationsbewegungen wird die Funktionalität der Wanderdungskonzepte verdeutlicht. Darüber hinaus werden über die Fortschreibung der Population in zukünftige Perioden divergente Entwicklungen der Einwohnerzahlen durch verschiedene Konzepte der Wanderungen analysiert.
Eine besondere Herausforderung in dynamischen Mikrosimulationen stellt die Erfassung von Unsicherheiten dar. Durch die Komplexität der gesamten Struktur und die Heterogenität der Komponenten ist die Anwendung klassischer Methoden zur Messung von Unsicherheiten oft nicht mehr möglich. Zur Quantifizierung verschiedener Einflussfaktoren werden in Kapitel 5 varianzbasierte Sensitivitätsanalysen vorgeschlagen, die aufgrund ihrer enormen Flexibilität auch direkte Vergleiche zwischen unterschiedlichsten Komponenten ermöglichen. Dabei erweisen sich Sensitivitätsanalysen nicht nur für die Erfassung von Unsicherheiten, sondern auch für die direkte Analyse verschiedener Szenarien, insbesondere zur Evaluation gemeinsamer Effekte, als überaus geeignet. In Simulationsstudien wird die Anwendung im konkreten Kontext dynamischer Modelle veranschaulicht. Dadurch wird deutlich, dass zum einen große Unterschiede hinsichtlich verschiedener Zielwerte und Simulationsperioden auftreten, zum anderen aber auch immer der Grad an regionaler Differenzierung berücksichtigt werden muss.
Kapitel 6 fasst die Erkenntnisse der vorliegenden Arbeit zusammen und gibt einen Ausblick auf zukünftige Forschungspotentiale.
Even though proper research on Cauchy transforms has been done, there are still a lot of open questions. For example, in the case of representation theorems, i.e. the question when a function can be represented as a Cauchy transform, there is 'still no completely satisfactory answer' ([9], p. 84). There are characterizations for measures on the circle as presented in the monograph [7] and for general compactly supported measures on the complex plane as presented in [27]. However, there seems to exist no systematic treatise of the Cauchy transform as an operator on $L_p$ spaces and weighted $L_p$ spaces on the real axis.
This is the point where this thesis draws on and we are interested in developing several characterizations for the representability of a function by Cauchy transforms of $L_p$ functions. Moreover, we will attack the issue of integrability of Cauchy transforms of functions and measures, a topic which is only partly explored (see [43]). We will develop different approaches involving Fourier transforms and potential theory and investigate into sufficient conditions and characterizations.
For our purposes, we shall need some notation and the concept of Hardy spaces which will be part of the preliminary Chapter 1. Moreover, we introduce Fourier transforms and their complex analogue, namely Fourier-Laplace transforms. This will be of extraordinary usage due to the close connection of Cauchy and Fourier(-Laplace) transforms.
In the second chapter we shall begin our research with a discussion of the Cauchy transformation on the classical (unweighted) $L_p$ spaces. Therefore, we start with the boundary behavior of Cauchy transforms including an adapted version of the Sokhotski-Plemelj formula. This result will turn out helpful for the determination of the image of the Cauchy transformation under $L_p(\R)$ for $p\in(1,\infty).$ The cases $p=1$ and $p=\infty$ are playing special roles here which justifies a treatise in separate sections. For $p=1$ we will involve the real Hardy space $H_{1}(\R)$ whereas the case $p=\infty$ shall be attacked by an approach incorporating intersections of Hardy spaces and certain subspaces of $L_{\infty}(\R).$
The third chapter prepares ourselves for the study of the Cauchy transformation on subspaces of $L_{p}(\R).$ We shall give a short overview of the basic facts about Cauchy transforms of measures and then proceed to Cauchy transforms of functions with support in a closed set $X\subset\R.$ Our goal is to build up the main theory on which we can fall back in the subsequent chapters.
