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The cumulative and bidirectional groundwater-surface water (GW-SW) interaction along a stream is defined as hydrological turnover (HT) influencing solute transport and source water composition. However, HT proves to be highly variable, producing spatial exchange patterns influenced by local groundwater, geology, and topography. Hence, identifying factors controlling HT poses a challenge. We studied spatiotemporal HT variability at two reaches of a third order tributary of the river Mosel, Germany. Additionally, we sampled for silica concentrations in the stream and in the near-stream groundwater. Thus, creating snapshots of the boundary layer between ground- and surface water where HT occurs, driven by mixing processes in the hyporheic zone. We utilize an enhanced hydrograph separation method, unveiling reach differences in storage drainage based on aquifer dimension and connectivity. The data shows a site-specific negative correlation of HT with discharge, while hydraulic gradients correlate with HT only at the reach with faster catchment drainage behavior. Examining silica concentrations between stream and wells shows that silica variation increases significantly with the decrease of HT under low flow conditions at the slower draining reach. At the fast draining reach this relationship is seasonal. In Summary, our results show that stream discharge shapes the influence of HT on solute transport. Yet, reach drainage behavior shapes seasonal states of groundwater storages and can be an additional control of HT. Hence, concentration change of pollutants could be masked by HT. Thus, our findings contribute to the understanding of HT variability along streams and its ability of influencing physico-chemical stream water composition.
In the face of uncontrollable complexity, the concept of a rational design of the organization is being replaced by the notion of an open future that is inherently unpredictable and unplanable. In rapidly changing environments, organizations and leaders are confronted with a constant stream of irritations and unexpected developments, that require ongoing attention. This prompts the question of whether the conceptualization of digital transformation as a paradigm shift also implies the need for new forms of leadership. The article analyzes the discourse on digital leadership and assesses the extent to which this concept relativizes leadership in the context of the evolution of leadership theory, which is characterized by a persistent process of modification and relativization of preceding concepts. Leadership concepts are not only responsive to general needs, but also vary according to specific contexts, such as non-profit leadership or leadership in social welfare organizations and meta-organizations. Results of a discourse analysis, which underscore the significance of adopting a complexity theory perspective on digital leadership, will therefore be contrasted with the initial findings of an empirical study on digitization in such meta-organizations. This allows for a discussion of the general findings on the revitalization of leadership, which will serve as a paradigmatic example of the previously developed context. The article concludes with implications for further theory development with the aim of making a specific contribution to organization-sensitive digitization research. The findings of the empirical study indicate the significance of employing informal structures and a heightened emphasis on subjectivity within meta-organizations, as opposed to the formal structures of organizations. The concept of digital leadership does not signify the obsolescence of traditional leadership; rather, it can be conceptualized as an advanced form of unheroic leadership within the context of external and internal complexity.
Investment theory and related theoretical approaches suggest a dynamic interplay between crystallized intelligence, fluid intelligence, and investment traits like need for cognition. Although cross-sectional studies have found positive correlations between these constructs, longitudinal research testing all of their relations over time is scarce. In our pre-registered longitudinal study, we examined whether initial levels of crystallized intelligence, fluid intelligence, and need for cognition predicted changes in each other. We analyzed data from 341 German students in grades 7–9 who were assessed twice, one year apart. Using multi-process latent change score models, we found that changes in fluid intelligence were positively predicted by prior need for cognition, and changes in need for cognition were positively predicted by prior fluid intelligence. Changes in crystallized intelligence were not significantly predicted by prior Gf, prior NFC, or their interaction, contrary to theoretical assumptions. This pattern of results was largely replicated in a model including all constructs simultaneously. Our findings support the notion that intelligence and investment traits, particularly need for cognition, positively interact during cognitive development, but this interplay was unexpectedly limited to Gf.
Attention in social interactions is directed by social cues such as the face or eye region of an interaction partner. Several factors that influence these attentional biases have been identified in the past. However, most findings are based on paradigms with static stimuli and no interaction potential. Therefore, the current study investigated the influence of one of these factors, namely facial affect in natural social interactions using an evaluated eye-tracking setup. In a sample of 35 female participants, we examined how individuals’ gaze behavior responds to changes in the facial affect of an interaction partner trained in affect modulation.
Our goal was to analyze the effects on attention to facial features and to investigate their temporal dynamics in a natural social interaction. The study results, obtained from both aggregated and dynamic analyses, indicate that facial affect has only subtle influences on gaze behavior during social interactions. In a sample with high measurement precision, these findings highlight the difficulties of capturing the subtleties of social attention in more naturalistic settings. The methodology used in this study serves as a foundation for future research on social attention differences in more ecologically valid scenarios.
Job crafting is the behavior that employees engage in to create personally better fitting work environments, for example, by increasing challenging job demands. To better understand the driving forces behind employees’ engagement in job crafting, we investigated implicit and explicit power motives. While implicit motives tend to operate at the unconscious, explicit motives operate at the unconscious level. We focused on power motives, as power is an agentic motive characterized by the need to influence your environment. Although power is relevant to job crafting in its entirety, in this study, we link it to increasing challenging job demands due to its relevance to job control, which falls under the umbrella of power. Using a cross-sectional design, we collected survey data from a sample of Lebanese nurses (N = 360) working in 18 different hospitals across the country. In both implicit and explicit power motive measures, we focused on integrative power that enable people to stay calm and integrate opposition. The results showed that explicit power predicted job crafting (H1) and that implicit power amplified this effect (H2). Furthermore, job crafting mediated the relationship between congruently high power motives and positive work-related outcomes (H3) that were interrelated (H4). Our findings unravel the driving forces behind one of the most important dimensions of job crafting and extend the benefits of motive congruence to work-related outcomes.
