Refine
Year of publication
Document Type
- Doctoral Thesis (910)
- Article (409)
- Book (118)
- Contribution to a Periodical (115)
- Working Paper (65)
- Part of a Book (51)
- Part of Periodical (43)
- Conference Proceedings (18)
- Other (15)
- Master's Thesis (11)
Has Fulltext
- yes (1785) (remove)
Keywords
- Deutschland (106)
- Luxemburg (56)
- Schule (44)
- Schüler (41)
- Stress (40)
- Modellierung (30)
- Politischer Unterricht (30)
- Demokratie (29)
- Fernerkundung (25)
- Geschichte (25)
Institute
- Psychologie (231)
- Raum- und Umweltwissenschaften (214)
- Fachbereich 2 (189)
- Politikwissenschaft (144)
- Universitätsbibliothek (84)
- Fachbereich 4 (81)
- Rechtswissenschaft (77)
- Fachbereich 3 (68)
- Mathematik (68)
- Wirtschaftswissenschaften (66)
Introduction:
Researchers working in the field of cognitive aging frequently encounter highly motivated yet nervous older participants during data collection in the laboratory. Such anecdotal experiences raise the question of whether the affective or physiological response of older participants to psychological laboratory experiments differs to that of young adults, who might be less motivated but also less nervous, as they may be more used to the environment and to learning and memory tests.
Methods:
In the present study, we collected saliva samples and subjective affective ratings during an EEG experiment on memory, and at home, in young and older adults, while also taking into account sex effects.
Results:
There was no significant interaction involving time point (laboratory vs. at home) and age group. However, across both time points older males showed significantly higher cortisol-levels than older females, while there was no difference for younger males and females. The trajectories in cortisol levels throughout the session, especially around the memory task, differed by age: While there was a decrease in cortisol levels for younger adults from before to after the memory task, we did not observe such a decrease in older participants. There were few age differences in alpha-amylase or negative affect. However, older adults showed higher ratings of positive affect than younger participants. Importantly, lower cortisol levels before the memory task were associated with higher associative memory performance for older adults.
Discussion:
Affective reactions to psychological laboratory tasks may hence be an important factor to consider in psychological experiments in the field of cognitive aging.
Process-behavioural hydrological modelling aims not only at predicting the discharge of an area within a model, but also at understanding and correctly depicting the underlying hydrological processes. Here, we present a new approach for the calibration and evaluation of water balance models, exemplarily applied to the Riverisbach catchment in Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany. For our approach, we used the behavioural model WaSiM. The first calibration step is the adjustment of the evapotranspiration (ETa) parameters based on MODIS evapotranspiration data. This aims at providing correct evapotranspiration behaviour of the model and at closing the water balance at the gauging station. In the second step, geometry and transmissivity of the aquifer are determined using the characteristic delay curve (CDC). The portion of groundwater recharge was calibrated using the delayed flow index (DFI). In the third step, inappropriate pedotransfer functions (PTFs) could be filtered out by comparing dominant runoff process patterns under a synthetic precipitation event with a soil hydrological reference map. Then, the discharge peaks were adjusted based on so-called signature indices. This ensured a correct depiction of high-flow volume in the model. Finally, the overall model performance was determined using signature indices and efficiency measures. The results show a very good model fit with values of 0.87 for the NSE (Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient) and 0.89 for the KGE (Kling–Gupta efficiency) in the calibration period, as well as an NSE of 0.78 and a KGE of 0.87 for the validation period. Simultaneously, our calibration approach ensured a correct depiction of the underlying processes (groundwater behaviour, runoff patterns). We were also able to detect the model parameterisations based on the PTFs that showed satisfactory results across all calibration steps. This enables a targeted selection of the most suitable PTFs for determining the soil properties. This means that our calibration approach allows selecting a process-behaviourally faithful one from many possible parameterisation variants.