The fourth chapter deals with Cauchy transforms of functions and measures supported by an unbounded interval which is not the entire real axis. For convenience we restrict ourselves to the interval $[0,\infty).$ Bringing once again the Fourier-Laplace transform into play, we deduce complex characterizations for the Cauchy transforms of functions in $L_{2}(0,\infty).$ Moreover, we analyze the behavior of Cauchy transform on several half-planes and shall use these results for a fairly general geometric characterization. In the second section of this chapter, we focus on Cauchy transforms of measures with support in $[0,\infty).$ In this context, we shall derive a reconstruction formula for these Cauchy transforms holding under pretty general conditions as well as results on the behaviur on the left half-plane. We close this chapter by rather technical real-type conditions and characterizations for Cauchy transforms of functions in $L_p(0,\infty)$ basing on an approach in [82].
The most common case of Cauchy transforms, those of compactly supported functions or measures, is the subject of Chapter 5. After complex and geometric characterizations originating from similar ideas as in the fourth chapter, we adapt a functional-analytic approach in [27] to special measures, namely those with densities to a given complex measure $\mu.$ The chapter is closed with a study of the Cauchy transformation on weighted $L_p$ spaces. Here, we choose an ansatz through the finite Hilbert transform on $(-1,1).$
The sixth chapter is devoted to the issue of integrability of Cauchy transforms. Since this topic has no comprehensive treatise in literature yet, we start with an introduction of weighted Bergman spaces and general results on the interaction of the Cauchy transformation in these spaces. Afterwards, we combine the theory of Zen spaces with Cauchy transforms by using once again their connection with Fourier transforms. Here, we shall encounter general Paley-Wiener theorems of the recent past. Lastly, we attack the issue of integrability of Cauchy transforms by means of potential theory. Therefore, we derive a Fourier integral formula for the logarithmic energy in one and multiple dimensions and give applications to Fourier and hence Cauchy transforms.
Two appendices are annexed to this thesis. The first one covers important definitions and results from measure theory with a special focus on complex measures. The second appendix contains Cauchy transforms of frequently used measures and functions with detailed calculations.
Die Dissertation beschäftigt sich mit einer neuartigen Art von Branch-and-Bound Algorithmen, deren Unterschied zu klassischen Branch-and-Bound Algorithmen darin besteht, dass
das Branching durch die Addition von nicht-negativen Straftermen zur Zielfunktion erfolgt
anstatt durch das Hinzufügen weiterer Nebenbedingungen. Die Arbeit zeigt die theoretische Korrektheit des Algorithmusprinzips für verschiedene allgemeine Klassen von Problemen und evaluiert die Methode für verschiedene konkrete Problemklassen. Für diese Problemklassen, genauer Monotone und Nicht-Monotone Gemischtganzzahlige Lineare Komplementaritätsprobleme und Gemischtganzzahlige Lineare Probleme, präsentiert die Arbeit
verschiedene problemspezifische Verbesserungsmöglichkeiten und evaluiert diese numerisch.
Weiterhin vergleicht die Arbeit die neue Methode mit verschiedenen Benchmark-Methoden
mit größtenteils guten Ergebnissen und gibt einen Ausblick auf weitere Anwendungsgebiete
und zu beantwortende Forschungsfragen.
Allocating scarce resources efficiently is a major task in mechanism design. One of the most fundamental problems in mechanism design theory is the problem of selling a single indivisible item to bidders with private valuations for the item. In this setting, the classic Vickrey auction of~\citet{vickrey1961} describes a simple mechanism to implement a social welfare maximizing allocation.
The Vickrey auction for a single item asks every buyer to report its valuation and allocates the item to the highest bidder for a price of the second highest bid. This auction features some desirable properties, e.g., buyers cannot benefit from misreporting their true value for the item (incentive compatibility) and the auction can be executed in polynomial time.
However, when there is more than one item for sale and buyers' valuations for sets of items are not additive or the set of feasible allocations is constrained, then constructing mechanisms that implement efficient allocations and have polynomial runtime might be very challenging. Consider a single seller selling $n\in \N$ heterogeneous indivisible items to several bidders. The Vickrey-Clarke-Groves auction generalizes the idea of the Vickrey auction to this multi-item setting. Naturally, every bidder has an intrinsic value for every subset of items. As in in the Vickrey auction, bidders report their valuations (Now, for every subset of items!). Then, the auctioneer computes a social welfare maximizing allocation according to the submitted bids and charges buyers the social cost of their winning that is incurred by the rest of the buyers. (This is the analogue to charging the second highest bid to the winning bidder in the single item Vickrey auction.) It turns out that the Vickrey-Clarke-Groves auction is also incentive compatible but it poses some problems: In fact, say for $n=40$, bidders would have to submit $2^{40}-1$ values (one value for each nonempty subset of the ground set) in total. Thus, asking every bidder for its valuation might be impossible due to time complexity issues. Therefore, even though the Vickrey-Clarke-Groves auction implements a social welfare maximizing allocation in this multi-item setting it might be impractical and there is need for alternative approaches to implement social welfare maximizing allocations.