Aims: Fear of physical activity (PA) is discussed as a barrier to regular exercise in patients with heart failure (HF), but HF-specific theoretical concepts are lacking. This study examined associations of fear of PA, heart-focused anxiety and trait anxiety with clinical characteristics and self-reported PA in outpatients with chronic HF. It was also investigated whether personality-related coping styles for dealing with health threats impact fear of PA via symptom perception.
Methods and results: This cross-sectional study enrolled 185 HF outpatients from five hospitals (mean age 62 ± 11 years, mean ejection fraction 36.0 ± 12%, 24% women). Avoidance of PA, sports/exercise participation (yes/no) and the psychological characteristics were assessed by self-reports. Fear of PA was assessed by the Fear of Activity in Situations–Heart Failure (FActS-HF15) questionnaire. In multivariable regression analyses higher NYHA class (b = 0.26, p = 0.036) and a higher number of HF drugs including antidepressants (b = 0.25, p = 0.017) were independently associated with higher fear of PA, but not with heart-focused fear and trait anxiety. Of the three anxiety scores only increased fear of PA was independently associated with more avoidance behavior regarding PA (b = 0.45, SE = 0.06, p < 0.001) and with increased odds of no sports/exercise participation (OR = 1.34, 95% CI 1.03–1.74, p = 0.028). Attention towards cardiac symptoms and symptom distress were positively associated with fear of PA (p < 0.001), which explained higher fear of PA in patients with a vigilant (directing attention towards health threats) coping style (p = 0.004).
Conclusions: Fear of PA assessed by the FActS-HF15 is a specific type of anxiety in patients with HF. Attention towards and being distressed by HF symptoms appear to play a central role in fear of PA, particularly in vigilant patients who are used to direct their attention towards health threats. These findings provide approaches for tailored interventions to reduce fear of PA and to increase PA in patients with HF.
The turnover and stabilization of organic matter (OM) in soils depend on mass and energy fluxes. Understanding the energy content of soil organic matter (SOM) is therefore of crucial importance, but this has hardly been studied so far, especially in mineral soils. In this study, combustion calorimetry (bomb calorimetry) was applied to determine the energy content (combustion enthalpy, ΔCH) of various materials: litter inputs, forest floor layers (OL, OF, OH), and bulk soil and particulate organic matter (POM) from topsoils (0–5 cm). Samples were taken from 35-year-old monocultural stands of Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii), black pine (Pinus nigra), European beech (Fagus sylvatica), and red oak (Quercus rubra) grown under highly similar soil, landscape and boundary conditions. This allowed to investigate the influence of the degree of transformation and litter quality on the ΔCH of SOM. Tree species fuel the soil C cycle with high-energy litter (38.9 ± 1.1 kJ g−1C) and fine root biomass (35.9 ± 1.1 kJ g−1C). As plant material is transformed to SOM, ΔCH decreases in the order: OL (36.8 ± 1.6 kJ g−1C) ≥ OF (35.9 ± 3.7 kJ g−1C) > OH (30.6 ± 7.0 kJ g−1C) > 0–5 cm bulk soil (22.9 ± 8.2 kJ g−1C). It indicates that the energy content of OM decreases with transformation and stabilization, as microorganisms extract energy from organic compounds for growth and maintenance, resulting in lower-energy bulk SOM. The POM fraction has 1.6-fold higher ΔCH compared to the bulk SOM. Tree species significantly affect ΔCH of SOM in the mineral soil with the lowest values under beech (12.7 ± 3.4 kJ g−1C). The energy contents corresponded to stoichiometric and isotopic parameters as proxies for the degree of transformation. In conclusion, litter quality, in terms of elemental composition and energy content, defines the pathway and degree of the energy-driven microbially mediated transformation and stabilization of SOM.
In the present study, we tested whether processing information in the context of an ancestral survival scenario enhances episodic memory performance in older adults and in stroke patients. In an online study (Experiment 1), healthy young and older adults rated words according to their relevance to an ancestral survival scenario, and subsequent free recall performance was compared to a pleasantness judgment task and a moving scenario task in a within-subject design. The typical survival processing effect was replicated: Recall rates were highest in the survival task, followed by the moving and the pleasantness judgment task. Although older adults showed overall lower recall rates, there was no evidence for differences between the age groups in the condition effects. Experiment 2 was conducted in a neurological rehabilitation clinic with a sample of patients who had suffered from a stroke within the past 5 months. On the group level, Experiment 2 revealed no significant difference in recall rates between the three conditions. However, when accounting for overall memory abilities and executive function, independently measured in standardized neuropsychological tests, patients showed a significant survival processing effect. Furthermore, only patients with high executive function scores benefitted from the scenario tasks, suggesting that intact executive function may be necessary for a mnemonic benefit. Taken together, our results support the idea that the survival processing task – a well-studied task in the field of experimental psychology – may be incorporated into a strategy to compensate for memory dysfunction.
