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Sample surveys are a widely used and cost effective tool to gain information about a population under consideration. Nowadays, there is an increasing demand not only for information on the population level but also on the level of subpopulations. For some of these subpopulations of interest, however, very small subsample sizes might occur such that the application of traditional estimation methods is not expedient. In order to provide reliable information also for those so called small areas, small area estimation (SAE) methods combine auxiliary information and the sample data via a statistical model.
The present thesis deals, among other aspects, with the development of highly flexible and close to reality small area models. For this purpose, the penalized spline method is adequately modified which allows to determine the model parameters via the solution of an unconstrained optimization problem. Due to this optimization framework, the incorporation of shape constraints into the modeling process is achieved in terms of additional linear inequality constraints on the optimization problem. This results in small area estimators that allow for both the utilization of the penalized spline method as a highly flexible modeling technique and the incorporation of arbitrary shape constraints on the underlying P-spline function.
In order to incorporate multiple covariates, a tensor product approach is employed to extend the penalized spline method to multiple input variables. This leads to high-dimensional optimization problems for which naive solution algorithms yield an unjustifiable complexity in terms of runtime and in terms of memory requirements. By exploiting the underlying tensor nature, the present thesis provides adequate computationally efficient solution algorithms for the considered optimization problems and the related memory efficient, i.e. matrix-free, implementations. The crucial point thereby is the (repetitive) application of a matrix-free conjugated gradient method, whose runtime is drastically reduced by a matrx-free multigrid preconditioner.
Die Vermittlung des Grauens
(2018)
Im Rahmen meiner zweiteiligen Dissertation „Die Vermittlung des Grauens“ untersuchte ich das Einsatzpotential von Multimedia-Technologien an museal aufbereiteten Originalschauplätzen des Opfergedenkens in Frankreich und Deutschland. Vordergründig stand die Klärung der Frage, ob die heute verfügbaren technischen Hilfsmittel die traditionelle Vermittlungsarbeit sinnvoll ergänzen können. Die Forts Douaumont und Vaux in Verdun und die Alte Synagoge Essen schienen mir aufgrund ihrer stark divergierenden Musealisierungen für eine dahingehende Analyse besonders geeignet. Vor Ort widmete ich mich zum einen dem Prozess der „Vergegenwärtigung der Vergangenheit am nahezu originalbelassenen Erinnerungsort durch Multimediaguides“ und begab mich ebenso auf „Spurensuche in der Alten Synagoge Essen“, da die Neukonzeptionierung der Stätte sämtliche Erinnerungen an das örtliche Geschehen im Nationalsozialismus überzeichnet hat. Diese Umstände wirken sich dementsprechend auch unterschiedlich auf die Authentizität des jeweiligen Ortes aus, worauf das dortige Konzept reagieren und für einen angemessenen Ausgleich sorgen muss. Um die Aussagekraft demgemäß zu fördern, bieten sich heutzutage insbesondere Technologien wie Audio- und Multimediaguides an, deren Potential anhand der genannten Objekte überprüft wurde. Neben diese mittlerweile schon traditionellen Maßnahmen, traten im Laufe der Zeit weitere Präsentationsmöglichkeiten wie die Touchscreen-, Virtual oder Augmented Reality-Technologien, der QR-Code, die Nahbereichskommunikation NFC und die sogenannten Museums-Apps, die ebenso zur Sprache kamen. Dieser Umstand trägt sich nicht zuletzt dadurch, dass bei der musealen Vermittlungsarbeit das Zusammenwirken von formalen Bildungsträgern und informellen Lernorten immer mehr an Bedeutung gewinnt. Die große Herausforderung hierbei ist die altersgerechte Darbietung der Inhalte.
This study examines to what extent a banking crisis and the ensuing potential liquidity shortage affect corporate cash holdings. Specifically, how do firms adjust their liquidity management prior to and during a banking crisis when they are restricted in their financing options? These restrictions might not result from firm-specific characteristics but also incorporate the effects of certain regulatory requirements. I analyse the real effects of indicators of a potential crisis and the occurrence of a crisis event on corporate cash holdings for both unregulated and regulated firms from 31 different countries. In contrast to existing studies, I perform this analysis on the basis of a long observation period (1997 to 2014 respectively 2003 to 2014) using multiple crisis indicators (early warning signals) and multiple crisis events. For regulated firms, this study makes use of a unique sample of country-specific regulatory information, which is collected by hand for 15 countries and converted into an ordinal scale based on the severity of the regulation. Regulated firms are selected from a single industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts. These firms invest in real estate properties and let these properties to third parties. Real Estate Investment Trusts that comply with the aforementioned regulations are exempt from income taxation and are punished for a breach, which makes this industry particularly interesting for the analysis of capital structure decisions.