This dissertation represents the results of three independent research papers all of them tackling the problem of implementing efficient allocations in different combinatorial settings.
Formulations of macrocyclic lactone anthelmintics such as moxidectin are regularly administered to sheep to combat parasites. A disadvantage of these pharmaceuticals are their side effects on non-target organisms when entering the environment. Little is known about anthelmintic effects on plant reproduction and whether the effects depend on environmental factors. For ecological and methodological reasons, we aimed at testing whether temperature affects the efficacy of a common moxidectin-based formulation on seed germination. We carried out a germination experiment including three typical species of temperate European grasslands (Centaurea jacea, Galium mollugo, Plantago lanceolata). We applied three temperature regimes (15/5, 20/10, 30/20°C), and a four-level dilution series (1:100–1:800) of formulated moxidectin (i.e., Cydectin oral drench). These solutions represent seed-anthelmintic contacts in the digestive tract of sheep shortly after deworming. In addition, a control was carried out with purified water only. We regularly counted emerging seedlings and calculated final germination percentage, mean germination time and synchrony of germination. Formulated moxidectin significantly reduced percentage, speed and synchrony of germination. A 1:100 dilution of the formulation reduced germination percentage by a quarter and increased mean germination time by six days compared to the control. Temperature moderated effects of the anthelmintic drug on germination in all response variables and all species, but in different patterns and magnitudes (significant anthelmintic x temperature x species interactions). In all response variables, the two more extreme temperature regimes (15/5, 30/20°C) led to the strongest effects of formulated moxidectin. With respect to germination percentage, G. mollugo was more sensitive to formulated moxidectin at the warmest temperature regime, whereas P. lanceolata showed the highest sensitivity at the coldest regime. This study shows that it is important to consider temperature dependencies of the effects of pharmaceuticals on seed germination when conducting standardised germination experiments.
The argan woodlands of South Morocco represent an open-canopy dryland forest with traditional silvopastoral usage that includes browsing by goats, sheep and camels, oil production as well as agricultural use. In the past, these forests have undergone extensive clearing, but are now protected by the state. However, the remaining argan woodlands are still under pressure from intensive grazing and illegal firewood collection. Although the argan-forest area seems to be overall decreasing due to large forest clearings for intensive agriculture, little quantitative data is available on the dynamics and overall state of the remaining argan forest. To determine how the argan woodlands in the High Atlas and the Anti-Atlas had changed in tree-crown cover from 1972 to 2018 we used historical black and white HEXAGON satellite images as well as recent WorldView satellite images (see Part A of our study). Because tree shadows can oftentimes not be separated from the tree crown on panchromatic satellite images, individual trees were mapped in three size categories to determine if trees were unchanged, had decreased/increased in crown size or had disappeared or newly grown. The current state of the argan trees was evaluated by mapping tree architectures in the field. Tree-cover changes varied highly between the test sites. Trees that remained unchanged between 1972 and 2018 were in the majority, while tree mortality and tree establishment were nearly even. Small unchanged trees made up 48.4% of all remaining trees, of these 51% showed degraded tree architectures. 40% of small (re-) grown trees were so overbrowsed that they only appeared as bushes, while medium (3–7 m crown diameter) and large trees (>7 m) showed less degraded trees regardless if they had changed or not. Approaches like grazing exclusion or cereal cultivation lead to a positive influence on tree architecture and less tree-cover decrease. Although the woodland was found to be mostly unchanged 1972–2018, the analysis of tree architecture reveals that a lot of (mostly small) trees remained stable but in a degraded state. This stability might be the result of the small trees’ high degradation status and shows the heavy pressure on the argan forest.