The viviparous eelpout Zoarces viviparus is a common fish across the North Atlantic and has successfully colonized habitats across environmental gradients. Due to its wide distribution and predictable phenotypic responses to pollution, Z. viviparus is used as an ideal marine bioindicator organism and has been routinely sampled over decades by several countries to monitor marine environmental health. Additionally, this species is a promising model to study adaptive processes related to environmental change, specifically global warming. Here, we report the chromosome-level genome assembly of Z. viviparus, which has a size of 663 Mb and consists of 607 scaffolds (N50 = 26 Mb). The 24 largest represent the 24 chromosomes of the haploid Z. viviparus genome, which harbors 98% of the complete Benchmarking Universal Single-Copy Orthologues defined for ray-finned fish, indicating that the assembly is highly contiguous and complete. Comparative analyses between the Z. viviparus assembly and the chromosome-level genomes of two other eelpout species revealed a high synteny, but also an accumulation of repetitive elements in the Z. viviparus genome. Our reference genome will be an important resource enabling future in-depth genomic analyses of the effects of environmental change on this important bioindicator species.
What does it mean when the future of one’s life is exposed to the inscrutable will of an intangible other? And what are the possibilities of still asserting oneself when pushed to the limit? Nuancing the feelings of different actors in a detention centre and analysing how everyday moods, affects and violence intertwine, I explore how the randomly cruel and often-inexplicable logic of the contemporary deportation regime pushes migrants to their limits. Taking as my starting point the argument that deportation practices are effective because they operate on an affective level, I show how affective experiences manifest themselves bodily and how violent practices and discourses reverberate in bodies. I argue that ‘bodies under pressure’ are testimonies of racialised histories of exclusion, and I show how they become calls for social recognition. Exploring small, often-unintended acts of rebellion against exhausting deportation practices, I stress the existential necessity and social importance of including oneself in the realm of meaning.
Introduction: Conventional agricultural land-use may negatively impact biodiversity and the environment due to the increased disturbances to the soil ecosystem by tillage, for example. Cultivation of the perennial grain intermediate wheatgrass (Thinopyrum intermedium, IWG, Kernza®) is a nature-based solution for sustainable agriculture, improving nutrient retention mainly through its extensive root system. Nematodes serve as sensitive bioindicators, detecting early changes in the soil food web, reflecting in changes in their community structure.
Materials and Methods:IWG and annual wheat sites in South France, Belgium and South Sweden were investigated in April 2022 for two depths (5–15 cm; 25–35 cm) to evaluate the difference in nematode community structure among the cropping systems.
Results: Sites with IWG cultivation held an accumulation of structure indicators (c-p 3–5 nematodes) compared to sites with annual wheat cultivation. A generalised linear mixed model revealed significantly more root feeders, especially for the subsoil, under IWG as a result of the perennial cultivation. The maturity index, plant-parasitic index, channel index and structure index were greater for IWG sites. The enrichment index was greater for annual wheat sites due to the dominance of bacterivores and enrichment indicators (c-p 1 nematodes). The nematode community structure (weighted faunal profile analysis) indicates IWG sites as being a generally undisturbed system with efficient nutrient cycling and balanced distribution of feeding types, as well as higher metabolic footprint values for root feeders (including plant-parasitic nematodes) and fungivores. Annual wheat sites, on the other hand, held indicators of a disturbed system with increased occurrence of opportunistic species and a more bacterial driven pathway. The topsoil had an increased occurrence of structure indicators in both cropping systems.
Conclusion: IWG creates favourable conditions for a diverse food web, including improved nutrient cycling and a heterogeneous resource environment, regardless of climatic conditions, establishing it as a stable and resilient agricultural management system.
Older adults who worry about their own cognitive capabilities declining, but who do not show evidence of actual cognitive decline in neuropsychological tests, are at an increased risk of being diagnosed with dementia at a later time. Since neural markers may be more sensitive to early stages of cognitive decline, in the present study we examined whether event-related potential responses
of feedback processing, elicited in a probabilistic learning task, differ between healthy older adults recruited from the community, who either did (subjective cognitive decline/SCD-group) or did not report (No-SCD group) worry about their own cognition declining beyond the normal age-related development. In the absence of group differences in learning from emotionally charged feedback in the probabilistic learning task, the amplitude of the feedback-related negativity (FRN) varied with feedback valence differently in the two groups: In the No-SCD group, the FRN was larger for positive than negative feedback, while in the SCD group, FRN amplitude did not differ between positive and negative feedback. The P3b was enhanced for negative feedback in both groups, and group differences in P3b amplitude were not significant. Altered sensitivity in neural processing of negative versus positive feedback may be a marker of SCD.
Introduction: This study examined the sources and factors of resilience in Russian sexual and gender minorities. We hypothesized that, through their involvement in the lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) community (source of resilience), LGBT people establish friendships that provide them with social support (factor of resilience), which in turn should contribute to their mental health.
Method: The study sample consisted of 1,127 young and middle-aged LGBT adults (18 to 50 years) from Russia. We collected the data online and anonymously. Results: Partial mediation could be confirmed. LGBT people who were involved in “their” community reported more social support from friends, which partially mediated the positive association between community involvement and mental health. The mediation remained significant when we controlled for demographics and outness as potential covariates. Additional analyses showed that the present sample reported lower mental health but not less social support than Russian nonminority samples recruited in previous research.
Conclusion: Our study underlines the importance of the LGBT community in times of increasing stigmatization of sexual and gender minorities.