The results for regulated and unregulated firms are mostly inconclusive. I find no convincing evidence that the degree of regulation affects the level of cash holdings for regulated firms before and during a banking crisis. For unregulated firms, I find strong evidence that financially constrained firms have higher cash holdings than unconstrained firms. Further, there is no real evidence that either financially constrained firms or unconstrained firms increase their cash holdings when observing an early warning signal. In case of a banking crisis, the results differ for univariate tests and in panel regressions. In the univariate setting, I find evidence that both types of firms hold higher levels of cash during a banking crisis. In panel regressions, the effect is only evident for financially unconstrained firms from the US, and when controlling for financial stress, it is also apparent for financially constrained US firms. For firms from Europe, the results are predominantly inconclusive. For banking crises that are preceded by an early warning signal, there is only evidence for an increase in cash holdings for unconstrained US firms when controlling for financial stress.
In the present study a non-motion-stabilized scanning Doppler lidar was operated on board of RV Polarstern in the Arctic (June 2014) and Antarctic (December 2015– January 2016). This is the first time that such a system measured on an icebreaker in the Antarctic. A method for a motion correction of the data in the post-processing is presented.
The wind calculation is based on vertical azimuth display (VAD) scans with eight directions that pass a quality control. Additionally a method for an empirical signal-tonoise ratio (SNR) threshold is presented, which can be calculated for individual measurement set-ups. Lidar wind profiles are compared to total of about 120 radiosonde profiles and also to wind measurements of the ship.
The performance of the lidar measurements in comparison with radio soundings generally shows small root mean square deviation (bias) for wind speed of around 1ms-1(0.1ms-1) and for wind direction of around 10 (1). The post-processing of the non-motion-stabilized data shows comparably high quality to studies with motion-stabilized systems.
Two case studies show that a flexible change in SNR threshold can be beneficial for special situations. Further the studies reveal that short-lived low-level jets in the atmospheric boundary layer can be captured by lidar measurements with a high temporal resolution in contrast to routine radio soundings. The present study shows that a non-motionstabilized Doppler lidar can be operated successfully on an
icebreaker. It presents a processing chain including quality control tests and error quantification, which is useful for further measurement campaigns.
Salivary alpha-amylase (sAA) influences the perception of taste and texture, features both relevant in acquiring food liking and, with time, food preference. However, no studies have yet investigated the relationship between basal activity levels of sAA and food preference. We collected saliva from 57 volunteers (63% women) who we assessed in terms of their preference for different food items. These items were grouped into four categories according to their nutritional properties: high in starch, high in sugar, high glycaemic index, and high glycaemic load. Anthropometric markers of cardiovascular risk were also calculated. Our findings suggest that sAA influences food
preference and body composition in women. Regression analysis showed that basal sAA activity is inversely associated with subjective but not self-reported behavioural preference for foods high in sugar. Additionally, sAA and subjective preference are associated with anthropometric markers of cardiovascular risk. We believe that this pilot study points to this enzyme as an interesting candidate to consider among the physiological factors that modulate eating behaviour.
Possibilités et opportunités d’une organisation démocratique du système scolaire luxembourgeois
(2018)
« Aujourd’hui, le socialisme et la démocratie ne sont plus de simples questions réservées aux partis politiques, ce sont des questions vitales. L’école et les enseignants devront s’en saisir (...) et donner au peuple de demain, par un enseignement solide, mais surtout par une éducation formatrice, les moyens de remplir sa mission principale : régner ensemble. » – ein luxemburger Schulfreund, 1920
« Lorsque l’on réfléchit aux perspectives du développement scolaire, notre action doit être guidée par la vision d’une école démocratique, d’une école vivante dans un État démocratique ainsi que par la conception de l’être humain à laquelle elle est associée. Dans ses processus de conception et dans sa vie quotidienne, l’école de demain doit elle-même être une mise en pratique de la démocratie. » (Hartmut Wenzel)
Comment les élèves vivent-ils les possibilités actuelles de participation démocratique dans l’enseignement ? La communauté scolaire est-elle prête à porter le processus de développement ? Quelles résistances faut-il prendre en compte et où se trouvent les potentiels et les idées inexploités pour innover dans l’école et dans l’enseignement ?
« Ce serait vraiment cool si les élèves avaient leur propre chaîne de télévision, non ? », s’extasie Sophie. « Peut-être plutôt une web TV, pour qu’on puisse voir nos reportages de partout dans le monde », s’exclame Max. « En tout cas, il faut que ça parle de sujets qui sont importants pour les élèves » : sur ce point, les deux collégiens sont d’accord. Ensemble, ils se creusent les méninges : pour commencer, est-ce possible juridiquement ? Qui peut nous aider ?
Développer l’école – sans ordre du jour fixe, sans tribune ni interventions programmées. Tous les membres de la communauté scolaire peuvent décider librement ce qu’ils veulent faire et quand ils veulent le faire. Leurs idées et leurs souhaits sont écoutés. Tout cela vous semble à la fois intéressant et un peu fou ? Grâce à la méthode du forum ouvert, outil de développement scolaire démocratique, c’est possible.