Dynamic phenology has so far been a modelling aspect that has received little attention. However, it has been shown that leaf emergence takes place earlier due to the shift in vegetation phase caused by climate change and is strongly dependent on temperature. Here, we demonstrate the calibration of a model for dynamic phenology within the water balance model WaSiM. Temperature sums and dormancy are used as controlling variables. The calibration of the respective parameters was realised using a shuffled complex evolution algorithm. ETa relevant parameters were calibrated based on MODIS data as a reference. Evaluation was done by comparing the ETa curves to MODIS ETa curves as well as a comparison of spatial ETa patterns based on Landsat ETa data. The evaluation shows that the dynamic phenology model used is capable of predicting the start of leaf emergence while also leading to better fitting evapotranspiration curves for the deciduous forest compared with the initial static parameterisation approach.
A fundamental challenge confronting modern organizations is to rationalize the affectivity of their members. In contrast to the 19th century, when communication in private settings was largely devoid of emotional content, the current era is characterized by a notable shift toward the incorporation of emotional elements in public discourse. This transformation is unfolding against the background of the ongoing evolution of modern organizations, with the processes of digitization and structural-automation contributing to this shift. The renewed emphasis on emotional semantics is facilitated by these developments—made possible by the fact that they facilitate the experience of the potential future obsolescence of humans as a source of crises. The concept of emotional semantics is currently being discussed in economic discourse, political debate, and in the context of management and leadership. Modern organizations mandate that their members manage their emotions through an organizational culture that fosters reflective communication through empathy. However, an understanding of this process can only be achieved through an examination of historical evidence. The article posits that organizations serve as pivotal actors in the domain of emotion management. Situated at the nexus of historical educational considerations, this perspective offers a nuanced interpretation of the historical evolution of organizational control ambitions. These ambitions have been catalyzed by contemporary trends, such as digitization and the integration of artificial intelligence and have undergone a progressive transformation over time. By sensitizing to the interplay of personal-psychic, institutional and organizational orders, the conceptual instruments for describing a history of emotions become more nuanced. This is demonstrated in the article through the analysis of specific organizational forms, which exemplify a parallel evolution within modern organizational society. Perspectives and discourses in organizational research provide novel approaches to the history of education by considering the organized nature of emotional phenomena. In this regard, the objective of the article is to provide impetus for the field of emotion-sensitive organization and management research which addresses questions pertaining to the transformation of organizations and their historical lines of continuity.
Observations from multisensory body illusions indicate that the body representation can be adapted to changing task demands, e.g., it can be expanded to integrate external objects based on current sensorimotor experience (embodiment). While the mechanisms that promote embodiment have been studied extensively in earlier work, the opposite phenomenon of, removing an embodied entity from the body representation (i.e., disembodiment) has received little attention yet. The current study addressed this phenomenon and drew inspiration from the partial reinforcement extinction effect in instrumental learning which suggests that behavior is more resistant to extinction when reinforcement is delivered irregularly. In analogy to this, we investigated whether experiencing occasional visuo-motor mismatches during the induction phase of the moving rubber hand illusion (intermittent condition) would result in slower disembodiment as compared to a regular induction phase where motor and visual signals always match (continuous condition). However, we did not find an effect of reinforcement schedule on disembodiment. Keeping a recently embodied entity in the body schema, therefore, requires constant updating through correlated perceptual and motor signals.
Background:
Chronic low back pain (CLBP) is prevalent and a multimodal therapy is indicated, including psychological treatment. Effective conventional treatments involve psychoeducation and mindfulness-based body scans, while virtual reality offers superior but temporary pain relief. Augmented Reality (AR), which combines conventional and virtual methods, is a novel therapeutic strategy.
Methods:
We investigated the viability and acceptability of an AR intervention for CLBP by incorporating psychoeducation and mindfulness-based body scan techniques. 40 participants in two studies with a one-arm design underwent an educational AR intervention (Study I, n1 = 18) and an enhanced version with an additional body scan (Study II, n2 = 22). The studies focused on evaluating technical feasibility and multiple facets of user experience.