Introduction: Across various cultural contexts, success in goal realization relates to individuals’ well-being. Moreover, commitment to and successful pursuance of goals are crucial when searching for a meaningful identity in adolescence. However, individuals’ goals differ in how much they match their implicit motive dispositions. We hypothesized that successful pursuance of affiliation goals positively relates to commitment-related dimensions of interpersonal identity development (domain: close friends) that, in turn, predict adolescents’ level of well-being. However, we further assumed that the links between goal success and identity commitment are particularly pronounced among adolescents who are characterized by a high implicit affiliation motive.
Methods: To scrutinize the generalizability of the assumed relationships, data were assessed among adolescents in individualistic (Germany) and collectivistic (Zambia) cultural contexts.
Results: Regardless of adolescents’ cultural background, we found that commitment-related dimensions of interpersonal identity development mediate the link between successful attainment of affiliation goals and well-being, particularly among adolescents with a pronounced implicit affiliation motive; that is, the strength of the implicit affiliation motive moderates the association
between goal success and identity commitment.
Conclusion: We discuss findings concerning universal effects of implicit motives on identity commitment and well-being.
The cold pressor test (CPT) elicits strong cardiovascular reactions via activation of the sympathetic nervous system (SNS), yielding subsequent increases in heart rate (HR) and blood pressure (BP). However, little is known on how exposure to the CPT affects cardiac ventricular repolarization. Twenty-eight healthy males underwent both a bilateral feet CPT and a warm water (WW) control condition on two separate days, one week apart. During pre-stress baseline and stress induction cardiovascular signals (ECG lead II, Finometer BP) were monitored continuously. Salivary cortisol and subjective stress ratings were assessed intermittently. Corrected QT (QTc) interval length and T-wave amplitude (TWA) were assessed for each heartbeat and subsequently aggregated individually over baseline and stress phases, respectively. CPT increases QTc interval length and elevates the TWA. Stress-induced changes in cardiac repolarization are only in part and weakly correlated with cardiovascular and cortisol stress-reactivity. Besides its already well-established effects on cardiovascular, endocrine, and subjective responses, CPT also impacts on cardiac repolarization by elongation of QTc interval length and elevation of TWA. CPT effects on cardiac repolarization share little variance with the other indices of stress reactivity, suggesting a potentially incremental value of this parameter for understanding psychobiological adaptation to acute CPT stress.
Mindfulness is a popular technique that helps people to get closer to their self. However, recent findings indicate that mindfulness may not benefit everybody. In the present research, we hypothesized that mindfulness promotes alienation from the self among individuals with low abilities to self-regulate affect (state-oriented individuals) but not among individuals with high abilities to self-regulate affect (action-oriented individuals). In two studies with participants who were mostly naïve to mindfulness practices (70% indicated no experience; N1 = 126, 42 men, 84 women, 0 diverse, aged 17–86 years, Mage = 31.87; N2 = 108, 30 men, 75 women, 3 diverse, aged 17–69 years, Mage = 28.00), we tested a mindfulness group (five-minute mindfulness exercise) against a control group (five-minute text reading). We operationalized alienation as lower consistency in repeated preference judgments and a lower tendency to adopt intrinsic over extrinsic goal recommendations. Results showed that, among state-oriented participants, mindfulness led to significantly lower consistency of preference judgments (Study 1) and lower adoption of intrinsic over extrinsic goals (Study 2) compared to text reading. The alienating effect was absent among action-oriented participants. Thus, mindfulness practice may alienate psychologically vulnerable people from their self and hamper access to preferences and intrinsic goals. We discuss our findings within Personality-Systems-Interactions (PSI) theory.
Using validated stimulus material is crucial for ensuring research comparability and replicability. However, many databases rely solely on bidimensional valence ratings, ranging from negative to positive. While this material might be appropriate for certain studies, it does not reflect the complexity of attitudes and therefore might hamper the unambiguous interpretation of some study results. In fact, most databases cannot differentiate between neutral (i.e., neither positive nor negative) and ambivalent (i.e., simultaneously positive and negative) attitudes. Consequently, even presumably univalent (only positive or negative) stimuli cannot be clearly distinguished from ambivalent ones when selected via bipolar rating scales. In the present research, we introduce the Trier Univalence Neutrality Ambivalence (TUNA) database, a database containing 304,262 validation ratings from heterogeneous samples of 3,232 participants and at least 20 (M = 27.3, SD = 4.84) ratings per self-report scale per picture for a variety of attitude objects on split semantic differential scales. As these scales measure positive and negative evaluations independently, the TUNA database allows to distinguish univalence, neutrality, and ambivalence (i.e., potential ambivalence). TUNA also goes beyond previous databases by validating the stimulus materials on affective outcomes such as experiences of conflict (i.e., felt ambivalence), arousal, anger, disgust, and empathy. The TUNA database consists of 796 pictures and is compatible with other popular databases. It sets a focus on food pictures in various forms (e.g., raw vs. cooked, non-processed vs. highly processed), but includes pictures of other objects that are typically used in research to study univalent (e.g., flowers) and ambivalent (e.g., money, cars) attitudes for comparison. Furthermore, to facilitate the stimulus selection the TUNA database has an accompanying desktop app that allows easy stimulus selection via a ultitude of filter options.
Environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding promises to be a cost- and time-efficient monitoring tool to detect interactions of arthropods with plants. However, observation-based verification of the eDNA-derived data is still required to confirm the reliability of those detections, i.e., to verify whether the arthropods have previously interacted with the plant. Here, we conducted a comparative analysis of the performance of eDNA metabarcoding and video camera observations to detect arthropod communities associated with sunflowers (Helianthus annuus, L.). We compared the taxonomic composition, interaction type, and diversity by testing for an effect of arthropod interaction time and occupancy on successful taxon recovery by eDNA. We also tested if prewashing of the flowers successfully removed eDNA deposition from before the video camera recording, thus enabling a reset of the community for standardized monitoring. We find that eDNA and video camera observations recovered distinct communities, with about a quarter of the arthropod families overlapping. However, the overlapping taxa comprised ~90% of the interactions observed by the video camera. Interestingly, eDNA metabarcoding recovered more unique families than the video cameras, but approximately two-thirds of those unique observations were of rare species. The eDNA-derived families were biased toward plant sap-suckers, showing that such species may deposit more eDNA than, for example, transient pollinators. We also find that prewashing of the flower heads did not suffice to remove all eDNA traces, suggesting that eDNA on plants may be more temporally stable than previously thought. Our work highlights the great potential of eDNA as a tool to detect plant-arthropod interactions, particularly for specialized and frequently interacting taxa.
The French Enlightenment is a pivotal period in European intellectual and literary history, which can be studied through this dataset of French novels first published between 1751 and 1800. This collection contains 200 French novels in TEI/XML, encoded according to the ‘level-1 schema’ of the European Literary Text Collection (ELTeC), and carefully compiled to reflect the known historical publication of French Novels in that period regarding publication year, gender of author and narrative form. The dataset is connected to a bigger knowledge graph of 331,671 Resource Description Framework triples (RDF) built within the project ‘Mining and Modeling Text’ at Trier University, Germany (2019–2023).
Amphibians globally suffer from emerging infectious diseases like chytridiomycosis caused by the continuously spreading chytrid fungi. One is Batrachochytrium salamandrivorans (Bsal) and its disease ‒ the ‘salamander plague’ ‒ which is lethal to several caudate taxa. Recently introduced into Western Europe, long distance dispersal of Bsal, likely through human mediation, has been reported. Herein we study if Alpine salamanders (Salamandra atra and S. lanzai) are yet affected by the salamander plague in the wild. Members of the genus Salamandra are highly susceptible to Bsal leading to the lethal disease. Moreover, ecological modelling has shown that the Alps and Dinarides, where Alpine salamanders occur, are generally suitable for Bsal. We analysed skin swabs of 818 individuals of Alpine salamanders and syntopic amphibians at 40 sites between 2017 to 2022. Further, we compiled those with published data from 319 individuals from 13 sites concluding that Bsal infections were not detected. Our results suggest that the salamander plague so far is absent from the geographic ranges of Alpine salamanders. That means that there is still a chance to timely implement surveillance strategies. Among others, we recommend prevention measures, citizen science approaches, and ex situ conservation breeding of endemic salamandrid lineages.
Peter Krause verstarb am 19. Februar 2023 nur wenige Tage vor seinem 87. Geburtstag. Zum Andenken an Peter Krause fand am 21. Juni 2024 eine Gedächtnisfeier an der Universität Trier statt – der Universität, an der Peter Krause von 1974 bis zu seiner Emeritierung am 31. März 2004 als ordentlicher Professor für Öffentliches Recht, Sozialrecht und Rechtsphilosophie forschte und lehrte und deren Gründung er maßgeblich begleitete.
Die auf der Gedächtnisfeier gehaltenen Vorträge wurden für die vorliegende Schrift überarbeitet. Sie befassen sich mit Themen, die dem Verstorbenen während seines juristischen Wirkens ein Anliegen waren und spiegeln das breite wissenschaftliche Interessen- und Betätigungsfeld Peter Krauses wider.
This dissertation examines the relevance of regimes for stock markets. In three research articles, we cover the identification and predictability of regimes and their relationships to macroeconomic and financial variables in the United States.
The initial two chapters contribute to the debate on the predictability of stock markets. While various approaches can demonstrate in-sample predictability, their predictive power diminishes substantially in out-of-sample studies. Parameter instability and model uncertainty are the primary challenges. However, certain methods have demonstrated efficacy in addressing these issues. In Chapter 1 and 2, we present frameworks that combine these methods meaningfully. Chapter 3 focuses on the role of regimes in explaining macro-financial relationships and examines the state-dependent effects of macroeconomic expectations on cross-sectional stock returns. Although it is common to capture the variation in stock returns using factor models, their macroeconomic risk sources are unclear. According to macro-financial asset pricing, expectations about state variables may be viable candidates to explain these sources. We examine their usefulness in explaining factor premia and assess their suitability for pricing stock portfolios.
In summary, this dissertation improves our understanding of stock market regimes in three ways. First, we show that it is worthwhile to exploit the regime dependence of stock markets. Markov-switching models and their extensions are valuable tools for filtering the stock market dynamics and identifying and predicting regimes in real-time. Moreover, accounting for regime-dependent relationships helps to examine the dynamic impact of macroeconomic shocks on stock returns. Second, we emphasize the usefulness of macro-financial variables for the stock market. Regime identification and forecasting benefit from their inclusion. This is particularly true in periods of high uncertainty when information processing in financial markets is less efficient. Finally, we recommend to address parameter instability, estimation risk, and model uncertainty in empirical models. Because it is difficult to find a single approach that meets all of these challenges simultaneously, it is advisable to combine appropriate methods in a meaningful way. The framework should be as complex as necessary but as parsimonious as possible to mitigate additional estimation risk. This is especially recommended when working with financial market data with a typically low signal-to-noise ratio.