Results:
The results demonstrated high feasibility with low dropout rates (Study I: 10%, Study II: 0%). User experience ratings ranged from “Above Average” to “Excellent,” with the advanced intervention receiving higher ratings. While Study I showed no significant changes in affect pre- vs. post-intervention, Study II exhibited a significant reduction in negative affect and improved valence. Qualitative analysis provided insights into technical requirements and user perceptions.
Discussion:
The AR prototype emerges as a promising psychoeducational tool for CLBP, aligning with current treatment guidelines and providing a basis for future controlled clinical trials. Limitations include the absence of a high-pain intervention group, as Study I reported a pain intensity of M = 1.05 and Study II reported M = 1.77 (Range: 0–10). Further research such as clinical trials with control groups is required to validate the efficacy of the piloted approach. The AR-based psychoeducation and mindfulness body scan intervention for CLBP demonstrated technical feasibility and a good user experience.
Das Schreiben in der Fremdsprache stellt Lernende der Sekundarstufe I vor besondere Herausforderungen. Sie müssen sprachliche Mittel genreadäquat einsetzen und dabei inhaltliche Kohärenz und textsortenspezifische Merkmale berücksichtigen. Schreibgespräche als dialogische Form des Peer Feedbacks bieten einen vielversprechenden Ansatz, der aus kognitiver Perspektive Noticing-Prozesse und Output-Hypothesenbildung anregt und aus soziokultureller Perspektive Ko-Konstruktion von Wissen innerhalb der Zone der proximalen Entwicklung ermöglicht. Empirisch ist jedoch wenig darüber bekannt, wie jugendliche Lernende mit begrenzten fremdsprachlichen Ressourcen solche Gespräche führen und für ihre Textüberarbeitung nutzen.
Die vorliegende Studie untersucht mittels eines qualitativen, explorativen Designs die Lernpotenziale von Schreibgesprächen bei prozess- und genreorientierten Schreibaufgaben im Englischunterricht der 8. Jahrgangsstufe. 26 Lernende aus drei Klassen in der deutschsprachigen Schweiz wurden im authentischen Unterrichtskontext während der Bearbeitung zweier Schreibaufgaben untersucht. Das Datenmaterial umfasst C-Tests, Schreibprodukte in Entwurfs- und Endversion, videografierte Schreibgespräche, Reflexionsbögen sowie introspektive Verfahren mit Lernenden und Lehrpersonen. Die Auswertung orientierte sich an der inhaltlich-strukturierenden qualitativen Inhaltsanalyse. Durch die Triangulation der verschiedenen Daten wurde ein multiperspektivischer Zugang zu den Überarbeitungsprozessen gewonnen.
Die Befunde zeigen, dass die Lernenden grundlegend genregerechte Texte erstellten, die Überarbeitungen sich jedoch vorwiegend auf sprachformale Korrekturen konzentrierten. In den Schreibgesprächen wurden zwar relevante Textaspekte benannt, eine vertiefte gemeinsame Aushandlung fand jedoch nur in wenigen Episoden statt. Durch die Feinanalyse und Kontrastierung ausgewählter Episoden wurden vier Prozessschritte erfolgreicher Ko-Konstruktion identifiziert: das Erkennen und Ansprechen genrerelevanter Aspekte, die Einschätzung des Anforderungsniveaus, die gemeinsame Aushandlung sowie die reflektierte Implementation. Drei Faktoren beeinflussen die Qualität dieser Ko-Konstruktion: die individuelle Interlanguage-Entwicklung, die Peer Feedback Literacy der Lernenden sowie soziale Beziehungen zwischen den Lernenden. Aus den Befunden werden didaktische Implikationen und Gestaltungsprinzipien für dialogische Feedbackprozesse im Fremdsprachenunterricht abgeleitet.
Die Studie adressiert eine zentrale Forschungslücke für jugendliche Lernende mit niedrigem bis mittlerem Sprachniveau im deutschsprachigen Raum und liefert empirische Grundlagen für die Weiterentwicklung von Schreibgesprächen in Unterrichtspraxis und Lehrpersonenbildung.