The End of an Era? Embedding MONUSCO’s Withdrawal in the Current State of UN Peace Operations
(2024)
This thesis contains three parts that are all connected by their contribution to research about the effects of trading apps on investment behavior. The primary motivation for this study is to investigate the previously undetermined consequences and effects of trading apps, which are a new phenomenon in the broker market, on the investment and risk behavior of Neobroker users.
Chapter 2 addresses the characteristics of a typical Neobroker user and a former Neobroker user and the impact of trading apps on the investment and risk behavior of their users. The results show that Neobroker users are significantly more risk tolerant than the general German population and are influenced by trading apps regarding their investment and risk behavior. Low trading fees and the low minimum investment amount are the main reasons for the use of trading apps. Investors who stop using trading apps mostly stop investing altogether. Another worrying result is that financial literacy among all groups is low and most Neobroker users have wrong conceptions about how trading apps earn money. In general, the financial literacy of all groups considered in this chapter is surprisingly low.
The third chapter investigates the effects of trading apps on investment behavior over time and compares the investment and risk behavior of Neobroker users and general investors. By using representative data of German Neobroker users, who were surveyed repeatedly over a 8-month time interval, it becomes possible to determine causal effects of the use of trading apps over time. In total, the financial literacy of Neobroker users increases with the longer use of a trading app. A worrying result is that the risk tolerance of Neobroker users rises significantly over time. Male Neobroker users gain a higher annual return (non-risk-adjusted) than female Neobroker users. In comparison to general investors, Neobroker users are significantly younger, more risk tolerant, more likely to buy derivatives and gain a higher annual return (non-risk-adjusted).
The fourth chapter analyses the impact of personality traits on the investment and risk behavior of Neobroker users. The results show that the BIG-5 personality traits have an impact on the investment behavior of Neobroker users. Two personality traits, openness and conscientiousness, stand out the most, as these two have explanatory power over various aspects of the behavior of Neobroker users. In particular, whether they buy different financial products than planned, the time they inform themselves about financial markets, the variety of financial products owned, and the reasons to use a Neobroker. Surprisingly, the risk tolerance of Neobroker users and the reasons to invest are not connected to any personal dimension. Whether a participant uses a trading app or a traditional broker to invest is respectively influenced by different personality traits.
Die Hauptzielsetzung der vorliegenden Arbeit besteht in der Erarbeitung von Möglichkeiten zur Optimierung der Bewirtschaftung der Riveristalsperre. Dazu werden zunächst alle relevanten Einflussgrößen und Gefahrenpotentiale des Systems aus dem Einzugsgebiet und der Talsperre analysiert und bewertet. Letztlich wird die Konzeption eines integrierten Bewirtschaftungsplanes für die Riveristalsperre auf der Basis einer neuen Pilotierungsanlage im SWT-Wasserwerk in Trier-Irsch dargestellt, diskutiert und auf Funktionsfähigkeit geprüft.
Mit einer aus ca. 90% des Einzugsgebiets bestehenden Waldfläche ist die Hauptsperre der Riveristalsperre durchschnittlich als eindeutig oligotroph eingestuft und das Rohwasser der Riveristalsperre von ausgezeichneter Qualität mit nur wenigen und beherrschbaren Gefahrenpotentialen.
Unter Berücksichtigung der Pilotierungsergebnisse war die In/Out, PES, UF- geeigneter als die Out/In, PVDF-Membran. Die Anordnung der UF-Anlage auf der Rohwasserseite nach der Flockung für die Abtrennung der partikulären Wasserinhaltsstoffe mit einer nachgeschalteten Wasseraufhärtung, pH-Wert-Anhebung und Entmanganung in einer CaCO3-Filterstufe und abschließenden Desinfektion durch eine UV-Bestrahlung stellte sich als ideal für die Aufbereitung des Rohwassers der Riveristalsperre heraus.
Die Ergebnisse der Pilotanlage sind in einer großtechnischen Trinkwasseraufbereitung im Wasserwerk in Trier-Irsch umgesetzt und seit 2013 offiziell in Betrieb genommen.
Abschließend werden Maßnahmen gegen eventuelle Minderwassermengen bei z.B. langanhaltenden Trockenwetterperioden (Klimawandel !) und für die allgemeine Erhöhung der Versorgungssicherheit diskutiert, wobei in Trier und in der Region schon seit langem sehr stark in die Verbundnetzsysteme investiert wird.
In machine learning, classification is the task of predicting a label for each point within a data set. When the class of each point in the labeled subset is already known, this information is used to recognize patterns and make predictions about the points in the remainder of the set, referred to as the unlabeled set. This scenario falls in the field of supervised learning.
However, the number of labeled points can be restricted, because, e.g., it is expensive to obtain this information. Besides, this subset may be biased, such as in the case of self-selection in a survey. Consequently, the classification performance for unlabeled points may be limited. To improve the reliability of the results, semi-supervised learning tackles the setting of labeled and unlabeled data. Moreover, in many cases, additional information about the size of each class can be available from undisclosed sources.
This cumulative thesis presents different studies to combine this external cardinality constraint information within three important algorithms for binary classification in the supervised context: support vector machines (SVM), classification trees, and random forests. From a mathematical point of view, we focus on mixed-integer programming (MIP) models for semi-supervised approaches that consider a cardinality constraint for each class for each algorithm.
Furthermore, since the proposed MIP models are computationally challenging, we also present techniques that simplify the process of solving these problems. In the SVM setting, we introduce a re-clustering method and further computational techniques to reduce the computational cost. In the context of classification trees, we provide correct values for certain bounds that play a crucial role for the solver performance. For the random forest model, we develop preprocessing techniques and an intuitive branching rule to reduce the solution time. For all three methods, our numerical results show that our approaches have better statistical performances for biased samples than the standard approach.
Nachdem er in den 1750er und 1760er Jahren graphische Bildsatiren zu aktuellen innen- und außenpolitischen Themen veröffentlich hatte, wurde William Hogarth selbst in zahlreichen Karikaturen verspottet und verleumdet. Ausgehend von dieser Beobachtung fragt die vorliegende Dissertation, welche Haltung sich den politischen Blättern des Künstlers entnehmen lässt und mit welchen künstlerischen Mitteln er dieser Ausdruck verlieh. Durch Analyse der politischen Ikonographie lassen sich die Themen und Akteure beschreiben. Mit der rezeptionsästhetischen Methode unter Hinzunahme der Sprech- und Bildakttheorie und der Propaganda Studies werden ihre tendenziösen Aussagen und manipulative Absichten entschlüsselt.
In ihrer Regierungsaffinität unterscheidet sich Hogarths politische Kunst maßgeblich von der oppositionellen Bildsatire Londons. Die Differenz spiegelt sich v. a. in den persönlichen Angriffen, mit denen zeitgenössische Satiriker Hogarth kritisierten. Als erstes reagierte Paul Sandby („The Painter’s March from Finchly“, 1753) auf Hogarths Darstellung des Jakobitischen Aufstandes 1745, womit er eine Begründung für die von William Augustus, Duke of Cumberland angestrebte Militärreform lieferte („March of the Guards to Finchley“, 1751); Für seine Gin Act-Kampagne („Gin Lane“ und „Beer Street“, 1750/51) erweiterte er die Pro-Gin-Ikonographie der 1730er Jahre (Anonymous: „The lamentable Fall of Madam Geneva”, 1736, Anonymous: „To those melancholly Sufferers the Destillers […] The Funeral Procession of Madam Geneva“, 1751), um sich für die staatliche Reglementierung der Destillen auszusprechen. In seinen Publikationen zum Siebenjährigen Krieg, mit denen er die Politik der jeweiligen Regierungen unter Thomas Pellham-Holles, Duke of Newcastle und William Pitt (the Elder) („The Invasion“, 1756) oder John Stuart, Earl of Bute („The Times Pl. 1“, 1763) unterstützte, zeigt sich Hogarths Opportunismus. Letztlich wurde seine Fürsprache für die unbeliebte Tory-Regierung und seine Kritik an William Pitt Anlass für Hogarths Herabwürdigung durch die Whig-treue Satire. Nach diesem Bruch publizierten beide Seiten verunglimpfende Portraitkarikaturen, die auf Rufmord des Gegners durch Kriminalisierung, Deformation und Dämonisierung setzten (William Hogarth: „John Wilkes Esqr.“, 1763, Anonymous „Tit for Tat“, 1763, Anonymous: „An Answer to the Print of John Wilkes Esqr. by WM Hogarth“, 1763, Anonymous: „Pug the snarling cur chastised Or a Cure for the Mange“, 1763).
Die Bildvergleiche zwischen Hogarths politischen Werken und den Reaktionen, die sie hervorriefen, zeigen, dass der Unterschied nicht im Bildgegenstand oder der politischen Ikonographie liegt, sondern in der Ausrichtung ihrer politischen Einflussnahme. Dabei ist vor allem Hogarths regierungsloyale Haltung hervorzuheben. Folglich muss die Forschungsmeinung von einer grundsätzlich kritischen Haltung Hogarths redigiert werden, da er sich nachweislich konservativ positioniert und dem Regierungshandeln und Machterhalt der Eliten Vorschub leistete.
Das vorliegende Dissertationsvorhaben untersucht die propagandistische Qualität der Werke Hogarths im Vergleich zu den zeitgenössischen Satirikern und macht die unterschiedliche politische Stoßrichtung sichtbar. Aufschluss gibt dabei die Anwendung künstlerischer und karikaturesker Mittel (das „Wie“) zum Zweck der burlesque (Posse/Parodie), des ridicule (Lächerlichmachung/Spott) bis bin zur Agitation, sowohl in Hogarths Werken als auch in den Karikaturen, die gegen ihn gerichtet waren. Da William Hogarth diese Stilmittel maßgeblich prägte und ihre Entwicklung forcierte, werden sie in der vorliegenden Arbeit unter dem Begriff Hogarthian Wit summiert. Mithilfe der Methode und Begriffe der Propaganda Studies lassen sich Intention und Zweck (das „Was“) als Bildakte beschreiben: Während es sich bei den Werken grundsätzlich um bias handelte, die basierend auf einer Ideologie die öffentliche Meinung beeinflusste, nahm ihre Schlagkraft in den 1760er Jahren stark zu; auf verrätselte Stellungnahmen folgte persönliche und offene Kritik an öffentlichen Personen, bis hin zum Rufmord. Dabei rezipierten sich die Künstler gegenseitig und bildeten Thesen und Antithesen aus. Hogarths einseitige Darstellungen wurden korrigiert und ergänzt, seine politische Kunst als Propaganda enttarnt. Schließlich wurden ihm Lügen und üble Nachrede vorgeworfen. Indem sie ihn anklagten oder durch Sekundärstigmatisierung eine Bestrafung in effigie vornahmen, forderten die Werke vom Rezipienten ein strafendes Urteil. Zu den künstlerischen Mitteln, die dabei zur Anwendung kommen, gehören eine politische Ikonographie und stereotype Feindbilder sowie nationale Konstruktionen, rezeptionsästhetische Mittel wie Juxtapositionen, Rezeptions- und Identifikationsfiguren sowie rhetorische und Mittel des Sprechakts, bis hin zu Perlokutionen. Die Werke lassen sich als Propaganda und somit als hierarchische Kommunikation beschreiben, die manipulative Bildstrategien nutzten, welche nicht nur der Beeinflussung der öffentlichen Meinung dienten, sondern politische Handlungen forcierten. Bezeichnend ist, dass beide Seiten dieselben Ikonographie, Stil-, Kompositions- und Kommunikationsmittel anwendeten, unabhängig von ihrer politischen Aussage, wodurch der Hogarthian Wit gefestigt und stetig weiterentwickelt wurde.