Development and validation of the Self-Awareness of Ego-Threatening Biases Questionnaire (SAETBQ)
(2025)
Awareness of social biases is crucial as they impact both individual behavior and societal outcomes. Whereas previous research indicates that self-awareness of ego-nonthreatening biases enhances self-regulation, the effects of self-awareness of ego-threatening biases remain underexplored. Preliminary findings suggest that awareness of ego-threatening biases related to rumination may lead to maladaptive states. However, these findings await replication with standardized instruments. To address this gap, we conducted two studies. In Study 1 (N = 1609), we developed and validated the 12-item Self-Awareness of Ego-Threatening Biases Questionnaire (SAETBQ). Consistent with our hypotheses, self-awareness of ego-threatening biases (as measured by the SAETBQ) correlated with higher moral disengagement, lower self-diagnostic motive, and lower integrative self-knowledge, indicating a tendency towards ego deterioration, whereas self-awareness of ego-nonthreatening biases (as measured by the Metacognitive Self questionnaire) showed the opposite pattern of correlations, indicating a tendency towards beneficial self-regulation. In Study 2 (N = 681), Dark Triad traits correlated positively and Light Triad traits negatively with self-awareness of ego-threatening biases. These results underscore the complex role of self-awareness in managing cognitive biases.
Demokratie lebt von der Beteiligung engagierter Bürger*innen. Hierzu ist es notwendig, Kinder und Jugendliche frühzeitig an demokratische Handlungsweisen heranzuführen. Der demokratiepädagogische Klassenrat bietet vielfältige Chancen, Schüler*innen Partizipationserfahrungen zu erö!nen und ihre demokratischen Kompetenzen zu stärken.
Les carnets paraissent deux fois par an et offrent aux dirigeant(e)s des écoles ainsi qu’au personnel des fondements théoriques et du matériel pratique pour la mise en oeuvre d’un développement scolaire démocratique. Chaque publication traite d’une méthode de l’éducation à la démocratie ou d’une question stratégique du développement scolaire. Les carnets en langue allemande sont mis à la disposition des écoles luxembourgeoises en version imprimée. L’ensemble du matériel ainsi que la version en langue française sont disponibles en ligne.
Die Praxishefte Demokratische Schulkultur erscheinen halbjährlich und bieten Schulleitungen und Schulpersonal theoretische Grundlagen und praxisorientierte Anleitungen zur demokratiepädagogischen Schulentwicklung. Jedes Themenheft ist jeweils einer demokratiepädagogischen Bauform oder strategischen Frage der Schulentwicklung gewidmet. Die Praxishefte werden allen Luxemburger Schulen als Printausgabe zur Verfügung gestellt und online mit zusätzlichen Materialien und in französischer Fassung vorgehalten.
Les carnets paraissent deux fois par an et offrent aux dirigeant(e)s des écoles ainsi qu’au personnel des fondements théoriques et du matériel pratique pour la mise en oeuvre d’un développement scolaire démocratique. Chaque publication traite d’une méthode de l’éducation à la démocratie ou d’une question stratégique du développement scolaire. Les carnets en langue allemande sont mis à la disposition des écoles luxembourgeoises en version imprimée. L’ensemble du matériel ainsi que la version en langue française sont disponibles en ligne.
Die Praxishefte Demokratische Schulkultur erscheinen halbjährlich und bieten Schulleitungen und Schulpersonal theoretische Grundlagen und praxisorientierte Anleitungen zur demokratiepädagogischen Schulentwicklung. Jedes Themenheft ist jeweils einer demokratiepädagogischen Bauform oder strategischen Frage der Schulentwicklung gewidmet. Die Praxishefte werden allen Luxemburger Schulen als Printausgabe zur Verfügung gestellt und online mit zusätzlichen Materialien und in französischer Fassung vorgehalten.
Hydrological models can be categorised into three groups: empirical models that are based on simple mathematical functions or being data-driven, conceptual models that rely on abstract combinations of storages and fluxes to depict catchment processes, or physically-based models that are structurally complex and incorporate physical interactions at different scales to simulate processes and system states. To calibrate and evaluate especially physically-based models, the use of multi-criteria evaluation schemes has proven to be effective to find model parameterisations that can reproduce multiple catchment processes and states instead of only the discharge. However, uncertainty in models, originating from different sources, often limits the robust interpretability of simulation results, making it necessary to assess how modelling applications can be improved to reduce uncertainty.
In this thesis, the relevance of structural adequacy for the depiction of processes in models was demonstrated for the micro level for the example of dynamic phenology, where spatiotemporal model performance was improved by implementing a dynamic approach to modelling leaf emergence instead of a static one. For model evaluation at macro level, it was shown how a multi-criteria approach combining groundwater dynamics, surface runoff patterns and discharge can identify process-behavioural parameterisations and thus improve process depiction in hydrological models. At the meta level, it was demonstrated how the quasi-coupling of a hydrological and a hydraulic model can combine the different strengths of both models to simulate surface runoff processes taking infiltration into account, whereby the relevance of multi-criteria evaluated hydrological models for the derivation of hydrological variables was shown. In addition, uncertainty was explicitly incorporated into model evaluation at the meta level, where a virtual reality model approach was applied to assess the contribution that different variables can make to model evaluation when the associated measurement uncertainty is taken into account.
Based on the individual results, it was possible to conclude that uncertainty and its different sources are a relevant factor in model evaluation at different levels and could be reduced by improving structural model adequacy, adapting model application approaches, and explicitly incorporating uncertainty into model evaluations.
The maximization of submodular functions under various kinds of constraints is a central component of many combinatorial optimization problems, since submodular functions naturally cover the property of diminishing returns. This dissertation comprises four scientific articles in which we consider three different combinatorial optimization problems involving the maximization of submodular functions under knapsack or cardinality constraints.
The first article considers the maximization of a submodular function defined on a weighted set of items under a knapsack constraint with unknown capacity. Assume that items are packed sequentially into the knapsack, and that an oracle reveals whether an item being attempted for packing fits into the currently packed knapsack. If an item fits, it is packed irrevocably; otherwise, either packing stops immediately (packing without discarding), or the item is removed, and packing continues (packing with discarding).
Our main result concerns non-adaptive packing without discarding, under the assumption that the unknown knapsack capacity is greater than or equal to the weight of the heaviest item. Specifically, we present the first polynomial-time algorithm for computing a universal policy that, for any unknown capacity, performs at least as well as the classical greedy algorithm, studied by Wolsey (1982), for the same known capacity.
In the second article, we study a game-theoretic variant of maximizing a submodular function under a cardinality constraint. In this variant, an initial solution to the classical problem is determined first. Subsequently, a predetermined number of elements of the ground set, possibly containing elements of the initial solution, are deleted. If any deleted elements were part of the initial solution, they are replaced by a set of at most equal cardinality. The objective is to maximize the value of the ultimate solution, with the deletion being maximally disadvantageous to it. We analyze several special cases of this problem and present polynomial-time algorithms for computing optimal or approximately optimal ultimate solutions. For the general case, we present a polynomial-time algorithm whose approximation guarantee depends on the curvature of the submodular objective function.
The last two articles of this dissertation address the classic problem of maximizing a submodular function under a knapsack constraint. The first of these articles focuses on exact solvers: We present a branch-and-bound algorithm along with several acceleration techniques. We compare it against two solvers by Sakaue and Ishihata (2018), which currently achieve the strongest performance reported in the literature, as well as a branch-and-cut algorithm implemented using Gurobi that solves a binary linear reformulation of the submodular knapsack problem, demonstrating that our methods are highly successful.
The last article considers variants of the classical greedy algorithm for submodular maximization under a knapsack constraint studied by Wolsey (1982). While the classical algorithm assumes access to an exact incremental oracle in every iteration, we generalize the known approximation results for this algorithm to the presence of only an $\alpha$-approximate oracle that returns in every iteration an item whose relative marginal gain approximates the maximum relative marginal gain by at least $\frac{1}{\alpha}$, with $\alpha \geq 1$ fixed. We also present an approximation result for a variant of the classical greedy algorithm that uses an approximate oracle only in the first iteration and an exact oracle thereafter.