The positive consequences of performance pay on the wages and productivity have been well documented in the last decades. Yet, the increased pressure and work commitment associated with performance pay suggest that performance pay may have unintended negative consequences on worker’s health and well-being. As firms increasingly use performance pay worldwide, it becomes crucial to evaluate positive and negative consequences of performance pay. Thus, Chapters 2 – 4 of this doctoral thesis investigate the unintended adverse consequences of performance pay on stress, alcohol consumption, and loneliness, respectively. Chapter 5 investigates the positive role of performance pay on mitigating the overeducation wage penalty and enhancing labor market position of overeducated workers.
In Chapter 2, together with John S. Heywood and Uwe Jirjahn, I examine the hypothesis that performance pay is positively associated with employee stress. Using unique survey data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, I find performance pay consistently and importantly associates with greater stress even controlling for a long list of economic, social, and personality characteristics. The finding also holds in instrumental variable estimations accounting for the potential endogeneity of performance pay. Moreover, I show that risk tolerance and locus of control moderate the relationship between performance pay and stress. Among workers receiving performance pay, the risk tolerant and those believing they can control their environment suffer to a lesser degree from stress.
Chapter 3 examines the relationship between performance pay and alcohol use. Together with John S. Heywood and Uwe Jirjahn, I examine the hypothesis that alcohol use as “self-medication” is a natural response to the stress and uncertainty associated with performance pay. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, I find that the likelihood of consuming each of four types of alcohol (beer, wine, spirits, and mixed drinks) is higher for those receiving performance pay even controlling for a long list of economic, social, and personality characteristics and in sensible instrumental variable estimates. I also show that the number of types of alcohol consumed is larger for those receiving performance pay and that the intensity of consumption increases. Moreover, I find that risk tolerance and gender moderate the relationship between performance pay and alcohol use.
In Chapter 4, I examine the hypothesis that performance pay increases the risk of employee loneliness due to increased stress, job commitment, and uncooperativeness associated with performance pay. Using the German Socio-Economic Panel, I find that performance pay is positively associated with both the incidence and intensity of loneliness. Correspondingly, performance pay decreases the social life satisfaction of workers. The findings also hold in instrumental variable estimations addressing the potential endogeneity of performance pay and in various robustness checks. Interestingly, investigating the potential role of moderating factors reveals that the association between performance pay and loneliness is particularly large for private sector employees.
Finally, in Chapter 5, I study the association between overeducation, performance pay, and wages. Overeducated workers are more productive and have higher wages in comparison to their adequately educated coworkers in the same jobs. However, they face a series of challenges in the labor market, including lower wages in comparison to their similarly educated peers who are in correctly matched jobs. Yet, less consensus exists over the adjustment mechanisms to overcome the negative consequences of overeducation. In this study, I examine the hypotheses that overeducated workers sort into performance pay jobs as an adjustment mechanism and that performance pay enhances their wages. Using the German Socio-Economic Panel, I show that overeducation associates with a higher likelihood of sorting into performance pay jobs and that performance pay moderates the wages of overeducated workers positively. It also holds in endogenous switching regressions accounting for the potential endogeneity of performance pay. Importantly, I show that the positive role of performance pay is particularly larger for the wages of overeducated women.
Au Luxembourg, des médiateur·trice·s scolaires externes apportent leur aide quand des conflits surgissent en milieu scolaire. Le Service de médiation scolaire fournit un soutien en cas de risque de décrochage scolaire et de conflits en lien avec l’inclusion et l’intégration d’élèves à besoins éducatifs spécifiques ou issu·e·s de l’immigration. Michèle Schilt s’est entretenue avec la directrice du service, Lis De Pina, sur le travail des médiateur·trice·s scolaires.
Des sentiments puissants : Aborder avec les enfants la question des émotions dans les conflits
(2024)
Les émotions sont le reflet de nos besoins personnels. Dans les discussions sur les conflits ou dans la médiation, en particulier, il est important de ne pas se concentrer uniquement sur le moment où un conflit est survenu, mais de déceler aussi les besoins et les émotions qui ont eu un impact sur nos actions, nos réflexions et notre ressenti. Le matériel que nous allons vous présenter vous permettra de découvrir comment aborder, en tant qu’enseignant·e, les émotions et les disputes avec des enfants dans l’enseignement fondamental.