Sea-ice leads play a key role in the climate system by facilitating heat and moisture exchanges between the ocean and atmosphere, as well as by providing essential habitats for marine life. This study presents new insights from a gap-filled monthly dataset on sea-ice leads in the Southern Ocean and a first comprehensive analysis of spatial patterns, seasonal variability, and long-term trends of wintertime (April to September) sea-ice leads over a 21-year period (2003–2023). Our findings reveal that leads are ubiquitous in the Southern Ocean and show distinct spatial patterns with maximum lead frequencies close to the coastline, over the shelf break, and close to seafloor ridges and peaks. We see a strong seasonal variability in lead occurrence, with lead frequencies peaking in mid-winter. Weak but significant trends in lead frequencies are shown for the presented period for individual regions and months. Rather small changes in lead occurrence over the 21 years suggest stable wintertime sea-ice compactness despite the observed strong fluctuations and recent anomalies in sea-ice extent. Expanding upon previous work of lead detection in Antarctic sea ice, this study provides first results on the long-term regional, seasonal, and inter-annual variability of sea-ice leads in the Southern Ocean and can thereby contribute to an improved understanding of air–sea-ice–ocean interactions in the climate system. It also underscores the need for further investigation into the individual contributions of atmospheric and oceanic drivers to sea-ice lead formation in the Antarctic.
This thesis seeks to improve the understanding of evolution and habitat as key factors forming tadpole morphology (i.e. of larvae of the order Anura), uncovers existing gaps in current research and recommends strategies and directions for future research. The present study improves the knowledge about the influences of evolution and habitat on the bauplan of tadpoles in a global scale ensuring maximum standardization and comparability of the data. In relation to the total number of tadpoles assumed to exist, only a small proportion has been described and only a few of them have been identified genetically. The lack of a global standard for their description makes it difficult to compare data. Using the tadpole of a harlequin frog (Atelopus) from Guiana region, it is shown that only an integrative approach with morphological and genetic data can solve taxonomic problems. In the study area of Madagascar, it becomes evident that in this region the common genetic history only has little influence on morphology, in contrast to the aquatic way of life. Tadpoles from flowing waters develop larger eyes, more robust tail muscles and smaller fins to cope better with current conditions and move more efficiently. In an additional study, the examination is extended to an almost global level. To achieve the intended standardization, over 1000 individuals (tadpoles) from 144 species have been examined. It can be shown that the common evolutionary history on a global scale influences morphology as strongly as the habitat. In addition, the influence of specialized nutrition and the climate is investigated.
Expectations play a central role in financial markets, yet investors often disagree about the economy’s future. Such disagreement has long been regarded as a potential driver of asset prices, but it remains uncertain whether it reflects mispricing or a priced source of risk. This study addresses the issue by constructing monthly disagreement indices from Consensus Economics forecasts across 24 OECD markets. Firm-level exposure to economic disagreement is estimated using return regressions. The results reveal pronounced cross-country heterogeneity. In developed markets, particularly the United States, greater exposure to disagreement consistently predicts lower future returns, supporting the mispricing hypothesis. In smaller markets, the evidence is mixed, with some cases indicating positive risk premia and others showing no significant effect. Overall, the findings provide new international evidence that the pricing of forecast disagreement is context-dependent, shaped by market structure and institutional depth.
This thesis examines how Europe sustains its leadership and competitiveness as a global center for foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade between 1991 and 2023. While EU membership historically functioned as the dominant determinant of inward FDI and trade integration, its relative influence has declined as new structural factors, based on trade dynamics and export-platform strategies, have emerged, together with the growing presence of Asian, especially Chinese, investors establishing production hubs in Central and Eastern Europe to serve the wider EU market. Lower trade costs within Europe have reinforced this shift, leading EU investors to focus on vertical FDI, while non-EU investors to adopt export-platform FDI patterns. Chinese investment has moved from infrastructure-focused projects to strategic-sector FDI, highlighting Europe’s exposure to evolving global industrial and geopolitical dynamics.
Chapter 2 examines how traditional determinants of FDI, including EU membership, interact with emerging drivers, such as trade interdependence, export-platform strategies, and Asian influence, to shape investment patterns in Europe. It employs a gravity-based empirical framework augmented with newly developed indicators, comprising the Bilateral Trade Interdependence Index, the Export-Platform Indicator, and Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) participation, together with a functional integration approach, covering over 95% of European countries and their global partners from 2010 to 2023. The findings indicate that trade dependency with non-EU partners grew most rapidly, increasing by 55% between 2011 and 2023. Stronger bilateral trade interdependence is found to significantly predict higher FDI inflows. The BRI analysis and functional classification indicate a shift from infrastructure-focused Chinese investment to strategic sectors, including electric vehicles and semiconductors. Since 2018, export-platform strategies have expanded from Europe’s core economies into Central and Eastern Europe, forming emerging production hubs, and have subsequently moved toward the Western Balkans and Turkey, likely reflecting evolving EU regulations and broader supply-chain realignments.
Chapter 3 expands the FDI analysis to cover a longer timeframe, from 1991 to 2017, focusing on the period when EU membership exerted a strong influence on FDI in Europe, transforming member countries from primarily cost-attractive destinations into global investment centers. Using an augmented gravity model covering 39 host and origin countries, the analysis finds that EU membership increased FDI inflows by 23%, with investments from core EU members expanding into new EU member states, while FDI from non-EU countries decreased. At the same time, EU membership may also be driven by trade, and EEA participation reflects non-FDI motivations. The chapter also highlights that EU accession strengthens both market-seeking (horizontal) and efficiency-seeking (vertical) FDI motives and applies methods to address negative and zero FDI values issues, ensuring robust estimation. The inclusion of lagged and lead variables shows that the EU integration process is phased over time, affecting FDI inflows with lags of up to 10–15 years after accession.
Chapter 4 expands the range of FDI determinants by deriving trade cost indices as a proxy for connectivity and extending the geographic scope of the analysis. In addition to EU members, the sample includes the Western Balkans, Turkey, and new EU candidates and applicants (Moldova, Ukraine, and Georgia) over the period 2000 to 2020, covering approximately 80% of European FDI flows. Trade costs are calculated for each country in the sample with its trade partners, not only within and between European subregions but also with non-EU partners such as China, and are combined with measures of FDI restrictiveness. The results show that China remains among the EU’s top three trading partners in goods and that trade costs significantly influence FDI inflows in Europe. The analysis also highlights that declining trade costs between European countries have reduced market-seeking (horizontal) FDI, while non-European investors, especially China, increasingly pursue export-platform FDI to serve third-country markets. A sharp reduction in trade costs between the Western Balkans and the EU (-45%) and a smaller decline with China (-35%) illustrates how regional integration reduces the need for local horizontal FDI while reinforcing Europe’s role as a hub for global production.
Chapter 5 shows that despite concerns about increasing outside influence, developed European countries remain the dominant source of FDI in the region. The chapter focuses on China’s role, examining FDI patterns across advanced EU members, new member states, and Western Balkan economies between 2000 and 2019, while distinguishing the effects of EU integration and BRI participation on FDI. Chinese influence has expanded primarily through the Belt and Road Initiative, particularly in accession and neighboring countries. Although BRI participation does not significantly increase FDI on its own, reflecting the dominant part of loan-financed infrastructure rather than private investment, it has strengthened physical and digital connectivity, laying the groundwork for future, longer-term FDI. The analysis also shows that intra-EU trade costs declined significantly after the 2004 and 2007 enlargements, while trade costs between the Western Balkans and China have fallen steadily since the launch of the BRI in 2013. As a result, Chinese influence is more pronounced in new EU member states and Western Balkan economies than in Western Europe. Over time, enhanced connectivity and supply-chain integration may support more diversified FDI inflows.